Health forecaster

• US 10,067,627 B2
• Filed: 07/10/2015
• Issued: 09/04/2018
• Est. Priority Date: 12/28/2011
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Cerner Innovation, Inc. (Oracle Corporation)
• Original Assignee: Cerner Innovation, Inc. (Oracle Corporation)
• Inventors: Ash, Michael A., Reynolds, Todd Jeffrey, Hays, Harlen
• Primary Examiner(s): Blaufeld, Justin R.
• Assistant Examiner(s): Chung, Mong-Shune
• Application Number:
  US14/796,398
• Publication Number:
  US 20150317446A1
• Time in Patent Office: 1,152 Days
• CPC Class Codes: G06F 3/048 Interaction techniques based on graphical user interfaces [GUI]
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/08 Insurance
• CPC Class Codes: G16H 40/67 for remote operation
• CPC Class Codes: G16H 50/30 for calculating health indices; for individual health risk assessment
• CPC Class Codes: G16H 50/50 for simulation or modelling of medical disorders
• CPC Class Codes: G16Z 99/00 Subject matter not provided for in other main groups of this subclass

Abstract

Methods, computer systems, and computer-readable storage media are provided for utilizing health-related variables to generate a current health state of a user along with a most-likely future health state of the user and an ideal future health state of the user. Graphical representations of these health states are generated and presented on a graphical user interface. The user is able to interact with the graphical representations to see the impact of the user'"'"'s choices on the user'"'"'s future health.

Claims

1. One or more computer memory having embodied thereon computer executable instructions for rendering a graphical user interface (GUI) dynamically displaying, on a computing device'"'"'s display screen, current and future health states of a user having a health condition, the instructions comprising:

receiving structured and unstructured health-related data associated with the user having the health condition, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data over a past period of time up to a current period of time, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data received from at least one of personal health risk assessments, biometric screenings, and health-related insurance claims associated with the user;

codifying the structured and unstructured health-related data into a set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature;

reducing the set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature to a finite set of factors utilizing a principal component analysis (PCA);

utilizing the PCA for determining a first set of health scores that represents the current health state of the user;

displaying a first display comprising;

a first display area displaying one or more selectable graphical representations of the user'"'"'s past and current health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user at a current period of time, wherein the one or more selectable graphical representations of the health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user comprise a first selectable body-image representation of the current health state of the user;

a second display area displaying one or more selectable goals determined based on an ideal future health state of the user that the user would like to achieve, wherein the ideal future health state comprises a desired value for one or more biometric readings and/or one or more of the determined health scores, wherein upon selection of at least one selectable goal of the one or more selectable goals, the GUI displays one or more selectable recommendations for helping the user achieve the ideal future health state of the user, and wherein upon selection of at least one recommendation and receiving an indication from the user to initiate a health forecast, the GUI triggers graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at a future period of time on a second display;

the second display comprising;

a third display area dynamically displaying one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time, the one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time comprising a second selectable body-image representation of the user at the future period of time;

a fourth display area dynamically displaying an interactive timeline representing a computed health trajectory leading to a most likely future health state of the user by applying a regression technique and a stopping theory to the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables, wherein the most likely future health state of the user is based upon the user'"'"'s current characteristics and behaviors, wherein the stopping theory comprises identifying stopping rules for the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables to create thresholds for stopping a computation of a second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user; and

a fifth display area dynamically displaying the selected at least one recommendation for enabling the user to achieve the ideal future health state that is improved from the current health state.

2. The memory of claim 1, wherein the selected at least one selectable goal of the one or more selectable goals is an indication of one or more selectable goals that the user is willing or able to follow.

3. The memory of claim 2, wherein the GUI further displays an alternative set of goals based on the at least one selectable goal selected by the user.

4. The memory of claim 1, wherein the one or more selectable recommendations are customizable.

5. The memory of claim 1, wherein the method further comprises utilizing the PCA to generate a third set of health scores representing the ideal future health state of the user.

6. The memory of claim 1, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updatable as new structured and unstructured health-related data are received.

7. The memory of claim 6, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updated at predetermined time intervals.

8. The memory of claim 6, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updated every time the user inputs new structured and unstructured health-related data.

9. The memory of claim 1, wherein the first selectable body-image representation and the second selectable body-image representation are anatomically correct body-image representations.

10. The memory of claim 1, wherein the one or more graphical representations associated with the current health state and the most likely future health state of the user further comprise one or more of score cards, gauges, graphs, tables, timelines, icons, pictorial representations, textual, audio, and numerical elements.

11. A computerized method for rendering a graphical user interface (GUI) dynamically displaying, on a computing device'"'"'s display screen, current and future health states of a user having a health condition, the instructions comprising:

receiving structured and unstructured health-related data associated with the user having the health condition, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data over a past period of time up to a current period of time, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data received from at least one of personal health risk assessments, biometric screenings, and health-related insurance claims associated with the user;

codifying the structured and unstructured health-related data into a set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature;

reducing the set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature to a finite set of factors utilizing a principal component analysis (PCA);

utilizing the PCA for determining a first set of health scores that represents the current health state of the user;

displaying a first display comprising;

a first display area displaying one or more selectable graphical representations of the user'"'"'s past and current health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user at a current period of time, wherein the one or more selectable graphical representations of the health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user comprise a first selectable body-image representation of the current health state of the user;

a second display area displaying one or more selectable goals determined based on an ideal future health state of the user that the user would like to achieve, wherein the ideal future health state comprises a desired value for one or more biometric readings and/or one or more of the determined health scores, wherein upon selection of at least one selectable goal of the one or more selectable goals, the GUI displays one or more selectable recommendations for helping the user achieve the ideal future health state of the user, and wherein upon selection of at least one recommendation and receiving an indication from the user to initiate a health forecast, the GUI triggers graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at a future period of time on a second display;

the second display comprising;

a third display area dynamically displaying one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time, the one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time comprising a second selectable body-image representation of the user at the future period of time;

a fourth display area dynamically displaying an interactive timeline representing a computed health trajectory leading to a most likely future health state of the user by applying a regression technique and a stopping theory to the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables, wherein the most likely future health state of the user is based upon the user'"'"'s current characteristics and behaviors, wherein the stopping theory comprises identifying stopping rules for the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables to create thresholds for stopping a computation of a second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user; and

a fifth display area dynamically displaying the selected at least one recommendation for enabling the user to achieve the ideal future health state that is improved from the current health state.

12. The method of claim 11, wherein the selected at least one selectable goal of the one or more selectable goals is an indication of one or more selectable goals that the user is willing or able to follow.

13. The method of claim 12, wherein the GUI further displays an alternative set of goals based on the at least one selectable goal selected by the user.

14. The method of claim 11, wherein the one or more selectable recommendations are customizable.

15. The method of claim 11, wherein the method further comprises utilizing the PCA to generate a third set of health scores representing the ideal future health state of the user.

16. The method of claim 11, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updatable as new structured and unstructured health-related data are received.

17. The method of claim 16, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updated at predetermined time intervals.

18. The method of claim 17, wherein the first set of health scores representing the current health state of the user and the second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user are updated every time the user inputs new structured and unstructured health-related data.

19. The method of claim 11, wherein the one or more graphical representations associated with the current health state and the most likely future health state of the user further comprise one or more of score cards, gauges, graphs, tables, timelines, icons, pictorial representations, textual, audio, and numerical elements.

20. A computing system for performing a method for rendering a graphical user interface (GUI) dynamically displaying, on a computing device'"'"'s display screen, current and future health states of a user having a health condition, the system comprising:

one or more computer processors;

at least one computer server;

one or more computer memory having embodied thereon computer executable instructions that when executed by the one or more processors cause the computing system to;

receive structured and unstructured health-related data associated with the user having the health condition, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data over a past period of time up to a current period of time, the structured and unstructured health-related data comprising data received from at least one of personal health risk assessments, biometric screenings, and health-related insurance claims associated with the user;

codify the structured and unstructured health-related data into a set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature;

reduce the set of discrete concepts of standard nomenclature to a finite set of factors utilizing a principal component analysis (PCA);

utilize the PCA for determining a first set of health scores that represents the current health state of the user;

display a first display comprising;

a first display area displaying one or more selectable graphical representations of the user'"'"'s past and current health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user at a current period of time, wherein the one or more selectable graphical representations of the health-related variables associated with the current health state of the user comprise a first selectable body-image representation of the current health state of the user;

a second display area displaying one or more selectable goals determined based on an ideal future health state of the user that the user would like to achieve, wherein the ideal future health state comprises a desired value for one or more biometric readings and/or one or more of the determined health scores, wherein upon selection of at least one selectable goal of the one or more selectable goals, the GUI displays one or more selectable recommendations for helping the user achieve the ideal future health state of the user, and wherein upon selection of at least one recommendation and receiving an indication from the user to initiate a health forecast, the GUI triggers graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at a future period of time on a second display;

the second display comprising;

a third display area dynamically displaying one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time, the one or more graphical representations of health-related variables associated with the user at the future period of time comprising a second selectable body-image representation of the user at the future period of time;

a fourth display area dynamically displaying an interactive timeline representing a computed health trajectory leading to a most likely future health state of the user by applying a regression technique and a stopping theory to the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables, wherein the most likely future health state of the user is based upon the user'"'"'s current characteristics and behaviors, wherein the stopping theory comprises identifying stopping rules for the user'"'"'s past and current-health related variables to create thresholds for stopping a computation of a second set of health scores representing the most likely future health state of the user; and

a fifth display area dynamically displaying the selected at least one recommendation for enabling the user to achieve the ideal future health state that is improved from the current health state.