Methods and apparatuses for eliminating a missile threat
First Claim
1. A computer-implemented method for eliminating a missile threat prior to a launch of a manufactured missile, the method comprising:
- receiving vulnerability identification information, via a computer communications interface, identifying a pre-launch vulnerability associated with the missile threat of the manufactured missile;
receiving technique identification information, via the computer communications interface, identifying a technique for exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability to generate a vulnerability-technique (VT) pair, the technique selected from a set of non-kinetic techniques that include directed energy (DE) techniques and electronic warfare (EW) techniques, and comprising, during a test phase or a deployment phase of the manufactured missile, at least one of inducing material defects, disrupting logistics, inducing failures during hardware and software upgrades, and affecting calibration and maintenance;
applying a stochastic mathematical model (SMM), by a processor, to generate a negation value that represents a probability that the technique of the respective VT pair will eliminate the missile threat prior to launch by exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability, wherein applying the SMM comprises;
generating a plurality of components to represent the negation value, each component to represent a different criterion for estimating a probability that implementation of the technique will eliminate the missile threat;
generating a set of probability distribution functions (PDF) for each of the plurality of components, each PDF in one set representing a different confidence level associated with the corresponding component;
automatically selecting, by a processor, one PDF from each set of PDFs, wherein the selection provides an indication of the confidence level associated with the corresponding component, to generate a set of selected PDFs; and
combining the one or more selected PDFs to determine probability of eliminating the missile threat using the corresponding technique; and
providing, by a processor, on a display, a recommendation for implementing the technique to eliminate the missile threat prior to launch responsive to receiving the selection of the technique, the selection being responsive to the negation value.
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Abstract
Embodiments of a method and apparatus for eliminating a missile threat are generally described herein. In some embodiments, the method includes identifying a vulnerability associated with the missile threat. The method can further include identifying a technique for exploiting the vulnerability to generate a vulnerability-technique (VT) pair. The method can further include applying a stochastic mathematical model (SMM) to generate a negation value, the negation value being representative of a probability that the technique of the respective VT pair will eliminate the threat by exploiting the vulnerability. The method can further include providing a recommendation for implementation the technique to eliminate the missile threat responsive to receiving a user selection of the technique, the user selection being selected based on the generated negation value. Other example methods, systems, and apparatuses are described.
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Citations
16 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method for eliminating a missile threat prior to a launch of a manufactured missile, the method comprising:
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receiving vulnerability identification information, via a computer communications interface, identifying a pre-launch vulnerability associated with the missile threat of the manufactured missile; receiving technique identification information, via the computer communications interface, identifying a technique for exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability to generate a vulnerability-technique (VT) pair, the technique selected from a set of non-kinetic techniques that include directed energy (DE) techniques and electronic warfare (EW) techniques, and comprising, during a test phase or a deployment phase of the manufactured missile, at least one of inducing material defects, disrupting logistics, inducing failures during hardware and software upgrades, and affecting calibration and maintenance; applying a stochastic mathematical model (SMM), by a processor, to generate a negation value that represents a probability that the technique of the respective VT pair will eliminate the missile threat prior to launch by exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability, wherein applying the SMM comprises; generating a plurality of components to represent the negation value, each component to represent a different criterion for estimating a probability that implementation of the technique will eliminate the missile threat; generating a set of probability distribution functions (PDF) for each of the plurality of components, each PDF in one set representing a different confidence level associated with the corresponding component; automatically selecting, by a processor, one PDF from each set of PDFs, wherein the selection provides an indication of the confidence level associated with the corresponding component, to generate a set of selected PDFs; and combining the one or more selected PDFs to determine probability of eliminating the missile threat using the corresponding technique; and providing, by a processor, on a display, a recommendation for implementing the technique to eliminate the missile threat prior to launch responsive to receiving the selection of the technique, the selection being responsive to the negation value. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
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7. An apparatus for eliminating a missile threat prior to a launch of a manufactured missile, the apparatus comprising:
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a communication interface to receive; identification information identifying a pre-launch vulnerability associated with the missile threat of the manufactured missile, and identification information identifying a technique for exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability to generate a vulnerability-technique (VT) pair, the technique selected from a set of non-kinetic techniques that include directed energy (DE) techniques and electronic warfare (EW) techniques, and comprising, during a test phase or a deployment phase of the manufactured missile, at least one of inducing material defects, disrupting logistics, inducing failures during hardware and software upgrades, and affecting calibration and maintenance, one or more processors to; apply a stochastic mathematical model (SMM) to generate a negation value that represents a probability that the technique of the respective VT pair will eliminate the missile threat prior to launch by exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability, wherein applying the SMM comprises; generating a plurality of components to represent the negation value, each component to represent a different criterion for estimating a probability that implementation of the technique will eliminate the missile threat; generating a set of probability distribution functions (PDF) for each of the plurality of components, each PDF in one set representing a different confidence level associated with the corresponding component; automatically selecting, by a processor, one PDF from each set of PDFs, wherein the selection provides an indication of the confidence level associated with the corresponding component, to generate a set of selected PDFs; and combining the one or more selected PDFs to determine probability of eliminating the missile threat using the corresponding technique; and provide a recommendation for implementing the technique to eliminate the missile threat prior to launch responsive to receiving the selection of the technique, the selection being responsive to the generated negation value; and a display to display the recommendation. - View Dependent Claims (8, 9, 10, 11, 12)
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13. A non-transitory computer-readable medium storing instructions that, when executed on a machine, cause the machine to eliminate a missile threat prior to a launch of a manufactured missile by performing operations comprising:
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identifying a pre-launch vulnerability associated with the missile threat of the manufactured missile; identifying a technique for exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability to generate a vulnerability-technique (VT) pair, the technique selected from a set of non-kinetic techniques that include directed energy (DE) techniques and electronic warfare (EW) techniques, and comprising, during a test phase or a deployment phase of the manufactured missile, at least one of inducing material defects, disrupting logistics, inducing failures during hardware and software upgrades, and affecting calibration and maintenance; applying a stochastic mathematical model (SMM) to generate a negation value that represents a probability that the technique of the respective VT pair will eliminate the missile threat prior to launch by exploiting the pre-launch vulnerability, wherein applying the SMM comprises; generating a plurality of components to represent the negation value, each component to represent a different criterion for estimating a probability that implementation of the technique will eliminate the missile threat; generating a set of probability distribution functions (PDF) for each of the plurality of components, each PDF in one set representing a different confidence level associated with the corresponding component; automatically selecting, by a processor, one PDF from each set of PDFs, wherein the selection provides an indication of the confidence level associated with the corresponding component, to generate a set of selected PDFs; and combining the one or more selected PDFs to determine probability of eliminating the missile threat using the corresponding technique; and providing, on a display, a recommendation for implementing the technique to eliminate the missile threat prior to launch responsive to receiving a selection of the technique, the selection being responsive to the generated negation value. - View Dependent Claims (14, 15, 16)
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Specification