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Future reliability prediction based on system operational and performance data modelling

  • US 10,409,891 B2
  • Filed: 04/11/2015
  • Issued: 09/10/2019
  • Est. Priority Date: 04/11/2014
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A system, comprising:

  • at least one measurable system that comprises a plurality of equipment assets that is operated at each respective facility of a plurality of facilities;

    at least one measuring device;

    wherein the at least one measuring device measures, to generate measuring data, one or more physical attribute, one or more characteristics, or both that are associated with an operation, a performance, or both, of the measurable system of each respective facility of the plurality of facilities;

    at least one sensing device;

    wherein the at least one sensing device senses, to generate sensing data, the one or more physical attribute, the one or more characteristics, or both that are associated with the operation, the performance, or both, of the measurable system of each respective facility of the plurality of facilities;

    a processor that is operationally coupled to;

    i) the at least one the at least one measuring device, the at least one sensing device, or both, andii) a non-transitory computer readable medium,wherein the non-transitory computer readable medium comprises instructions which, when executed by the processor, cause the processor to;

    receive maintenance expense data of the at least one measurable system for each respective facility of the plurality of facilities;

    receive first principle data that comprises, for one or more first principle characteristics associated with one or more target variables of the at least one measurable system, the measuring data, the sensing data, or both;

    receive asset reliability data of the at least one measurable system;

    receive one or more comparative analysis models associated with the at least one measurable system;

    utilize one or more comparative analysis models to generate at least one maintenance standard for the at least one measureable system, based on the maintenance expense data and the first principle data;

    generate a plurality of category values that categorizes, by at least one designated interval, the maintenance expense data based upon the at least the one maintenance standard associated with the at least one measureable system;

    determine an estimated future reliability data of the at least one measurable system based on the asset reliability data and the plurality of category values;

    wherein the one or more comparative analysis models identifies one or more reliability-effective maintenance tasks that affect the one or more target variables of the at least one measurable system based at least in part on at least one primary first principle characteristic;

    wherein the at least one primary first principle characteristic is determined based on an amount of the variation in the one or more target variables of the at least one measurable system between the plurality of facilities;

    wherein, based on performance of the one or more reliability-effective maintenance tasks with the at least one measurable system, the at least one measuring device, the at least one sensing device, or both, obtain, intermittently or continuously, current data for the at least one primary first principle characteristic of the at least one measurable system and transmit the current data to the processor that updates the estimated future reliability data of the at least one measurable system to generate the updated estimated future reliability data of the at least one measurable system; and

    an user interface configured to display the estimated future reliability data and the updated estimated future reliability data.

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