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PROCESS FOR DETERMINING COMPETING CAUSE EVENT PROBABILITY AND/OR SYSTEM AVAILABILITY DURING THE SIMULTANEOUS OCCURRENCE OF MULTIPLE EVENTS

  • US 20040078167A1
  • Filed: 10/15/2002
  • Published: 04/22/2004
  • Est. Priority Date: 10/15/2002
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A method of calculating the probability of an event being observed during the occurrence of one or more simultaneous events in a system, said method comprising the step of calculating said probability according to the equation:

  • Peventi=∫

    0

    hi(t)*Rsys(t)dt+Pevent0i, wherein Peventi is the probability that a particular event will be observed;

    hi(t) is the instantaneous rate of occurrence of event i;

    Rsys(t) is the reliability function of the system in which said events may occur; and

    Pevent0i is the probability that an event will be observed when said event occurs simultaneously with other events; and

    i represents a particular event.

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