Trending system
First Claim
1. A trending system comprising:
- a sliding window filter; and
wherein;
the sliding window filter receives a data set from a clock system;
the data set comprises a plurality of data points;
the sliding window filter selects multiple data windows in the data set;
each of the data windows includes a subset plurality of the data points in the data set;
the sliding window filter generates estimates, upper confidence bounds and lower confidence bounds for each data point through regression and interval estimation over each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point;
the sliding window filter compares the interval widths of the confidence intervals produced by regression over each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point; and
the sliding window filter selects a fit for each data point that results in the smallest confidence interval for that data point.
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Abstract
A trending system and method for trending data in a physical or clock system. The trending system includes a sliding window filter. The sliding window filter receives a data set of data points generated by the clock system. The sliding window filter partitions the data set into a plurality of data windows, and uses the data windows to calculate upper and lower confidence bounds for the data set. Specifically, the sliding window filter calculates upper confidence bounds and lower confidence bounds for each data point using each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point. The sliding window filter then selects the upper confidence bounds and the lower confidence bounds that result in the smallest mean prediction confidence interval for that data point. This results in a smoothed estimated trend for the data set that can be used for prognostication and fault detection.
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Citations
36 Claims
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1. A trending system comprising:
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a sliding window filter; and
wherein;
the sliding window filter receives a data set from a clock system;
the data set comprises a plurality of data points;
the sliding window filter selects multiple data windows in the data set;
each of the data windows includes a subset plurality of the data points in the data set;
the sliding window filter generates estimates, upper confidence bounds and lower confidence bounds for each data point through regression and interval estimation over each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point;
the sliding window filter compares the interval widths of the confidence intervals produced by regression over each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point; and
the sliding window filter selects a fit for each data point that results in the smallest confidence interval for that data point. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. A method of trending data from a system, comprising:
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receiving from the system a data set comprising a plurality of data points;
selecting multiple data windows in the data set, each of the data windows having a subset plurality of data points;
generating upper confidence bounds and lower confidence bounds for each of the data points using each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point; and
selecting an upper confidence bound and a lower confidence bound for each data point that results in the smallest confidence interval. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22)
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23. A trending system comprising:
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a trending program; and
signal bearing media bearing the trending program; and
wherein;
the trending program comprises a sliding window filter;
the sliding window filter receives a data set from a physical system;
the data set comprises a plurality of data points;
the sliding window filter selects multiple data windows in the data set;
each of the data windows has a subset plurality of the data points in the data set;
the sliding window filter generates upper confidence bounds and lower confidence bounds for each data point using each of the multiple data windows that includes the data point; and
the sliding window filter selects an upper confidence bound and a lower confidence bound for each data point that results in the smallest confidence interval for that data point. - View Dependent Claims (24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36)
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Specification