Space weather prediction system and method
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Abstract
A system and method of forecasting space weather (at Earth or another location) based on identifying complex patterns in solar, interplanetary, or geophysical data. These data may include current or historical measurements and/or modeled data (predicted or simulated). Data patterns (both non-event and event-related) are identified (even when another event is occurring). Such patterns may vary with recent/cyclic variations in solar (e.g. solar max/min), interplanetary, or geophysical activity. Embodiments are built around: (1) templates, (2) expert systems, (3) neural networks, (4) hybrid systems comprising combinations of (1), (2) and/or (3), and multimodal intelligent systems. Forecasts are customized and/or updated as new data arise and as systems are dynamically modified (e.g. via feedback between system parts). Numerical or other indexes are generated representing: forecasts, associated confidence levels, etc. The invention predicts events/non-events and/or other values or parameters associated with space weather (e.g. Dst, event onset time, duration, etc.)
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Citations
26 Claims
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1-22. -22. (canceled)
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23. A method for notifying a user of possible non-space weather events comprising:
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providing predictions or identifications of conditions to a notification module, the notification module comprising user data specifying one or more of a position of a user'"'"'s asset or a susceptibility of the user'"'"'s asset to non-space weather events;
means for receiving the predictions or identifications of the non-space weather conditions, and data specifying rules for actions to be performed in response to the received predictions or identifications of non-space weather conditions; and
performing the actions specified in the rules based on the provided predictions or identifications. - View Dependent Claims (24)
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25. A system for notifying a user of possible non-space weather events comprising:
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a notification module comprising user data specifying one or more of a position of a user'"'"'s asset or a susceptibility of the user'"'"'s asset to non-space weather events;
means for receiving the predictions or identifications of the non-space weather conditions, and data specifying rules for actions to be performed in response to the received predictions or identifications of non-space weather conditions; and
means for initiating the actions specified in the rules based on the provided predictions or identifications. - View Dependent Claims (26)
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Specification