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Method for accessing and analyzing medically related information from multiple sources collected into one or more databases for deriving illness probability and/or for generating alerts for the detection of emergency events relating to disease management including HIV and SARS, and for syndromic surveillance of infectious disease and for predicting risk of adverse events to one or more drugs

  • US 20060036619A1
  • Filed: 08/04/2005
  • Published: 02/16/2006
  • Est. Priority Date: 08/09/2004
  • Status: Abandoned Application
First Claim
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1. A method for deriving illness probability for any selected person within a database of people stored in a computer and/or on a computer network, comprising the steps of:

  • collecting relational data from every person in the system, said relational data including whether a person has a contact relationship with another person in said database;

    utilizing a data base of illnesses infection probability functions given different illnesses and states of nature including data relating to social relationship;

    type of disease;

    probability function of infection given a time unit;

    length of contact of the particular contact relationship link;

    calculating at least one relational path between said person and each person in the data base with whom there is a contact relationship, direct or via other persons in the said database;

    deriving the illness probability of the said person for each of the above relational paths by calculating the probability of the said person being infected with illness by multiplying the illness probabilities of the said person with the probability functions of the persons along the said relationship path; and

    selecting the path with the highest infection probability from at least one relational paths with the highest probability calculated.

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