Commercial market determination and forecasting system and method

• US 20060178957A1
• Filed: 02/09/2005
• Published: 08/10/2006
• Est. Priority Date: 01/18/2005
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Visa USA, Inc. (Visa, Inc.)
• Original Assignee: Visa USA, Inc. (Visa, Inc.)
• Inventors: LeClaire, Justin
• Application Number:
  US11/054,772
• Publication Number:
  US 20060178957A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 705/30
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/04 Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem" market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities G06Q30/0202
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/12 Accounting

Abstract

Methods and apparatus for determining a value of a commercial market that can be supported by an electronic payment solution, forecasting a growth of the commercial market, and using the commercial expenditure value are disclosed. The value of the commercial market can be estimated using auditable economic data that forms part of a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) calculation. The commercial market can be estimated using intermediate inputs, inventory purchase, private fixed investments, and government expenditures. A market growth can then be estimated from the commercial expenditure value and other economic data. The commercial expenditure value can be used in a number of resource allocation and market solution processes.

Claims

1. A method of determining a commercial expenditure value, the method comprising:

obtaining an intermediate inputs value;

obtaining a commercial inventory purchase value; and

determining the commercial expenditure value using the intermediate inputs value and the commercial inventory purchase value.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein the commercial inventory purchase value comprises retail inventory purchase value and a wholesale inventory purchase value.

3. The method of claim 1, wherein determining the commercial expenditure value includes summing the intermediate inputs value with the commercial inventory purchase value and a private fixed investment value and a government expenditure value.

4. The method of claim 1, wherein determining the intermediate inputs value comprises extracting a value of intermediate inputs from a Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) database.

5. The method of claim 1, wherein determining the intermediate inputs value comprises:

obtaining a gross output value from a Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) database;

obtaining a gross domestic product (GDP) value from the BEA database; and

determining the intermediate inputs value based on the gross output value and the GDP value.

6. The method of claim 1 wherein obtaining the commercial inventory purchase value comprises:

obtaining a retail trade purchase value from a Census Bureau database;

obtaining a wholesale trade purchase value from the Census Bureau database; and

determining the commercial inventory purchase value based on the retail trade purchase value and the wholesale trade purchase value.

7. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

obtaining a private fixed investment value;

obtaining a government expenditure value; and

wherein determining the commercial expenditure value comprises determining the commercial expenditure value using the intermediate inputs value, the commercial inventory purchase value, the private fixed investment value, and the government expenditure value.

8. The method of claim 1, wherein the commercial expenditure value comprises a segmented commercial expenditure value.

9. The method of claim 8, wherein the segmented commercial expenditure value is segmented according to a segmentation selected from the group comprising industry, purchase type, and business size.

10. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

generating a report having the commercial expenditure value; and

displaying the report.

11. A method of determining a commercial expenditure value, the method comprising:

obtaining an intermediate inputs value based on data from one or more Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) databases;

obtaining a commercial inventory purchase value based on data from one or more Census Bureau databases;

obtaining a private fixed investment value based on data selected from one or more BEA gross domestic product (GDP) and National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) databases;

obtaining a government expenditure value based on data selected from one or more BEA GDP and NIPA databases; and

determining the commercial expenditure value using the intermediate inputs value, the commercial inventory purchase value, the private fixed investment value, and the government expenditure value.

12. The method of claim 11, further comprising generating a report for one or more payment solution issuers including the commercial expenditure value.

13. A method of using a commercial expenditure value, the method comprising:

obtaining the commercial expenditure value determined using at least an intermediate inputs value and a commercial inventory purchase value; and

forecasting commercial market potential for electronic payment solutions using the commercial expenditure value.

14. The method of claim 13, wherein forecasting commercial market potential comprises:

obtaining a growth forecast; and

projecting a growth of the commercial expenditure value using the growth forecast.

15. The method of claim 13, wherein obtaining the growth forecast comprises obtaining the growth forecast for at least a component of the commercial expenditure value from an economic vendor.

16. The method of claim 13, wherein forecasting commercial market potential comprises forecasting a growth of a segment category within a segmented commercial expenditure value.

17. A method of using a commercial expenditure value, the method comprising:

obtaining the commercial expenditure value determined using at least an intermediate inputs value and a commercial inventory purchase value; and

determining an actionable decision based at least in part on the commercial expenditure value.

18. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises:

determining a market penetration based on the commercial expenditure value; and

allocating resources based in part on the market penetration.

19. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises:

determining a value of expenditures for commercial payment solutions from an issuer; and

determining, based on the value of expenditures from the issuer, a resource allocation for at least one action selected from the group comprising a budget allocation, a personnel allocation, an advertising resource allocation, and a marketing resource allocation.

20. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises targeting at least one business in a segment category of the commercial expenditure value as a client.

21. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises allocating funds to promote adoption and use of a payment solution provided by an issuer.

22. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises assigning personnel to programs for promoting adoption of a commercial payment solution.

23. The method of claim 17, wherein determining the actionable decision comprises marketing to a segment category based at least in part on a segmented commercial expenditure value.

24. One or more processor readable storage devices containing one or more processor usable instructions, when executed by one or more processors, performing the method comprising:

obtaining an intermediate inputs value;

obtaining a commercial inventory purchase value; and

determining the commercial expenditure value using the intermediate inputs value and the commercial inventory purchase value.

25. One or more processor readable storage devices containing one or more processor usable instructions, when executed by one or more processors, performing the method comprising:

obtaining the commercial expenditure value determined using at least an intermediate inputs value and a commercial inventory purchase value; and

determining an actionable decision based at least in part on the commercial expenditure value.