Method and system for transit characteristic prediction
First Claim
1. A method, comprising:
- determining respective transit characteristics from a source location to a plurality of destination locations;
grouping said plurality of destination locations according to a similarity criterion into a plurality of subsets corresponding to respective geographical regions, wherein respective transit characteristics of destination locations grouped into a given respective geographical region each satisfy said similarity criterion;
determining a respective distribution associated with each of said geographical regions, wherein a given respective distribution correlates a given transit characteristic from said source location to a given geographical region with a respective surety factor, wherein said respective surety factor includes a cumulative probability that said given transit characteristic will be achieved; and
dynamically updating said respective transit characteristics, said grouping of destination locations into geographical regions and said respective distributions dependent upon collecting empirical transit data.
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Abstract
A method and system for transit characteristic prediction. In one embodiment, a method may include determining respective transit latencies from a source location to a number of destination locations, and grouping the destination locations according to a similarity criterion into a number of subsets corresponding to respective geographical regions, where transit characteristics of locations grouped into a geographical region may each satisfy the similarity criterion. The method may further include determining a respective distribution associated with each of the geographical regions, where a given respective distribution correlates a given transit characteristic from the source location to a given geographical region with a respective surety factor, where the respective surety factor includes a cumulative probability that the given transit characteristic will be achieved. The method may also include dynamically updating the respective transit characteristic, the grouping of destination locations into geographical regions and the respective distributions dependent upon collecting empirical transit data.
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Citations
53 Claims
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1. A method, comprising:
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determining respective transit characteristics from a source location to a plurality of destination locations;
grouping said plurality of destination locations according to a similarity criterion into a plurality of subsets corresponding to respective geographical regions, wherein respective transit characteristics of destination locations grouped into a given respective geographical region each satisfy said similarity criterion;
determining a respective distribution associated with each of said geographical regions, wherein a given respective distribution correlates a given transit characteristic from said source location to a given geographical region with a respective surety factor, wherein said respective surety factor includes a cumulative probability that said given transit characteristic will be achieved; and
dynamically updating said respective transit characteristics, said grouping of destination locations into geographical regions and said respective distributions dependent upon collecting empirical transit data. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16)
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17. A computer-accessible medium comprising program instructions, wherein the program instructions are executable to:
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determine respective transit characteristics from a source location to a plurality of destination locations;
group said plurality of destination locations according to a similarity criterion into a plurality of subsets corresponding to respective geographical regions, wherein respective transit characteristics of destination locations grouped into a given respective geographical region each satisfy said similarity criterion;
determine a respective distribution associated with each of said geographical regions, wherein a given respective distribution correlates a given transit characteristic from said source location to a given geographical region with a respective surety factor, wherein said respective surety factor includes a cumulative probability that said given transit characteristic will be achieved; and
dynamically update said respective transit characteristics, said grouping of destination locations into geographical regions and said respective distributions dependent upon collecting empirical transit data. - View Dependent Claims (18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32)
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33. A system, comprising:
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an application program;
a web services interface; and
a transit characteristic model;
wherein said application program is configured to request from said transit characteristic model via said web services interface a prediction of a transit characteristic from a source location to a given destination location;
wherein said transit characteristic model is configured to;
determine respective transit characteristics from said source location to a plurality of destination locations;
group said plurality of destination locations according to a similarity criterion into a plurality of subsets corresponding to respective geographical regions, wherein respective transit characteristics of destination locations grouped into a given respective geographical region each satisfy said similarity criterion;
determine a respective distribution associated with each of said geographical regions, wherein a given respective distribution correlates a given transit characteristic from said source location to a given geographical region with a respective surety factor, wherein said respective surety factor includes a cumulative probability that said given transit characteristic will be achieved; and
predict said transit characteristic to said given destination location, wherein said predicting includes determining that said particular destination location falls within a particular one of said geographical regions, evaluating said respective distribution associated with said particular geographical region to determine said predicted transit characteristic, and returning said predicted transit characteristic to said application. - View Dependent Claims (34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45)
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46. A system, comprising:
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a computer-implemented transit characteristic model configured to predict respective transit characteristics from a given source location to each a plurality of geographical regions, wherein each of said plurality of geographical regions is represented within said transit characteristic model by one or more coordinates, and wherein respective transit characteristics from said given source location to a plurality of destination locations within a given geographical region satisfy a similarity criterion; and
an application configured to request a transit characteristic prediction from said transit characteristic model. - View Dependent Claims (47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53)
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Specification