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Risk modeling system

  • US 20070016542A1
  • Filed: 07/01/2006
  • Published: 01/18/2007
  • Est. Priority Date: 07/01/2005
  • Status: Abandoned Application
First Claim
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1. A modeling system that operates on an initial data collection which includes risk factors and outcomes, comprising:

  • data storage for a plurality of risk factors and outcomes that are associated with the risk factors;

    a library of algorithms that operate to test variable interactions between the risk factors and results to confirm statistical validity of the associations;

    optimization logic that forms and tunes ensembles by receiving groups of risk factors, selecting predetermined design patterns for calculations at respective ensemble parts according to a set of predefined rules, and relating the respective parts of the ensemble to establish required data flow between the respective components;

    the optimization logic operating to form a plurality of such ensembles on an iterative basis, test the ensembles for fitness, and select the best ensemble for use as a production model; and

    means for interacting with the production risk model to perform business operations using the production risk model as a predictive tool.

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