Trusted decision support system and method

• US 20070022079A1
• Filed: 05/03/2006
• Published: 01/25/2007
• Est. Priority Date: 05/03/2005
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Gregory P. Benson
• Original Assignee: Gregory P. Benson
• Inventors: Benson, Greg, Fistonich, Matthew
• Application Number:
  US11/418,447
• Publication Number:
  US 20070022079A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/59
• CPC Class Codes: G05B 13/0275 using fuzzy logic only
• CPC Class Codes: G06F 11/202 where processing functionality is redundant redundant communication control functionality G06F11/2005, redundant storage control functionality G06F11/2089
• CPC Class Codes: G06F 21/52 during program execution, e.g. stack integrity ; Preventing unwanted data erasure; Buffer overflow
• CPC Class Codes: G06F 2221/034 Test or assess a computer or a system
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 20/00 Machine learning
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 5/048 Fuzzy inferencing
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 7/01 Probabilistic graphical models, e.g. probabilistic networks
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/08 Logistics, e.g. warehousing, loading or distribution; Inventory or stock management
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/0833 Tracking
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/02 Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/26 Government or public services business processes related to the transportation industry G06Q50/40
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/40 Business processes related to the transportation industry shipping G06Q10/083
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 2009/0092 for cargo, freight or shipping containers and applications therefore in general
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 5/008 communicating information to a remotely located station transmission systems for measured values G08C
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 5/085 using electronic data carriers
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 5/0891 Video recorder in combination with video camera
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 9/257 electronically G07C9/26 takes precedence
• CPC Class Codes: G07C 9/37 using biometric data, e.g. fingerprints, iris scans or voice recognition
• CPC Class Codes: G07F 7/0636 in which the trolleys or carts are kept in a restricted zone such as a coral-like enclosure, or are passing a gate before use is possible
• CPC Class Codes: G07G 1/0036 Checkout procedures
• CPC Class Codes: G07G 3/00 : Alarm indicators, e.g. bells
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 13/196 : using television cameras
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 13/22 : Electrical actuation
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 13/2454 : Checking of authorisation of a person accessing tagged items in an EAS system
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 21/02 : Alarms for ensuring the safety of persons
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 21/12 : responsive to undesired emission of substances, e.g. pollution alarms
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 25/14 : Central alarm receiver or annunciator arrangements
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 29/04 : Monitoring of the detection circuits
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 29/16 : Security signalling or alarm systems, e.g. redundant systems
• CPC Class Codes: H04K 3/22 : including jamming detection and monitoring
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 2209/805 : Lightweight hardware, e.g. radio-frequency identification [RFID] or sensor
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 63/0428 : wherein the data content is protected, e.g. by encrypting or encapsulating the payload
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 63/10 : for controlling access to devices or network resources
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 63/101 : Access control lists [ACL]
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 67/025 : for remote control or remote monitoring of applications
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 67/12 : specially adapted for proprietary or special-purpose networking environments, e.g. medical networks, sensor networks, networks in vehicles or remote metering networks
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 67/52 : specially adapted for the location of the user terminal
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 67/535 : Tracking the activity of the user network monitoring arrangements H04L43/00; recording of computer activity G06F11/34
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 9/3236 : using cryptographic hash functions
• CPC Class Codes: H04L 9/3247 : involving digital signatures
• CPC Class Codes: H04N 7/181 : for receiving images from a plurality of remote sources

Abstract

Methods and apparatus for providing a comprehensive decision support system to include predictions, recommendations with consequences and optimal follow-up actions in specific situations are described. Data is obtained from multiple disparate data sources, depending on the information deemed necessary for the situation being modeled. Some embodiments perform complex systems modeling including performing massive correlative analyses of the data obtained from the multiple disparate data sources with current situational data obtained regarding the situation for which the decision support process is being utilized. The decision support system provides a prediction or predictions and a recommendation or a choice of recommendations based on the correlative analysis and/or other analyses. In some embodiments the decision support system provides possible consequences that could result from a recommendation. In other embodiments the decision support system provides a list of tasks for acting upon a recommendation. Also described are methods and apparatus for developing application specific decision support models. The decision support model development process may include identifying multiple disparate data sources for retrieval of related information, selection of classification variables to be retrieved from the data sources, assignment of weights to each classification variable, selecting and/or defining rules, and selecting and/or defining analysis functions.

Claims

1. A recommended action system comprising:

a database of previously received data;

a database of previously recommended actions associated with the previously received data; and

an electronic device configured to receive current data, correlate the current data with previously received data, and to generate one or more recommended actions based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previously recommended actions.

2. The system of claim 1, wherein the received current data is from disparate sources.

3. The system of claim 1, further comprising a statistical analysis engine configured to perform statistical analysis on the received current data.

4. The system of claim 3, wherein the statistical analyses engine is configured to be programmed with one or more models, wherein each model comprises mathematical instructions for processing the received data.

5. The system of claim 4, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise weights assigned to the received current data according to at least one of the data source from which the received current data was received and the age of the received current data.

6. The system of claim 4, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise at least one of fuzzy logic instructions, Bayesian analyses instructions, neural network analyses instructions, probability calculation instructions, mean calculation instructions, confidence interval calculation instructions, Z-test instructions, T-test instructions, autoregressive modeling instructions, and residual analysis instructions for multiple regression.

7. The system of claim 1, wherein the electronic device is further configured to predict one or more outcomes based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previously recommended actions.

8. A prediction system comprising:

a database of previously received data;

a database of previously predicted outcomes associated with the previously received data; and

an electronic device configured to receive current data, to correlate the current data with previously received data, and to predict one or more outcomes based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previously predicted outcomes.

9. The system of claim 8, wherein the received current data is from disparate sources.

10. The system of claim 8, further comprising a statistical analysis engine configured to perform statistical analysis on the received current data.

11. The system of claim 10, wherein the statistical analyses engine is configured to be programmed with one or more models, wherein each model comprises mathematical instructions for processing the received data.

12. The system of claim 11, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise weights assigned to the received current data according to at least one of the data source from which the received current data was received and the age of the received current data.

13. The system of claim 11, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise at least one of fuzzy logic instructions, Bayesian analyses instructions, neural network analyses instructions, probability calculation instructions, mean calculation instructions, confidence interval calculation instructions, Z-test instructions, T-test instructions, autoregressive modeling instructions, and residual analysis instructions for multiple regression.

14. The system of claim 8, wherein the electronic device is further configured to generate one or more recommended actions based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previously predicted outcomes.

15. A recommended action system comprising:

a database of previously received data;

a database of previous actual outcomes associated with the previously received data; and

an electronic device configured to receive current data, correlate the current data with previously received data, and to generate one or more recommended actions based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previous actual outcomes.

16. The system of claim 15, wherein the received current data is from disparate sources.

17. The system of claim 15, further comprising a statistical analysis engine configured to perform statistical analysis on the received current data.

18. The system of claim 17, wherein the statistical analyses engine is configured to be programmed with one or more models, wherein each model comprises mathematical instructions for processing the received current data.

19. The system of claim 18, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise weights assigned to the received current data according to at least one of the data source from which the received current data was received and the age of the received current data.

20. The system of claim 18, wherein the mathematical instructions comprise at least one of fuzzy logic instructions, Bayesian analyses instructions, neural network analyses instructions, probability calculation instructions, mean calculation instructions, confidence interval calculation instructions, Z-test instructions, T-test instructions, autoregressive modeling instructions, and residual analysis instructions for multiple regression.

21. The system of claim 15, wherein the electronic device is further configured to predict one or more outcomes based at least in part on the received data, the correlation, and the previous actual outcomes.