Method for Modeling, Analyzing, and Predicting Disjunctive Systems
First Claim
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1. A computer-implemented method of modeling and analyzing disjunctive systems, especially systems containing human behaviors, comprising:
- providing information relating to the behavior comprising a number of discrete variables each comprising at least two alternative states;
creating from the information a model that defines paths comprising a series of steps from one variable state to another to one or more outcomes;
assigning probabilities to the steps of the paths;
storing the model, including the assigned probabilities, in an electronic database; and
using a computer processor to determine the cumulative effect of the paths on the probability of outcomes.
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Abstract
A method for analyzing and forecasting complex disjunctive systems, which is thus particularly suitable for handling human behaviors.
18 Citations
25 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method of modeling and analyzing disjunctive systems, especially systems containing human behaviors, comprising:
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providing information relating to the behavior comprising a number of discrete variables each comprising at least two alternative states;
creating from the information a model that defines paths comprising a series of steps from one variable state to another to one or more outcomes;
assigning probabilities to the steps of the paths;
storing the model, including the assigned probabilities, in an electronic database; and
using a computer processor to determine the cumulative effect of the paths on the probability of outcomes. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25)
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Specification