System, method, and computer program to predict the likelihood, the extent, and the time of an event or change occurrence using a combination of cognitive causal models with reasoning and text processing for knowledge driven decision support
First Claim
1. A system for assisting knowledge driven decision support by the prediction of information, comprising:
- a domain building tool for creating a domain model defining at least two domain concepts and at least one causal relationship between the domain concepts;
a reasoning tool adapted for employing the domain model by using at least two of the domain concepts and at least one of the causal relationships of the domain concepts for determining a result representing the prediction of an event occurrence, wherein at least one of the causal relationships being used is between two of the domain concepts being used, wherein the reasoning tool comprises a transformation routine capable of transforming the domain model into a mathematical formalization of the domain model; and
a processing element capable of communicating with the transformation routine for transforming the domain model into a mathematical formalization of the domain model, and communicating with the reasoning tool for performing reasoning analysis in accordance with the domain model using the mathematical formalization of the domain model to derive a predictive result.
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Abstract
Provided are systems, methods, and computer programs for predicting the likelihood, the extent, and/or the time of an event or change of occurrence using a combination of cognitive causal models with reasoning and text processing for knowledge driven decision support. Additional information may be required for particular queries, such as to predict the extent or time of events and change occurrences. An example knowledge driven decision support system for the prediction of information may include a domain model defining at least two domain concepts and at least one causal relationship between the domain concepts and a reasoning tool for employing the domain model by using at least two of the domain concepts and at least one of the causal relationships of the domain concepts to analyze at least one document for determining a result representing the prediction of an event occurrence, wherein at least one of the causal relationships being used is between two of the domain concepts being used.
55 Citations
19 Claims
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1. A system for assisting knowledge driven decision support by the prediction of information, comprising:
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a domain building tool for creating a domain model defining at least two domain concepts and at least one causal relationship between the domain concepts;
a reasoning tool adapted for employing the domain model by using at least two of the domain concepts and at least one of the causal relationships of the domain concepts for determining a result representing the prediction of an event occurrence, wherein at least one of the causal relationships being used is between two of the domain concepts being used, wherein the reasoning tool comprises a transformation routine capable of transforming the domain model into a mathematical formalization of the domain model; and
a processing element capable of communicating with the transformation routine for transforming the domain model into a mathematical formalization of the domain model, and communicating with the reasoning tool for performing reasoning analysis in accordance with the domain model using the mathematical formalization of the domain model to derive a predictive result. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9)
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10. A method of predicting information, comprising:
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providing a domain model representing domain concepts and causal relationships between the domain concepts;
receiving a query for resulting predictive information using the domain model;
transforming the domain model into a formalism according to the query; and
performing reasoning analysis according to the formalism and the query, wherein the domain model supports prediction of the reasoning analysis in accordance with the query to produce the resulting predictive information. - View Dependent Claims (11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16)
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17. A computer program comprising a computer-useable medium having control logic stored therein for predicting information using a domain model, the control logic comprising:
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a first code adapted to provide the domain model representing domain concepts and causal relationships between the domain concepts;
a second code adapted to receive a query for resulting predictive information using the domain model;
a third code adapted to transform the domain model into a formalism according to the query; and
a fourth code adapted to perform reasoning analysis according to the formalism and the query, wherein the domain model supports prediction of the reasoning analysis in accordance with the query to produce the resulting predictive information. - View Dependent Claims (18, 19)
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Specification