System and method for providing terrorism intelligence indications and warnings

• US 20070198450A1
• Filed: 01/05/2007
• Published: 08/23/2007
• Est. Priority Date: 01/05/2006
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Sundri Khalsa
• Original Assignee: Sundri Khalsa
• Inventors: Khalsa, Sundri
• Granted Patent: US 7,644,056 B2
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/47
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06 Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling

Abstract

The present invention provides a system and method for providing terrorism intelligence indications and warning consisting of multiple tasks that create warning products on a Website and in which the associated computer program maintains a Webpage that tracks and displays each analyst'"'"'s pending tasks based on their assigned responsibilities in the system.

Claims

1. A system for providing terrorism indications and warning, said system comprising:

a plurality of analysts;

a computer program for maintaining a Webpage that tracks and displays a task of each analyst;

a list of prioritized terrorism indicators and indicator question sets to aid analysts in identifying information for forecasting a topic;

a list of prioritized collection requirements to aid help said analysts publish an intelligence collection plan;

a terrorism forecasting master database to aid analysts in consolidating collected information;

a Webpage hypothesis matrix that is automatically populated by said master database to aid analysts in sorting collected information;

a partly automated systematic process that combines intuitive and structured techniques to aid analysts in drawing conclusions;

a plurality of re-prioritized collection requirements in said intelligence collection plan to aid analysts in focusing on an intelligence gap to refine said conclusions; and

a plurality of Website templates to aid analysts in communicating conclusions and in providing warning.

2. A method for providing terrorism indications and warning, said method comprising:

identifying information required to forecast a topic;

publishing an intelligence collection plan using a computer program;

consolidating information using a master database;

sorting the information;

drawing conclusions based on the information;

focusing on an intelligence gap to refine conclusions;

communicating the conclusions; and

giving warning of a threat.

3. The method of claim 2 wherein indicator question sets are published as intelligence collection requirements.

4. The method of claim 2 wherein intelligence collectors profile raw intelligence reports according to data profile elements including terrorist individuals, terrorist groups, countries, targets, indicators and indicator questions.

5. The method of claim 2 further comprising using the computer program to create potential terrorist hypotheses matrices with hyperlinks to raw intelligence reports.

6. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program assesses a terrorist group threat warning level, an affiliation between a terrorist group and a terrorist network;

a terrorist network threat warning level, and a terrorist individual threat warning level.

7. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program and an analyst write and update a terrorist group threat warning narrative.

8. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program and an analyst update a trend analysis of warning levels for terrorist group and network threat and terrorist individual.

9. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program and an analyst update a trend analysis of warning levels for terrorist group and network threat and terrorist individual.

10. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program and an analyst update a warning failure and a warning success comparison case study data.

11. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program reprioritizes indicator questions.

12. The method of claim 2 wherein the analyst adds indicator questions.

13. The method of claim 2 wherein the computer program creates potential terrorist individual hypothesis matrix Webpages.

14. The method of claim 2 wherein indicator warning level numbers are combined using mathematical probability rules and theories to determine overarching warning level numbers.

15. The method of claim 2 wherein a terrorist group threat warning level is determined by combining the terrorist group'"'"'s intention warning level and the terrorist group'"'"'s capability warning level.

16. The method of claim 2 wherein terrorist individuals are assigned warning levels based on terrorist position indicator warning levels and by combining the terrorist'"'"'s position priority and threatening activity level.

17. The method of claim 2 wherein a terrorist group threat warning narrative is created by combining all indicator narratives related to a given terrorist group, by combining all indicator narratives related to a given terrorist network, and by combining all the indicator narratives related to a given terrorist individual.

18. The method of claim 2 wherein terrorism intelligence indications and warning methodology is applied to warning failure data and to warning success data to create indicator-based warning failure profiles.