Prediction Method and Device For Evaluating and Forecasting Stochastic Events
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Abstract
The invention relates to a prediction method and device for evaluating and forecasting stochastic events. The problem with prediction methods and devices of this type is that they have a potentially static structure and cannot be adapted to modified data records or modified marginal conditions of the stochastic events. As the invention uses a feedback of the evaluation results, a novel prediction method and a dynamic prediction device can be provided. The method and device are in addition characterized in that they can process the input parameter records and input conditions in real time, while allowing a modified variable allocation to be included via an additional set-up input.
29 Citations
34 Claims
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1-18. -18. (canceled)
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19. Prediction method for dynamically evaluating and forecasting stochastic events, in which an event data set is applied to a request input (11) of a processing unit (5) as a request (35), in the form of a defined, but not necessarily standardized, n-tuple, and each event data set is answered with a binary event value, 0 or 1, at a response output (12) of the processing unit (5), whereby then the event data set is rejected or passed to a subsequent evaluation unit (6), as a function of this event value, the evaluation result of which unit is fed back to a return input (10) of the processing unit (5), whereby the parameters of the event data sets can be defined by means of a set-up input (15) of the processing unit (5), whereby additional parameters can be entered into and defined in the event data set to be processed, “
- on the fly,”
or parameters can be eliminated, by way of the set-up input (15). - View Dependent Claims (20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28)
- on the fly,”
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29. Prediction device for dynamically evaluating and predicting stochastic events, comprising a processing unit (5) and an evaluation unit (6), for implementing an evaluation process, which are connected with one another in the form of a simple, self-adapting regulation circuit, whereby the processing unit (5) has a request input (11) to which an event data set in the form of an n-tuple is applied, in each instance, and a response output (12) for outputting a digital event value, 0 or 1, in response to the event data set, in each instance, is provided, whereby either feed-back of the evaluation result of the evaluation unit (6) to an additional score input (23) of the processing unit (5) is provided as a function of the event value, with the interposition of the evaluation unit (6), or no further processing of the event data set is provided, and the processing unit (5) has an additional set-up input (15), by way of which the type and number of the variables of the event data set can be entered and/or changed “
- on the fly.”
- View Dependent Claims (30, 31, 32, 33, 34)
- on the fly.”
Specification