METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR REMOTELY PREDICTING THE REMAINING LIFE OF AN AC MOTOR SYSTEM
First Claim
1. A method of remotely determining both reliability and a remaining time before a failure for at least one AC motor system located on a site, the method comprising:
- providing at least one remote monitoring and diagnostics (RM&
D) system, wherein the at least one RM&
D system is at a location different from the site having the at least one AC motor system;
integrating the at least one RM&
D system with at least one condition forecaster, wherein the at least one condition forecaster receives a plurality of operating data from the at least one AC motor system;
receiving the plurality of operating data from the condition forecaster;
transmitting a plurality of historical operating data corresponding to the at least one AC motor system from at least one historical database to the at least one RM&
D system;
utilizing the plurality of operating data to determine whether reliability and the remaining time before the failure of the at least one AC motor system are within an alarm range; and
if reliability and the remaining time before the failure of the at least one AC motor system are within the alarm range;
then notifying at least one support network.
1 Assignment
0 Petitions
Accused Products
Abstract
A method and system for remotely predicting the reliability and the remaining time before failure for an AC motor system is provided. The method and system may remotely determine the reliability and a remaining time before failure with a statistical confidence utilizing an AC motor condition forecaster. The method and system may include acquiring historical motor data, obtaining operational data, performing failure analysis, developing a causal network, and performing an integrated causal network and reliability analysis of the AC motor system. The method and system may provide at least one notification of an issue with the AC motor system or at least one component of the AC motor system.
35 Citations
19 Claims
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1. A method of remotely determining both reliability and a remaining time before a failure for at least one AC motor system located on a site, the method comprising:
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providing at least one remote monitoring and diagnostics (RM&
D) system, wherein the at least one RM&
D system is at a location different from the site having the at least one AC motor system;integrating the at least one RM&
D system with at least one condition forecaster, wherein the at least one condition forecaster receives a plurality of operating data from the at least one AC motor system;receiving the plurality of operating data from the condition forecaster; transmitting a plurality of historical operating data corresponding to the at least one AC motor system from at least one historical database to the at least one RM&
D system;utilizing the plurality of operating data to determine whether reliability and the remaining time before the failure of the at least one AC motor system are within an alarm range; and if reliability and the remaining time before the failure of the at least one AC motor system are within the alarm range;
then notifying at least one support network. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)
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9. A method of remotely determining both reliability and a remaining time before a failure for at least one AC motor system located on a site, the method comprising
providing at least one remote monitoring and diagnostics (RM& - D) system, wherein the at least one RM&
D system is at a location different from the site having the at least one AC motor system;integrating the at least one RM&
D system with at least one condition forecaster, wherein the at least one condition forecaster receives a plurality of operating data from the at least one AC motor system;
wherein the at least one condition forecaster comprises the steps of;performing at least one failure analysis based on a composite of reliability probability distributions corresponding to predetermined sub-populations of historical failure causes relating to the at least one AC motor system; developing at least one causal network for modeling reliability of a plurality of AC motor systems, including the at least one AC motor system and assessing at least one AC motor system component condition based on the causal network; and performing at least one integrated causal network and reliability analysis of the at least one AC motor system utilizing a Weibull probability distribution function;
wherein results from the at least one analysis is integrated with results from the step of assessing the at least one AC motor system component condition based on the at least one causal network to compute a quantitative value for a time remaining before the failure;transmitting the plurality of operating data from the condition forecaster to the at least one RM&
D system, wherein the plurality of operating data comprises data from at least one tan delta sensor;receiving a plurality of historical operating data corresponding to the at least one AC motor system from at least one historical database; utilizing the plurality of operating data to determine whether reliability and a remaining time before a failure of the at least one AC motor system are within an alarm range; and if reliability and the remaining time before the failure of the at least one AC motor system are within the alarm range;
then notifying at least one support network. - View Dependent Claims (10, 11, 12)
- D) system, wherein the at least one RM&
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13. A system for remotely determining both reliability and a remaining time before a failure for at least one AC motor system located on a site, the system comprising:
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at least one remote monitoring and diagnostics (RM&
D) system, wherein the at least one RM&
D system is located at a site different from the site having the at least one AC motor system, wherein the at least one RM&
D system monitors a plurality of operating data of the at least one AC motor system;at least one condition forecaster, wherein the at least one condition forecaster; performs at least one failure analysis based on a composite of reliability probability distributions corresponding to predetermined sub-populations of historical failure causes relating to the at least one AC motor system; develops at least one causal network for modeling reliability of a plurality of AC motor systems, including the at least one AC motor system and assessing at least one AC motor system component condition based on the causal network; and performs at least one integrated causal network and reliability analysis of the at least one AC motor system;
wherein results from the at least one analysis is integrated with results from the step of assessing the at least one AC motor system component condition based on the at least one causal network to compute a quantitative value for a time remaining before the failure;wherein the plurality of operating data comprises data from at least one tan delta sensor; means for integrating the at least one RM&
D system with the at least one condition forecaster; andmeans for transmitting the plurality of operating data from the condition forecaster to the at least one RM&
D system. - View Dependent Claims (14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19)
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Specification