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System and method for forecasting real-world occurrences

  • US 20090198641A1
  • Filed: 10/10/2008
  • Published: 08/06/2009
  • Est. Priority Date: 10/12/2007
  • Status: Abandoned Application
First Claim
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1. A computer-implemented method of forecasting, comprising:

  • providing data relating to prior transactions;

    providing a user-interface with a set of analysis parameters, the analysis parameters being associated with details of the prior transactions;

    providing one or more conditions via the user interface associated with respective analysis parameters to forecast a probability of a future event;

    selecting via the user interface at least one pivot variable, the pivot variable being associated with one or more of the analysis parameters;

    calculating at least one probability of a future event based on a trend established in the occurrence of each prior transaction in relation to the pivot variable and existence of a condition related to the pivot variable.

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