System and method for forecasting real-world occurrences
First Claim
1. A computer-implemented method of forecasting, comprising:
- providing data relating to prior transactions;
providing a user-interface with a set of analysis parameters, the analysis parameters being associated with details of the prior transactions;
providing one or more conditions via the user interface associated with respective analysis parameters to forecast a probability of a future event;
selecting via the user interface at least one pivot variable, the pivot variable being associated with one or more of the analysis parameters;
calculating at least one probability of a future event based on a trend established in the occurrence of each prior transaction in relation to the pivot variable and existence of a condition related to the pivot variable.
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Accused Products
Abstract
A method of predicting the occurrence of crime is provided, where information relating to prior transactions is provided, and where each transaction is a past incident where law enforcement units were involved. A set of analysis parameters relating to details associated with the incident may be selected and conditions associated with respective analysis parameters are selected. Further, at least one pivot variable may be selected, each pivot variable corresponding to one or more analysis parameters, and a frequency of the occurrence of the past incidents in relation to the pivot variables may be computed. Thus, a probability of a future incident occurring may be determined based on existence of a condition related to the pivot variable.
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Citations
19 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method of forecasting, comprising:
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providing data relating to prior transactions; providing a user-interface with a set of analysis parameters, the analysis parameters being associated with details of the prior transactions; providing one or more conditions via the user interface associated with respective analysis parameters to forecast a probability of a future event; selecting via the user interface at least one pivot variable, the pivot variable being associated with one or more of the analysis parameters; calculating at least one probability of a future event based on a trend established in the occurrence of each prior transaction in relation to the pivot variable and existence of a condition related to the pivot variable. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. A system for forecasting incidents requiring law enforcement attention, comprising:
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an input device for receiving data relating to prior incidents requiring law enforcement attention, and for receiving user selections of variables; a processor for analyzing the data with respect to each of a set of selected analysis parameters, the analysis parameters being associated with details of the prior incidents, and for calculating a probability of future incidents occurring based on a trend established in the occurrence of prior incidents in relation to the selected variable and presence of the selected variable; and an output device for providing an indication of the probability to the user. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14)
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15. A computer-implemented method of predicting the occurrence of crimes, comprising:
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providing information relating to prior transactions, where each transaction is a prior incident where law enforcement units were involved; providing a user interface with a set of analysis parameters, the parameters relating to details associated with the prior incident; providing one or more conditions via the user interface associated with respective analysis parameters to forecast a probability of a future incident; selecting via the user interface at least one pivot variable, the pivot variable being associated with one or more of the analysis parameters; calculating at least one probability of the future incident occurring based on a trend established in the occurrence of each prior transaction in relation to the pivot variable and existence of a condition related to the pivot variable; and generating a display depicting the at least one probability of the future incident. - View Dependent Claims (16, 17, 18, 19)
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Specification