SYSTEM AND METHOD OF FORECASTING USAGE OF NETWORK LINKS
First Claim
1. A method comprising:
- determining traffic data values for traffic over a network link that is used to provide one or more services to one or more customers, wherein the traffic data values are taken at intervals for a predetermined range of time;
compiling a historical data set of peak traffic data values from the traffic data values;
applying a mathematical confidence factor to the peak traffic data values in the historical data set to achieve modified data values;
applying a time-based weighting factor to the modified data values to achieve further modified data values; and
outputting a forecast trend curve of traffic over the network calculated using the further modified data values.
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Abstract
An approach is provided for forecasting usage of network links. The method includes determining traffic data values for traffic over a network link that is used to provide one or more services to one or more customers, where the traffic data values are taken at intervals for a predetermined range of time. A historical data set of peak traffic data values is compiled from the traffic data values. A mathematical confidence factor is applied to the peak traffic data values to achieve modified data values, and a time-based weighting factor is applied to the modified data values to achieve further modified data values. And, a forecast trend curve of traffic over the network is calculated using the further modified data values.
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Citations
22 Claims
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1. A method comprising:
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determining traffic data values for traffic over a network link that is used to provide one or more services to one or more customers, wherein the traffic data values are taken at intervals for a predetermined range of time; compiling a historical data set of peak traffic data values from the traffic data values; applying a mathematical confidence factor to the peak traffic data values in the historical data set to achieve modified data values; applying a time-based weighting factor to the modified data values to achieve further modified data values; and outputting a forecast trend curve of traffic over the network calculated using the further modified data values. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12)
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13. A system comprising:
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a monitoring device configured to audit a network link to determining traffic data values for traffic over the network link that is used to provide one or more services to one or more customers, wherein the monitoring device is configured to audit the traffic data values at intervals for a predetermined range of time; and an analysis module configured to compile a historical data set of peak traffic data values from the traffic data values, apply a mathematical confidence factor to the peak traffic data values in the historical data set to achieve modified data values, apply a time-based weighting factor to the modified data values to achieve further modified data values, and output a forecast trend curve of traffic over the network calculated using the further modified data values. - View Dependent Claims (14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22)
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Specification