SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR REPRESENTING INCONSISTENTLY FORMATTED DATA SETS

• US 20100070446A1
• Filed: 09/12/2008
• Published: 03/18/2010
• Est. Priority Date: 09/12/2008
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Hartford Fire Insurance Company (The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.)
• Original Assignee: Hartford Fire Insurance Company (The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.)
• Inventors: Shipman, Mark Philip
• Application Number:
  US12/209,437
• Publication Number:
  US 20100070446A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/46
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 7/01 Probabilistic graphical models, e.g. probabilistic networks

Abstract

Two or more data sets, arranged in mutually inconsistent formats, are stored in a computer. Software is applied to each data set to discover and generate a topology for a respective Bayesian Belief Network for each of the data sets. The resulting individual constituent Bayesian Belief Networks are combined to produce a combined Bayesian Belief Network. The combined Bayesian Belief Network represents a virtual data set that does not exist but which stands in for a combination of the original data sets. The combined Bayesian Belief Network is a convenient representation that may be analyzed to investigate causality relationships among all of the variables in the constituent data sets.

Claims

1. A method for generating a suggested insurance decision, the method comprising:

storing a first data set in a computer, said first data set containing data related to public driving record information;

storing a second set of data in the computer, said second data set containing data gathered telematically with respect to a first plurality of drivers, said second data set having a different format from said first data set;

processing the first data set with the computer to generate a first Bayesian Belief Network that represents the first data set;

processing the second data set with the computer to generate a second Bayesian Belief Network that represents the second data set;

combining the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks to form a combined Bayesian Belief Network that represents a virtual data set, said virtual data set encompassing at least a portion of each of said first and second data sets;

receiving input with respect to a proposed or current insured; and

generating a signal indicative of a suggested insurance decision with respect to the proposed or current insured, based at least in part on (a) the received input with respect to the proposed or current insured and (b) the combined Bayesian Belief Network.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein:

the first data set is received from a first source; and

the second data set is received from a second source different from the first source.

3. The method of claim 2, wherein:

the input with respect to the proposed or current insured is received from the first and second sources.

4. The method of claim 3, wherein the proposed or current insured is an individual motor vehicle owner.

5. The method of claim 3, wherein the proposed or current insured is an organization that operates a fleet of motor vehicles.

6. The method of claim 1, wherein the insurance decision relates to at least one of underwriting an insurance policy, offering an insurance policy, renewing an insurance policy, adjusting an insurance policy, and pricing an insurance policy.

7. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

storing a third data set in the computer, said third data set containing data gathered telematically with respect to a second plurality of drivers, said second plurality of drivers at least partially different from said first plurality of drivers, said third data set having a different format from each of said first and second data sets; and

processing the third data set with the computer to generate a third Bayesian Belief Network that represents the third data set;

wherein the third Bayesian Belief Network is combined with the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks to form the combined Bayesian Belief Network.

8. The method of claim 1, wherein the suggested insurance decision concerns a motor vehicle collision insurance policy.

9. The method of claim 1, wherein the suggested insurance decision concerns a motor vehicle liability insurance policy.

10. The method of claim 1, wherein:

the first data set includes at least one variable that is not included in the second data set.

11. The method of claim 1, wherein:

combining the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks includes linking the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks via at least one variable that is common to the first and second data sets.

12. The method of claim 1, wherein:

combining the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks includes connecting a node in the first Bayesian Belief Network with a node in the second Bayesian Belief Network.

13. The method of claim 1, wherein:

combining the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks includes operating a graphical user interface on the computer to interconnect the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks.

14. A method comprising:

deriving a first Bayesian Belief Network from a first data set;

deriving a second Bayesian Belief Network from a second data set;

providing at least one link between the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks to generate a composite Bayesian Belief Network, said composite Bayesian Belief Network representing a virtual data set that encompasses at least a portion of each of the first and second data sets; and

storing the composite Bayesian Belief Network in a computer.

15. The method of claim 14, wherein:

deriving the first Bayesian Belief Network includes executing a computer program on the computer to discover from the first data set a topology of the first Bayesian Belief Network; and

deriving the second Bayesian Belief Network includes executing the computer program on the computer to discover from the second data set a topology of the second Bayesian Belief Network.

16. The method of claim 14, wherein providing the at least one link between the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks includes joining the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks at a node that is common to the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks.

17. The method of claim 14, wherein providing the at least one link between the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks includes drawing an arc from a first node included in the first Bayesian Belief Network to a second node included in the second Bayesian Belief Network.

18. A computer system for generating a suggested insurance decision, the computer system comprising:

a processor; and

a memory in communication with the processor and storing program instructions, the processor operative with the program instructions to;

store a first data set in a computer, said first data set containing data related to public driving record information;

store a second set of data in the computer, said second data set containing data gathered telematically with respect to a first plurality of drivers, said second data set having a different format from said first data set;

process the first data set with the computer to generate a first Bayesian Belief Network that represents the first data set;

process the second data set with the computer to generate a second Bayesian Belief Network that represents the second data set;

combine the first and second Bayesian Belief Networks to form a combined Bayesian Belief Network that represents a virtual data set, said virtual data set encompassing at least a portion of each of said first and second data sets;

receive input with respect to a proposed or current insured; and

generate a signal indicative of a suggested insurance decision with respect to the proposed or current insured, based at least in part on (a) the received input with respect to the proposed or current insured and (b) the combined Bayesian Belief Network.

19. A method for generating a suggested insurance decision, the method comprising:

storing a first data set in a computer, said first data set containing data related to public driving record information;

storing a second set of data in the computer, said second data set containing data gathered telematically with respect to a first plurality of drivers, said second data set having a different format from said first data set;

processing the first data set with the computer to generate a first graphical representation that indicates statistical independence relationships among variables in the first data set;

processing the second data set with the computer to generate a second graphical representation that indicates statistical independence relationships among variables in the second data set;

combining the first and second graphical representations to form a third graphical representation that combines at least a portion of the first graphical representation with at least a portion of the second graphical representation;

receiving input with respect to a proposed or current insured; and

generating a signal indicative of a suggested insurance decision with respect to the proposed or current insured, based at least in part on (a) the received input with respect to the proposed or current insured and (b) the third graphical representation.

20. The method of claim 19, wherein:

the first data set is received from a first source; and

the second data set is received from a second source different from the first source.

21. The method of claim 19, wherein the insurance decision relates to at least one of underwriting an insurance policy, offering an insurance policy, renewing an insurance policy, adjusting an insurance policy, and pricing an insurance policy.