METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR SMART METER PROGRAM DEPLOYMENT

• US 20100131329A1
• Filed: 11/25/2008
• Published: 05/27/2010
• Est. Priority Date: 11/25/2008
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: International Business Machines Corporation
• Original Assignee: International Business Machines Corporation
• Inventors: Welch, Mark A., Pemmasani, Sashidhar, An, Lianjun, Subramanian, Dharmashankar, Kalagnanam, Jayant R.
• Application Number:
  US12/277,542
• Publication Number:
  US 20100131329A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 705/10
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/00 Commerce
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/06 Energy or water supply

Abstract

A method, system and article of manufacture are disclosed for modeling a plan for deployment of smart meters in a plurality of locations that are attached to a grid operated by an energy provider that supplies energy to said locations, wherein the smart meters are used to measure the energy supplied by the energy provider to said locations. The method comprises the steps of using a market diffusion model to create a time-varying user adoption profile, including estimating the time lagged benefits realized from deployment of the smart meters; and estimating a response in the demand for said energy due to adoption of the smart meters. A program is used to capture the time-lagged benefits and a given set of constrains for a chosen planning time horizon to develop a meter deployment plan across the various locations and over that planning horizon.

Claims

1. A method of modeling a plan for deployment of smart meters in a plurality of locations that are attached to a grid operated by an energy provider that supplies energy to said locations, wherein the smart meters are used to measure the energy supplied by the energy provider to said locations, the method comprising the steps of:

using a market diffusion model to create a time-varying user adoption profile, including estimating the time lagged benefits realized from deployment of the smart meters;

estimating a response in the demand for said energy due to adoption of the smart meters; and

using a program to capture the time-lagged benefits and a given set of constrains for a chosen planning time horizon to develop a meter deployment plan across the various locations and over the chosen planning horizon.

2. The method according to claim 1, comprising the further step of re-planning to account for changes of resource and budget, and to enable a parameter estimation functionality to iteratively calibrate the market diffusion model.

3. The method according to claim 1, wherein the step of using a market diffusion model includes the step of capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profiles for both demand response and non-demand response related benefits.

4. The method according to claim 3, wherein the step of capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profile includes the step of using a system dynamic model that includes technology diffusion related delays and system maturity related delays.

5. The method according to claim 4, wherein the system dynamic model addresses the user adoption percentage by estimating the adoption percentage dynamics using a logistic innovation diffusion model.

6. The method according to claim 4, wherein the system dynamic model addresses the demand response benefits realization due to:

1) system delay due to the time-maturity of information; and

2) adoption delay due to the dynamics of adoption percentage for Advanced Metering Infrastructure and Demand Response.

7. The method according to claim 1, wherein the estimating step includes the step of estimating the benefit from demand response using defined factors including time-of-use prices for the energy and fixed commodity price thresholds.

8. The method according to claim 7, wherein the defined factors further include load profiles and customer demand-price elasticity.

9. The method according to claim 1, wherein the step of using a program includes the step of setting up a program deployment model in the form of a mathematical program to develop the smart meter deployment plan subject to given budget constraints and given meter availability constraints.

10. The method according to claim 1, wherein:

the step of estimating the time lagged benefits realized from deployment of the smart meters includes estimating said time lagged benefits with consideration of plug-in hybrid automobiles and energy Sell-back enabled via an Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), and without consideration of Plug-in-Hybrid automobiles and Energy Sell-back enabled via the AMI; and

the step of estimating a response in the demand for said energy due to adaption of the smart meters includes estimating said response in the demand for said energy with consideration of Plug-in-Hybrids and Energy Sell-back enabled via AMI, and without the consideration of Plug-in-Hybrid automobiles and Energy Sell-back enabled via the AMI.

11. A system for modeling a plan for deployment of smart meters in a plurality of locations that are attached to a grid operated by an energy provider that supplies energy to said locations, wherein the smart meters are used to measure the energy supplied by the energy provider to said locations, the system comprising one or more processor units configured for:

using a market diffusion model to create a time-varying user adoption profile, including estimating the time lagged benefits realized from deployment of the smart meters;

estimating a response in the demand for said energy due to adoption of the smart meters; and

using a program to capture the time-lagged benefits and a given set of constrains for a chosen planning time horizon to develop a meter deployment plan across the various locations and over the chosen planning horizon.

12. The system according to claim 11, wherein said one or more processor units are further configured for re-planning to account for changes of resource and budget, and to enable a parameter estimation functionality to iteratively calibrate the market diffusion model.

13. The system according to claim 11, wherein the one or more processor units are configured for using a market diffusion model by capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profiles for both demand response and non-demand response related benefits.

14. The system according to claim 13, wherein the one or more processor units are configured for capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profile by using a system dynamic model that includes technology diffusion related delays and system maturity related delays.

15. The system according to claim 11, wherein the one or more processor units are configured for estimating a response in demand by estimating the benefit from demand response using defined factors including time-of-use prices for the energy and fixed commodity price thresholds.

16. An article of manufacture comprising:

at least one computer usable medium having a computer readable program code logic to execute a machine instruction in a processing unit for modeling a plan for deployment of smart meters in a plurality of locations that are attached to a grid operated by an energy provider that supplies energy to said locations, wherein the smart meters are used to measure the energy supplied by the energy provider to said locations, said computer readable program code logic, when executing, performing the following steps;

using a market diffusion model to create a time-varying user adoption profile, including estimating the time lagged benefits realized from deployment of the smart meters;

estimating a response in the demand for said energy due to adoption of the smart meters; and

using a program to capture the time-lagged benefits and a given set of constrains for a chosen planning time horizon to develop a meter deployment plan across the various locations and over the chosen planning horizon.

17. The article of manufacture according to claim 16, wherein said steps further comprise the step of re-planning to account for changes of resource and budget, and to enable a parameter estimation functionality to iteratively calibrate the market diffusion model.

18. The article of manufacture according to claim 16, wherein the step of using a market diffusion model includes the step of capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profiles for both demand response and non-demand response related benefits.

19. The article of manufacture according to claim 18, wherein the step of capturing the time-lagged benefit realization profile includes the step of using a system dynamic model that includes technology diffusion related delays and system maturity related delays.

20. The article of manufacture according to claim 16, wherein the step of estimating a response in demand includes the step of estimating the benefit from demand response using defined factors including time-of-use prices for the energy and fixed commodity price thresholds.