METHOD OF PREDICTING A PLURALITY OF BEHAVIORAL EVENTS AND METHOD OF DISPLAYING INFORMATION

• US 20110016058A1
• Filed: 07/14/2010
• Published: 01/20/2011
• Est. Priority Date: 07/14/2009
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Steven G. Pinchuk
• Original Assignee: Steven G. Pinchuk
• Inventors: Pinchuk, Steven G.
• Application Number:
  US12/836,244
• Publication Number:
  US 20110016058A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 705/348
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/067 Enterprise or organisation modelling
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/02 Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising

Abstract

A computerized method includes: programming a computer to statistically analyze data describing a plurality of types of behavior for a plurality of entities in order to construct a plurality of behavioral patterns; and programming the computer to compare data describing an entity with the plurality of behavioral patterns in order to use one of the plurality of behavioral patterns as a predictive behavioral pattern predicting a plurality of behavioral events for one type of behavior of the entity occurring over any amount of time up to a lifetime of the entity. A computerized method of displaying information includes: programming a computer such that a plurality of windows are displayed by a display device and show a plurality of live systems. The windows show where in the plurality of live systems, the computer derived the information that is requested by the user and that is displayed.

Claims

1. A computerized method of predicting a plurality of behavioral events of an entity, comprising:

programming a computer to construct a plurality of behavioral patterns by statistically analyzing data describing a plurality of entities; and

programming the computer to compare data describing an entity with the plurality of behavioral patterns and using one of the plurality of behavioral patterns as a predictive behavioral pattern predicting a plurality of behavioral events of the entity.

2. The computerized method according to claim 1, wherein the plurality of behavioral events of the entity, which are predicted by the predictive behavioral pattern, occur over any amount of time up to a lifetime of the entity.

3. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises programming the computer to perform the step of constructing the plurality of behavioral patterns by:

for each one of the plurality of behavioral patterns, constructing the one of the plurality of behavioral patterns by forming a plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves from the data, determining which ones of the plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves statistically follow a common behavioral pattern, and using the common behavioral pattern as the one of the plurality of behavioral patterns being constructed.

4. The computerized method according to claim 3, which comprises programming the computer to construct the common behavioral pattern by evaluating a plurality of deviations between the plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves.

5. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises programming the computer to calculate a confidence interval describing a fit between the data describing the entity and the predictive behavioral pattern.

6. The computerized method according to claim 5, which comprises programming the computer to compare the data describing the entity with the confidence interval and to use the results of the comparison to estimate how well the plurality of behavioral events of the entity is predicted by the predictive behavioral pattern.

7. The computerized method according to claim 1, wherein:

when the computer performs the step of constructing the plurality of behavioral patterns, the computer first obtains relevant data which is relevant to a particular type of behavior of the plurality of entities, and then constructs the plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves from the relevant data; and

the plurality of behavioral patterns are relevant to the particular type of behavior.

8. The computerized method according to claim 1, wherein when the computer performs the step of constructing the plurality of behavioral patterns:

the computer obtains relevant data which is relevant to different types of behaviors of the plurality of entities, and then for each one of the different types of behaviors, constructs a plurality of behavioral patterns from the relevant data.

9. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises obtaining at least some of the data being analyzed by enabling an entity to assume a pseudonym while electronically communicating preferences using an electronic device.

10. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises programming the computer such that when performing the step of comparing the data describing the entity with the plurality of behavioral patterns, the computer compares the data describing the entity to a portion of each one of the plurality of behavioral patterns.

11. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises programming the computer such that when performing the step of predicting the plurality of behavioral events of the entity, the computer evaluates an environment in existence when a plurality of events of the predictive behavioral pattern took place and determines whether the environment still exists.

12. The computerized method according to claim 11, which comprises programming the computer such that when the environment is determined to still exist, the computer determines whether the environment effects the entity in the same manner in which the environment effected the plurality of events of the predictive behavioral pattern.

13. The computerized method according to claim 11, which comprises programming the computer such that when the environment is determined to no longer exist, the computer determines an impact of an environment that exists or that will exist on the prediction of the plurality of behavioral events of the entity.

14. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises programming the computer to update the data describing the plurality of entities in real time when there is any addition or change to the data.

15. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

programming the computer to perform the step of constructing the plurality of behavioral patterns by;

for each one of the plurality of behavioral patterns, constructing the one of the plurality of behavioral patterns by forming a plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves from the data, determining which ones of the plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves statistically follow a common behavioral pattern, and using the common behavioral pattern as the one of the plurality of behavioral patterns being constructed;

programming the computer to update the data describing the plurality of entities in real time when there is any addition or change to the data; and

programming the computer to determine whether the updated data describing the plurality of entities changes the plurality of entity specific behavioral pattern curves, the plurality of behavioral patterns, and predictions based on the plurality of behavioral patterns.

16. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

continually or at least periodically obtaining new data from additional sources of data and determining whether the new data is relevant to the step of constructing the plurality of behavioral patterns and to the step of comparing the data describing the entity with the plurality of behavioral patterns; and

if the new data is relevant, continually or at least periodically using the new data to update the data describing the plurality of entities and the data describing the entity.

17. The computerized method according to claim 1, wherein the predictive behavioral pattern is a non-linear function of time.

18. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

programming the computer to enable a user to enter a user defined period of time; and

programming the computer to calculate a future value of the entity over the user defined period of time by evaluating the predictive behavioral pattern;

wherein the future value is a non-linear function of time.

19. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

programming the computer to issue an alert when the entity acts in a manner that deviates from the plurality of behavioral events predicted by the predictive behavioral pattern by more than a predetermined deviation.

20. The computerized method according to claim 19, which comprises:

programming the computer to determine and report a plurality of locations where the entity acts in the manner that deviates from the plurality of behavioral events predicted by the predictive behavioral pattern by more than the predetermined deviation.

21. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

programming the computer to, for each one of a plurality of additional entities, use a respective one of the plurality of behavioral patterns as a predictive pattern predicting a plurality of behavioral events of the one of the plurality of additional entities.

22. The computerized method according to claim 1, which comprises:

programming the computer to obtain updated data by updating the data describing the plurality of entities in real time when there is any addition or change to the data;

programming the computer to construct a plurality of updated behavioral patterns by statistically analyzing the updated data describing a plurality of entities; and

programming the computer to compare data describing an entity with the plurality of updated behavioral patterns and using one of the plurality of updated behavioral patterns as a predictive behavioral pattern predicting a plurality of behavioral events of the entity.

23. The computerized method according to claim 22, which comprises updating the data describing the entity before performing the step of comparing the data describing the entity with the plurality of updated behavioral patterns.

24. The computerized method according to claim 1, which further comprises:

defining a plurality of individual nano entity lifecycles as being the plurality of behavioral patterns;

programming the computer to form a plurality of hierarchical classifications used as different groupings of behaviors of entities by aggregating the individual nano entity lifecycles.

25. The computerized method according to claim 24, which further comprises programming the computer to create a combined individual nano entity lifecycle classification by combining all of the plurality of individual nano entity lifecycles that apply to a single entity.

26. The computerized method according to claim 24, which further comprises programming the computer to create a meta individual nano entity lifecycle classification by combining all of the plurality of individual nano entity lifecycles for entities that share a common type of individual nano entity lifecycle.

27. The computerized method according to claim 24, which further comprises programming the computer to create a similar meta individual nano entity lifecycle classification by combining the plurality of individual nano entity lifecycles for entities sharing at least one common type of individual nano entity lifecycle.

28. The computerized method according to claim 27, which further comprises programming the computer to create a super similar individual nano entity lifecycle classification by combining all similar meta individual nano entity lifecycle classifications for entities that have individual nano entity lifecycles of an identical type with similar patterns.

29. The computerized method according to claim 27, which further comprises programming the computer to create a similar individual nano entity lifecycle classification by combining all individual nano entity lifecycle classifications for entities that have an identical type with a similar pattern.

30. The computerized method according to claim 29, which further comprises programming the computer to create a benchmark individual nano entity lifecycle curve for similar individual nano entity lifecycle classifications, wherein the benchmark individual nano entity lifecycle curve shows expected behaviors and accepted deviations from the expected behaviors.

31. The computerized method according to claim 29, which further comprises programming the computer to create a super benchmark individual nano entity lifecycle curve for super similar individual nano entity lifecycle classifications, wherein the super benchmark individual nano entity lifecycle curve shows expected behaviors and accepted deviations from the expected behaviors.

32. A computerized method of predicting a plurality of behavioral events of an entity, comprising:

programming a computer to statistically analyze data describing a plurality of entities in order to construct a plurality of behavioral patterns for each one of a plurality of different types of behavior; and

programming the computer to analyze data related to a first one of the plurality of different types of behavior of an entity in order to associate the entity with a particular one of the plurality of behavioral patterns such that the particular one of the plurality of behavioral patterns serves as a first predictive behavioral pattern, wherein the first predictive behavioral pattern;

predicts a plurality of a first type of behavioral events of the entity occurring over any amount of time up to a lifetime of the entity, and

the plurality of the first type of behavioral events are of the first one of the plurality of different types of behavior;

programming the computer to analyze data related to a second one of the plurality of different types of behavior of an entity in order to associate the entity with a particular one of the plurality of behavioral patterns such that the particular one of the plurality of behavioral patterns serves as a second predictive behavioral pattern, wherein the second predictive behavioral pattern;

predicts a plurality of a second type of behavioral events of the entity occurring over any amount of time up to a lifetime of the entity, and

the plurality of the second type of behavioral events are of the second one of the plurality of different types of behavior; and

programming the computer determine an amount of correlation between the first predictive behavioral pattern and the second predictive behavioral pattern.

33. The computerized method according to claim 32, which comprises:

programming the computer to determine which portions of the first predictive behavioral pattern and the second predictive behavioral pattern are not correlated.

34. The computerized method according to claim 32, which comprises:

programming the computer to determine which actions to direct to the entity based on the amount of correlation between the first predictive behavioral pattern and the second predictive behavioral pattern.

35. The computerized method according to claim 32, which comprises:

programming the computer to determine which entities receive a particular action based on the amount of correlation between the first predictive behavioral pattern and the second predictive behavioral pattern.

36. A computerized method of displaying information, which comprises:

programming a computer to display at least an input screen enabling a user to request particular information to be shown on a display;

programming the computer to determine, based on the information requested by the user, which ones of a plurality of windows are shown to display the information requested by the user;

programming the computer to enable the user to select any combination of the plurality of windows to be displayed on a display in any desired order such that the information requested by the user is shown; and

programming the computer such that the plurality of windows shows a plurality of live systems and shows where in the plurality of live systems, the computer derived the information requested by the user.