DEVICES, SYSTEMS, AND METHODS FOR AIDING IN PEST MANAGEMENT DECISIONS

• US 20110035246A1
• Filed: 07/20/2010
• Published: 02/10/2011
• Est. Priority Date: 08/10/2009
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Syngenta Participations AG (China National Chemical Corporation)
• Original Assignee: Syngenta Participations AG (China National Chemical Corporation)
• Inventors: Battles, Bruce A., Fithian, Wayne Alan, Buscaglia, Horacio R., Kaster, Larry Von JR., Mader, Tracy L.
• Application Number:
  US12/839,899
• Publication Number:
  US 20110035246A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 705/7
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/04 Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem" market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities G06Q30/0202
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/063 Operations research, analysis or management
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0283 Price estimation or determination
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/02 Agriculture; Fishing; Forestry; Mining

Abstract

A computer device is provided for implementing a system configured to provide pest management information used in pest management decision-making related to a site-specific crop of interest. The computer device receives a pest input value for each of a plurality of pest populations. The pest input values correspond to pest sampling data associated with the pest populations for the site-specific crop. The computer device further determines a multiple-pest economic threshold value associated with the site-specific crop from the pest input values. The computer device further determines a predicted investment cost value from the multiple-pest economic threshold value, wherein the predicted investment cost is indicative of the return on investment associated with use of a pest control strategy for the site-specific crop. The computer device further provides an indicia of the predicted investment cost value according to the pest input values. Associated systems and methods are also provided.

Claims

1. A computer device adapted for interaction with a user and configured to provide pest management information used in pest management decision-making related to implementation of pest control measures for a crop of interest, the computer device comprising:

a processing portion for receiving from a user a first and second pest input value associated with a respective first and second pest population, the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data associated with the respective first and second pest population for a site-specific crop of interest;

a processing portion for determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value associated with the site-specific crop of interest from the first and second pest input values;

a processing portion for determining a predicted return on investment value from the multiple-pest economic threshold value, the predicted return on investment value being indicative of the return on investment associated with use of a pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest; and

a processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value, so as to provide pest management information to the user for aiding in pest management decisions.

2. A computer device according to claim 1 wherein the processing portion for determining a predicted return on investment value is further configured to determine a predicted return on investment value for each of a first and second pest control strategy, and the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide an indicia of the predicted return on investment value for each of the first and second pest control strategies, so as to provide a comparison between the predicted return on investment values of the first and second pest control strategies.

3. A computer device according to claim 2 wherein the first pest control strategy comprises a transgenic seed measure and the second pest control strategy comprises a chemical pesticide treatment plan.

4. A computer device according to claim 1 wherein the processing portion for receiving a first and second pest input value is further configured to receive the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data comprising pest infestation data.

5. A computer device according to claim 1 further comprising a processing portion for receiving from the user a crop market price input associated with a market price of the site-specific crop of interest, and a transgenic seed price input associated with a market price of a transgenic seed used to control the first and second pest populations with respect to the site-specific crop of interest, the crop market price input and the transgenic seed price input being used to determine the predicted return on investment value.

6. A computer device according to claim 1 wherein the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide the indicia to a display unit for displaying the indicia to the user.

7. A computer device according to claim 1 wherein the processing portion for determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value is further configured to determine a multiple-pest economic threshold from a plurality of single-pest economic thresholds, each of the first and second pest populations having a single-pest economic threshold associated therewith as determined by the respective first and second pest input values.

8. A computer device according to claim 1 further comprising a processing portion for providing an indicia of a risk reduction value associated with insurance parameters established for implementing the pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest for at least one of the first and second pest populations.

9. A computer device according to claim 1 wherein the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide an indicia of the predicted return on investment value associated with refuge reduction as determined from refuge reduction data associated with implementation of the pest control strategy for effectively reducing refuge acreage.

10. An intermediary computer device configured to implement a system for providing pest management information used in pest management decision-making for a site-specific crop of interest, the intermediary computer device being configured to be in communication with a computer network so as to be capable of communicating with a discrete computer device adapted to be used by the user, said intermediary computer device comprising:

a processing portion for receiving from a user a first and second pest input value associated with a respective first and second pest population, the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data associated with the respective first and second pest population for a site-specific crop of interest;

a processing portion for determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value associated with the site-specific crop of interest from the first and second pest input values;

a processing portion for determining a predicted return on investment value from the multiple-pest economic threshold value, the predicted return on investment value being indicative of the return on investment associated with use of a pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest; and

a processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value, so as to provide pest management information to the user for aiding in pest management decisions.

11. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 wherein the processing portion for determining a predicted return on investment value is further configured to determine a predicted return on investment value for each of a first and second pest control strategy, and the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide an indicia of the predicted return on investment value for each of the first and second pest control strategies, so as to provide a comparison between the predicted return on investment values of the first and second pest control strategies.

12. An intermediary computer device according to claim 11 wherein the first pest control strategy comprises a transgenic seed measure and the second pest control strategy comprises a chemical pesticide treatment plan.

13. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 wherein the processing portion for receiving at least a first and second pest input value is further configured to receive the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data comprising pest infestation data.

14. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 further comprising a processing portion for receiving a crop market price input associated with a market price of the site-specific crop of interest, and a transgenic seed price input associated with a market price of a transgenic seed used to control the first and second pest populations with respect to the site-specific crop of interest, the crop market price input and the transgenic seed price input being used to determine the predicted return on investment value.

15. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 wherein the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide the indicia to a display unit for displaying the indicia to the user.

16. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 wherein the processing portion for determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value is further configured to determine a multiple-pest economic threshold from a plurality of single-pest economic thresholds, each of the first and second pest populations having a single-pest economic threshold associated therewith as determined by the respective first and second pest input values.

17. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 further comprising a processing portion for providing an indicia of a risk reduction value associated with insurance parameters established for implementing the pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest for at least one of the first and second pest populations.

18. An intermediary computer device according to claim 10 wherein the processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value is further configured to provide an indicia of the predicted return on investment value associated with refuge reduction as determined from refuge reduction data associated with implementation of the pest control strategy for effectively reducing refuge acreage.

19. A system for providing pest management information used in pest management decision-making for a site-specific crop of interest, said system comprising:

a first computer device configured to be in communication with a computer network, the first computer device comprising;

a processing portion for receiving from a user a first and second pest input value associated with a respective first and second pest population, the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data associated with the respective first and second pest population for a site-specific crop of interest;

a processing portion for determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value associated with the site-specific crop of interest from the first and second pest input values;

a processing portion for determining a predicted return on investment value from the multiple-pest economic threshold value, the predicted return on investment value being indicative of the return on investment associated with use of a pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest; and

a processing portion for providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value, so as to provide pest management information to the user for aiding in pest management decisions.

20. A system according to claim 19 further comprising a processing portion for receiving a crop market price input associated with a market price of the site-specific crop of interest, and a transgenic seed price input associated with a market price of a transgenic seed used to control the first and second pest populations with respect to the site-specific crop of interest, the crop market price input and the transgenic seed price input being used to determine the predicted return on investment value.

21. A method for providing pest management information used in pest management decision-making for a site-specific crop of interest, the method comprising:

receiving from a user a first and second pest input value associated with a respective first and second pest population, the first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data associated with the respective first and second pest population for a site-specific crop of interest;

determining with a processor portion a multiple-pest economic threshold value associated with the site-specific crop of interest from the first and second pest input values;

determining with a processor portion a predicted return on investment value from the multiple-pest economic threshold value, the predicted return on investment value being indicative of the return on investment associated with use of a pest control strategy for the site-specific crop of interest; and

providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value, so as to provide pest management information to the user for aiding in pest management decisions.

22. A method according to claim 21 wherein determining a predicted return on investment value further comprises determining a predicted return on investment value associated with each of a first and second pest control strategy, and providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value further comprises providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value for each of the first and second pest control strategies, so as to provide a comparison between the predicted return on investment values of the first and second pest control strategies.

23. A method according to claim 22 wherein the first pest control strategy comprises a transgenic seed measure and the second pest control strategy comprises a chemical pesticide treatment plan.

24. A method according to claim 21 wherein receiving at least a first and second pest input value further comprises receiving first and second pest input values corresponding to pest sampling data comprising pest infestation data.

25. A method according to claim 21 further comprising receiving a crop market price input associated with a market price of the site-specific crop of interest, and a transgenic seed price input associated with a market price of a transgenic seed used to control the first and second pest populations with respect to the site-specific crop of interest, the crop market price input and the transgenic seed price input being used to determine the predicted return on investment value.

26. A method according to claim 21 wherein providing an indicia of the predicted return on investment value further comprises displaying the indicia to the user by a display unit.

27. A method according to claim 21 wherein determining a multiple-pest economic threshold value further comprises determining a multiple-pest economic threshold from a plurality of single-pest economic thresholds, each of the first and second pest populations having a single-pest economic threshold associated therewith as determined by the respective first and second pest input values.