Adaptive Experimentation Method and System
First Claim
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1. A computer-implemented experimentation method comprising:
- selecting a first experiment, wherein the selecting of the first experiment is based, at least in part, on the expected value of information of the experiment;
performing the first experiment, wherein the first experiment is executed on a processor-based computing device;
inferring automatically a user preference from a plurality of user behaviors that occur after execution of the first experiment; and
selecting a second experiment based, at least in part, on the inferred preference.
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Abstract
A computer-implemented adaptive experimentation method and system is described that automatically selects and executes information gathering actions. The adaptive experimentation method and system integrates value of information considerations, experimental design, and inferences from experimental results. The experimental results may include behaviors of users of a computer-based system. The process enables an automatic, adaptive process for attaining additional information and applying the attained information in making subsequent experiment decisions.
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Citations
20 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented experimentation method comprising:
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selecting a first experiment, wherein the selecting of the first experiment is based, at least in part, on the expected value of information of the experiment; performing the first experiment, wherein the first experiment is executed on a processor-based computing device; inferring automatically a user preference from a plurality of user behaviors that occur after execution of the first experiment; and selecting a second experiment based, at least in part, on the inferred preference. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. An adaptive experimentation system comprising:
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an information gathering function executed on a processor-based computing device that conducts a first experiment; a function that infers a user preference from a plurality of user behaviors occurring after the first experiment is conducted; and an experimental design function, wherein the experimental design function automatically selects a second online experiment to perform based, at least in part, the inferred user preference and an expected value of information. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17)
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18. An adaptive decision method comprising:
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simulating on a processor-based computing device an experimental infrastructure, wherein the simulation applies a plurality of probabilities; determining a value of information that is expected to be generated by an implementation of the experimental infrastructure, based, at least in part, on the simulation of the experimental infrastructure; and generating an expected value of the experimental infrastructure based on the expected value of information and an expected cost of the experimental infrastructure. - View Dependent Claims (19, 20)
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Specification