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Smarter-Grid: Method to Forecast Electric Energy Production and Utilization Subject to Uncertain Environmental Variables

  • US 20110307109A1
  • Filed: 05/27/2010
  • Published: 12/15/2011
  • Est. Priority Date: 05/27/2010
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A method of establishing a power forecasting service model for use in conjunction with a system, said method comprising estimating energy production, forecasting utilization of said energy and storing said energy, for use in a system by maintaining a balance between a plurality of sources of energy and a plurality of users sinks thereof, said method utilizing:

  • at least a first renewable source of said energy sources having an energy output which fluctuates due to environmental energy generation factors, at least a second non-renewable source of said energy sources having an energy output which is accurately controllable through correspondingly accurate control of fuel consumption,at least a first environmentally dependent sink of said energy sinks which is subject to an energy consumption factor which fluctuates due to environmental energy consumption factors, andat least a second directly controllable sink of said energy sinks which is subject to an energy consumption factor which is accurately controllable through correspondingly accurate regulation of controllable energy consumption factors,said method further comprising;

    a) taking measurements to obtain a first renewable energy source forecast for each said environmental energy generation factor based on said measurements taken thereof;

    b) based on said first renewable energy source forecast, estimating an energy output for said first renewable energy source at a selected point in time;

    c) obtaining a sink forecast for each said environmental energy consumption factor based on measurements thereof;

    d) based on said sink forecast, estimating an energy consumption value for said first sink at said selected point in time;

    e) regulating said fuel consumption by said second non-renewable source of energy, and regulating said energy consumption by said second sink in order to maintain said balance between said plurality of sources of energy and said plurality of usersinks thereof.

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