NETWORK STATE PREDICTION DEVICE, MOBILE COMMUNICATION SYSTEM, MOBILE COMMUNICATION METHOD, AND STORAGE MEDIUM

• US 20120130938A1
• Filed: 07/22/2010
• Published: 05/24/2012
• Est. Priority Date: 07/23/2009
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: NEC Corporation
• Original Assignee: NEC Corporation
• Inventors: Tamano, Hiroshi
• Application Number:
  US13/386,233
• Publication Number:
  US 20120130938A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/52
• CPC Class Codes: H04W 24/06 Testing, supervising or monitoring using simulated traffic

Abstract

A network state prediction device 100 includes: a database unit 120 that stores an end position on one side of a route on which a mobile communication terminal 500 moves, an end position on the other side of the route, and a network state indicative of a communication quality on the route, in a manner that these end positions, and the network state are associated with each other; a prediction target input unit 111 adapted to input an end position on one side of a target route serving as a route to be predicted, and an end position on the other side of the target route; a network state retrieving unit 112 that retrieve the network state on the basis of the inputted position information, and the position information stored in the database unit 120; and a prediction unit 113 that generates network prediction information concerning the communication quality at the time when the mobile communication terminal 500 moves on the target route, on the basis of the retrieved network state.

Claims

1. A network state prediction device comprising:

a database unit that stores first position information indicative of an end position on one side of a route on which a mobile communication terminal moves, second position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the route, and a network state indicative of a communication quality of a line to which the mobile communication terminal communicatively connects on the route, in a manner that the first position information, the second position information, and the network state are associated with each other;

a prediction target input unit adapted to input first input position information indicative of an end position on one side of a target route serving as a route to be predicted, and second input position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the target route;

a network state retrieving unit that retrieve from the database unit the network state on the basis of the first input position information and the second input position information, both of which are inputted through the prediction target input unit, and the first position information and the second position information, both of which are stored in the database unit; and

a prediction unit that generates network prediction information concerning the communication quality at the time when the mobile communication terminal moves on the target route on the basis of the network state retrieved by the network state retrieving unit.

2. The network state prediction device according to claim 1, wherein

the database unit stores time-period information indicative of a time period and the network state indicative of the communication quality of the mobile communication terminal in the time period in a manner that the time-period information and the network state are associated with each other, or stores section information indicative of a section on the route and the network state indicative of the communication quality of the mobile communication terminal in the section in a manner that the section information and the network state are associated with each other, and

the prediction unit generates the network prediction information indicative of at least one of the communication quality being favorable and the communication quality being poor, for each time period divided on the basis of the time-period information or for each section divided on the basis of the section information.

3. The network state prediction device according to claim 2, wherein the prediction unit generates, as the network prediction information, at least one of a probability of the communication quality being favorable and a probability of the communication quality being poor.

4. The network state prediction device according to claim 3, wherein

the database unit stores the network state expressed by a numeric value, and

the prediction unit collects the network state retrieved by the network state retrieving unit, and generates, as the network prediction information, a value obtained by normalizing the collected network state.

5. The network state prediction device according to claim 4, wherein the prediction unit collects the network state retrieved by the network state retrieving unit while weighting the network state.

6. The network state prediction device according to claim 2, further comprises a prediction result generating unit that generates a prediction result in which a plurality of the network prediction information generated by the prediction unit are integrated.

7. The network state prediction device according to claim 6, further comprising a reliability calculation unit that calculates a reliability of the prediction result generated by the prediction result generating unit,

wherein the prediction result generating unit outputs the prediction result in the case where the reliability calculated by the reliability calculation unit exceeds a predetermined threshold value.

8. The network state prediction device according to claim 7, wherein the reliability calculation unit multiplies a larger value of a probability indicated by the network prediction information generated by the prediction unit and a value obtained by subtracting the probability from 1 by a time indicated by the time-period information corresponding to the network prediction information, divides a sum total of a value obtained by the multiplication by a sum total of a time indicated by the time-period information used in the multiplication, and obtains, as the reliability of the prediction result, a value obtained by the division.

9. The network state prediction device according to claim 7, wherein the reliability calculation unit multiplies a larger value of a probability indicated by the network prediction information generated by the prediction unit and a value obtained by subtracting the probability from 1 by a distance indicated by the section information corresponding to the network prediction information, divides a sum total of a value obtained by the multiplication by a sum total of a distance indicated by the section information used in the multiplication, and obtains, as a reliability of the prediction result, a value obtained by the division.

10. The network state prediction device according to claim 1, wherein

the database unit stores first detail position information indicative of an area narrower than the area indicated by the first position information, second detail position information indicative of an area narrower than the area indicated by the second position information, and the network state in a manner that the first detail position information, the second detail position information, and the network state are associated with each other,

the prediction target input unit is adapted to input first detail input position information indicative of an area narrower than the area indicated by the first input position information and second detail input position information indicative of an area narrower than the area indicated by the second input position information, and

the network state retrieving unit retrieves the network state from the database unit on the basis of the first detail input position information and the second detail input position information inputted through the prediction target input unit in the case where the reliability calculated by the reliability calculation unit is less than the threshold value.

11. The network state prediction device according to claim 1, wherein

the database unit stores first time information indicative of a time corresponding to the first position information and second time information indicative of a time corresponding to the second position information in a manner that the first time information and the second time information are associated with the network state,

the prediction target input unit is adapted to input first input time information indicative of a time corresponding to the first position information and second input time information indicative of a time corresponding to the second position information, and

the network state retrieving unit retrieves the network state in the case where a difference between an actual time extending from the first time information to the second time information, both of which are associated with the network state, and a prediction target time extending from the first input time information to the second input time information inputted through the prediction target input unit falls within a predetermined range.

12. The network state prediction device according to claim 11, wherein the network state retrieving unit retrieves the network state in the case where a difference between the first time information associated with the network state and the first input time information inputted through the prediction target input unit falls within a predetermined range, or in the case where a difference between the second time information associated with the network state and the second input time information inputted through the prediction target input unit falls within a predetermined range.

13. The network state prediction device according to claim 10, wherein the network state retrieving unit retrieves the network state in the case where the first time information associated with the network state is earlier than a predetermined time period, or in the case where the second time information associated with the network state is later than the time period.

14. The network state prediction device according to claim 1, wherein

the database unit comprises:

a schedule database unit that stores event position information indicative of a place of an event in connection with a user who uses the mobile communication terminal, and event time information indicative of a time of the event in a manner that the event position information and the event time information are associated with each other; and

a network database unit that stores the time-period information and the network state so as to be associated with each other, and

the network state retrieving unit retrieves, from the schedule database unit, first event time information and second event time information from among the event time information on the same date, the first event time information associated with the event position information compared with and matching with the first position information inputted through the prediction target input unit, the second event time information associated with the event position information compared with and matching with the second position information inputted through the prediction target input unit, associates the first event time information with the second event time information, and retrieves, from the network database unit, the network state associated with the time-period information indicative of a time between the first event time information and the second event time information associated with each other.

15. The network state prediction device according to claim 1, wherein

the database unit comprises:

a positioning database unit that stores positioning information generated by measuring a position of the mobile communication terminal, and positioning time information indicative of a time when the positioning information is generated, in a manner that the positioning information and the positioning time information are associated with each other; and

a network database unit that stores the time-period information and the network state so as to be associated with each other, and

the network state retrieving unit retrieves, from the positioning database unit, first positioning time information and second positioning time information from among the positioning time information on the same date, the first positioning time information associated with the positioning information compared with and matching with the first position information inputted through the prediction target input unit, the second positioning time associated with the positioning information compared with and matching with the second position information inputted through the prediction target input unit, associates the first positioning time information with the second positioning time information, and retrieves, from the network database unit, the network state associated with the time-period information indicative of a time between the first positioning time information and the second positioning time information associated with each other.

16. A mobile communication system comprising:

a mobile communication terminal;

a transmission-and-reception device that transmits and receives electronic data in response to a request received from the mobile communication terminal; and

a network state prediction device that outputs, to the mobile communication terminal, network prediction information concerning a communication quality at the time when the mobile communication terminal moves on a target route which is a route to be predicted,

said network state prediction device including;

a database unit that stores first position information indicative of an end position on one side of a route on which the mobile communication terminal moves, second position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the route, and a network state indicative of the communication quality of a line to which the mobile communication terminal communicatively connects on the route, in a manner that the first position information, the second position information, and the network state are associated with each other;

a prediction target input unit adapted to input first input position information indicative of an end position on one side of the target route, and second input position information indicative of an end position of the other side of the target route;

a network state retrieving unit that retrieves the network state from the database unit on the basis of the first input position information and the second input position information, both of which are inputted through the prediction target input unit, and the first position information and the second position information, both of which are stored in the database unit; and

a prediction unit that generates the network prediction information on the basis of the network state retrieved by the network state retrieving unit, and

said mobile communication terminal requesting the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data on the basis of the network prediction information received from the network state prediction device.

17. The mobile communication system according to claim 16, wherein

the database unit stores time-period information indicative of a time period, and the network state indicative of the communication quality of the mobile communication terminal in the time period in a manner that the time-period information and the network state are associated with each other,

the prediction unit generates the network prediction information indicative of at least one of the communication quality being favorable and the communication quality being poor, for each time period divided on the basis of the time-period information, and

the mobile communication terminal requests the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data in a time period in which the network state is favorable.

18. The mobile communication system according to claim 17, wherein

the prediction unit generates at least one of a probability of the communication quality being favorable and a probability of the communication quality being poor, as the network prediction information, and

the mobile communication terminal requests the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data in a time period in which the probability of the communication quality being favorable exceeds a predetermined threshold value, or in a time period in which the probability of the communication quality being poor is less than a predetermined threshold value.

19. The mobile communication system according to claim 16, wherein

the database unit stores section information indicative of a section on the route, and the network state indicative of the communication quality of the mobile communication terminal in the section in a manner that the section information and the network state are associated with each other,

the prediction unit generates the network prediction information indicative of at least one of the communication quality being favorable and the communication quality being poor for each section divided on the basis of the section information, and

the mobile communication terminal requests the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data in a section in which the network prediction state is favorable.

20. The mobile communication system according to claim 19, wherein

the prediction unit generates at least one of a probability of the communication quality being favorable and a probability of the communication quality being poor, as the network prediction information, and

the mobile communication terminal requests the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data in a section in which the probability of the communication quality being favorable exceeds a predetermined threshold value, or in a section in which the probability of the communication quality being poor is less than a predetermined threshold value.

21. The mobile communication system according to claim 17, wherein

said network state prediction device includes:

a prediction result generating unit that generates a prediction result in which a plurality of the network prediction information generated by the prediction unit are integrated; and

a reliability calculation unit that calculates a reliability of the prediction result generated by the prediction result generating unit, and

outputs the prediction result to the mobile communication terminal in the case where the reliability calculated by the reliability calculation unit exceeds a predetermined threshold value, and

said mobile communication terminal requests the transmission-and-reception device to transmit and receive the electronic data on the basis of the network prediction information contained in the prediction result.

22. A mobile communication method including:

generating step of generating a database by storing first position information indicative of an end position on one side of a route on which a mobile communication terminal moves, second position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the route, and a network state indicative of a communication quality of a line to which the mobile communication terminal communicatively connects on the route, in a manner that the first position information, the second position information, and the network state are associated with each other;

inputting first input position information indicative of an end position on one side of a target route, which is a route to be predicted, and second input position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the target route;

retrieving the network state from the database on the basis of the inputted first input position information and the inputted second input position information and the first position information and the second position information, both of which are stored in the database;

generating network prediction information concerning the communication quality at the time when the mobile communication terminal moves on the target route on the basis of the retrieved network state; and

making a request, by the mobile communication terminal, to transmit and receive electronic data on the basis of the generated network prediction information.

23. A storage medium storing a program that causes a network state prediction device to execute data processing, the data processing including:

a database generating process of generating a database by storing first position information indicative of an end position on one side of a route on which a mobile communication terminal moves, second position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the route, and a network state indicative of a communication quality of a line to which the mobile communication terminal communicatively connects on the route, in a manner that the first position information, the second position information, and the network state are associated with each other;

a prediction target input process of inputting first input position information indicative of an end position on one side of a target route, which is a route to be predicted, and second input position information indicative of an end position on the other side of the target route;

a network state retrieving process of retrieving the network state from the database on the basis of the first input position information and the second input position information, both of which are inputted in the prediction target input process, and the first position information and the second position information, both of which are stored in the database; and

a prediction process of generating network prediction information concerning the communication quality at the time when the mobile communication terminal moves on the target route on the basis of the network state retrieved in the network state retrieving process.