Forecasting Ad Traffic Based on Business Metrics in Performance-based Display Advertising
First Claim
1. A method for forecasting ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising, the method comprising:
- defining, in memory, advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising at least one target predicate, at least one campaign pricing model, and at least one campaign performance model;
forecasting, using a computer, at least one forecasted impression satisfying the at least one target predicate, the forecasting comprising a statistical analysis of a historical dataset;
modeling, using a computer, a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression in an auction model, the auction model for predicting at least the highest bid for the forecasted impression; and
determining, using a computer, a performance metric using the forecasted impression and a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression.
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Abstract
A method, advertising network, and computer readable medium for forecasting ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising. The method commences by defining a set of advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising target predicates, a campaign pricing model, and a campaign performance model. The method continues by forecasting a supply of impressions satisfying target predicates, based on a statistical analysis of a historical dataset containing impressions satisfying target predicates. Once a measure of forecasted supply is known, an auction model serves for calculating the likelihood of winning the forecasted impression at auction, based the campaign pricing model and the campaign performance model. Having a forecasted supply, and also an assessment of the likelihood of winning at auction, the method proceeds by determining values for various performance metrics. The performance metrics are displayed; the user makes changes to any one or more of the advertising campaign parameters.
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Citations
20 Claims
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1. A method for forecasting ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising, the method comprising:
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defining, in memory, advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising at least one target predicate, at least one campaign pricing model, and at least one campaign performance model; forecasting, using a computer, at least one forecasted impression satisfying the at least one target predicate, the forecasting comprising a statistical analysis of a historical dataset; modeling, using a computer, a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression in an auction model, the auction model for predicting at least the highest bid for the forecasted impression; and determining, using a computer, a performance metric using the forecasted impression and a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
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8. An advertising server network forecasting ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising, comprising:
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a module, comprising at least one processor and memory, for defining advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising at least one target predicate, at least one campaign pricing model, and at least one campaign performance model; a module, comprising at least one processor and memory, for forecasting at least one forecasted impression satisfying the at least one target predicate, the forecasting comprising a statistical analysis of a historical dataset; a module, comprising at least one processor and memory, for modeling a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression in an auction model, the auction model for predicting at least the highest bid for the forecasted impression; and a module, comprising at least one processor and memory, for determining a performance metric using the forecasted impression and a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression. - View Dependent Claims (9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14)
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15. A computer readable medium comprising a set of instructions which, when executed by a computer, cause forecasting of ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising, said instructions for:
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defining, in memory, advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising at least one target predicate, at least one campaign pricing model, and at least one campaign performance model; forecasting, using a computer, at least one forecasted impression satisfying the at least one target predicate, the forecasting comprising a statistical analysis of a historical dataset; modeling, using a computer, a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression in an auction model, the auction model for predicting at least the highest bid for the forecasted impression; and determining, using a computer, a performance metric using the forecasted impression and a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression. - View Dependent Claims (16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
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Specification