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Forecasting Ad Traffic Based on Business Metrics in Performance-based Display Advertising

  • US 20120158456A1
  • Filed: 12/20/2010
  • Published: 06/21/2012
  • Est. Priority Date: 12/20/2010
  • Status: Abandoned Application
First Claim
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1. A method for forecasting ad traffic based on business metrics in performance-based display advertising, the method comprising:

  • defining, in memory, advertising campaign parameters, the advertising campaign parameters comprising at least one target predicate, at least one campaign pricing model, and at least one campaign performance model;

    forecasting, using a computer, at least one forecasted impression satisfying the at least one target predicate, the forecasting comprising a statistical analysis of a historical dataset;

    modeling, using a computer, a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression in an auction model, the auction model for predicting at least the highest bid for the forecasted impression; and

    determining, using a computer, a performance metric using the forecasted impression and a likelihood of winning the forecasted impression.

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