Systems and Methods for Predicting Customer Compliance with Demand Response Requests

• US 20130254151A1
• Filed: 03/18/2011
• Published: 09/26/2013
• Est. Priority Date: 12/17/2010
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Hitachi Energy Limited
• Original Assignee: ABB Research Ltd. (ABB Ltd.)
• Inventors: Mohagheghi, Salman, Tournier, Jean-Charles
• Granted Patent: US 9,171,256 B2
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/46
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 5/02 Knowledge representation; Symbolic representation
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0621 Item configuration or customization
• CPC Class Codes: H02J 2310/60 Limiting power consumption in the network or in one section of the network, e.g. load shedding or peak shaving
• CPC Class Codes: H02J 2310/64 The condition being economic, e.g. tariff based load management
• CPC Class Codes: H02J 3/003 Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand
• CPC Class Codes: H02J 3/144 Demand-response operation of the power transmission or distribution network
• CPC Class Codes: Y02B 70/3225 Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
• CPC Class Codes: Y04S 20/222 Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
• CPC Class Codes: Y04S 50/10 Energy trading, including energy flowing from end-user application to grid

Abstract

Systems and methods for predicting customer compliance with requests to participate in demand response events are disclosed. The systems and methods may include receiving demand response information for a demand response event, receiving information for a customer, and determining or adjusting for the customer a compliance probability for the demand response event based at least partially on the demand response information and the received customer information.

Claims

1. A method for predicting customer compliance with a request to participate in a demand response event, the method comprising:

receiving demand response information for a demand response event;

receiving behavioral information for a customer; and

determining for the customer a compliance probability for the demand response event based at least partially on the demand response information and the behavioral information.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein the behavioral information comprises information about the customer'"'"'s social habits.

3. The method of claim 2, wherein the demand response information comprises a start time and a duration, and the information about the customer'"'"'s social habits comprises the customer'"'"'s preferences regarding demand response participation time periods.

4. The method of claim 2, wherein the customer has a current occupancy and an average occupancy, the method comprises receiving a ratio of the current occupancy to the average occupancy, and the compliance probability is based at least partially on the occupancy ratio.

5. The method of claim 2, wherein the behavioral information comprises price-sensitivity information for the customer.

6. The method of claim 1, wherein the customer has a current occupancy and an average occupancy, and the compliance probability is determined based at least partially on a ratio of the current occupancy to the average occupancy.

7. The method of claim 1, comprising receiving historical information regarding the customer'"'"'s response to prior requests to participate in demand response events, wherein the compliance probability is based at least partially on the historical information.

8. The method of claim 1, incorporated into a method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event, the method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event comprising:

identifying a group of customers for possible participation in the demand response event;

determining the compliance probability for each customer in the group; and

selecting for participation in the demand response event the customers for which the compliance probability is above a predetermined threshold.

9. A method for predicting customer compliance with a request to participate in a demand response event, the method comprising:

receiving demand response information for a demand response event;

receiving status information for a customer; and

determining for the customer a compliance probability for the demand response event based at least partially on the demand response information and the status information.

10. The method of claim 9, wherein the customer has a current occupancy and an average occupancy, and the status information comprises a ratio of the current occupancy to the average occupancy.

11. The method of claim 10, comprising receiving behavioral information for the customer, wherein the compliance probability is based at least partially on the behavioral information.

12. The method of claim 11, wherein the behavioral information comprises information about the customer'"'"'s social habits.

13. The method of claim 12, wherein the demand response information comprises a start time and a duration, and the information about the customer'"'"'s social habits comprises the customer'"'"'s preferences regarding demand response participation time periods.

14. The method of claim 11, wherein the behavioral information comprises price-sensitivity information for the customer.

15. The method of claim 10, comprising receiving historical information regarding the customer'"'"'s response to prior requests to participate in demand response events, wherein the compliance probability is based at least partially on the historical information.

16. The method of claim 9, incorporated into a method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event, the method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event comprising:

identifying a group of customers for possible participation in the demand response event;

determining the compliance probability for each customer in the group; and

selecting for participation in the demand response event those customers in the group for which the compliance probability is above a predetermined threshold.

17. A method for predicting customer compliance with a request to participate in a demand response event, the method comprising:

receiving response information for a demand response event;

receiving historical information regarding a customer'"'"'s compliance with demand response requests;

comparing the historical information to the response information to determine a compliance probability;

receiving predictive information for the customer; and

adjusting the compliance probability for the customer based at least partially on the predictive information.

18. The method of claim 17, wherein the response information includes at least one of a desired load reduction, a start time and a duration.

19. The method of claim 17, wherein the predictive information comprises status information for the customer.

20. The method of claim 17, wherein the predictive information comprises behavioral information for the customer.

21. The method of claim 20, wherein the behavioral information is provided by the customer.

22. The method of claim 20, wherein the customer has a current occupancy and an average occupancy, and the predictive information comprises a ratio of the current occupancy to the average occupancy.

23. The method of claim 17, wherein the predictive information comprises price-sensitivity information for the customer.

24. The method of claim 17, incorporated into a method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event, the method for selecting customers for participation in the demand response event comprising:

identifying a group of customers for possible participation in the demand response event;

determining and adjusting the compliance probability for each customer in the group; and

selecting for participation in the demand response event the customers for which the compliance probability is above a predetermined threshold.