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ASSESSING SCENARIO-BASED RISKS

  • US 20130325545A1
  • Filed: 06/04/2012
  • Published: 12/05/2013
  • Est. Priority Date: 06/04/2012
  • Status: Abandoned Application
First Claim
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1. A computer-implemented method for managing risks of a business enterprise, the method comprising:

  • identifying, with a computer system, a threat to a business enterprise;

    identifying, with the computer system, based on the threat, a plurality of business enterprise assets and associated impacts;

    determining, with the computer system, a plurality of threat scenarios, each threat scenario comprising a minimum and a maximum qualitative probability and a minimum and a maximum qualitative impact;

    converting, with the computer system, the minimum and the maximum qualitative probability and the minimum and the maximum qualitative impact of each of the plurality of scenarios to a minimum and a maximum quantitative probability and a minimum and a maximum quantitative impact based on a risk matrix;

    determining, with the computer system, a quantitative probability and a quantitative impact by generating random numbers within intervals defined by the minimum and the maximum quantitative probability and the minimum and the maximum quantitative impact;

    adjusting, with the computer system, one of the quantitative probability and the quantitative impact based on a threat occurrence;

    determining, with the computer system, with a simulation model, a quantitative risk of the identified threat based on the quantitative probability and the quantitative impact; and

    preparing, with the computer system, an output comprising the determined quantitative risk of the identified threat for display on a graphical user interface of a computing device.

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