SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR CONTEXTUAL ANALYSIS

• US 20140258197A1
• Filed: 03/05/2014
• Published: 09/11/2014
• Est. Priority Date: 03/05/2013
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Arizona Board of Regents (University of Arizona)
• Original Assignee: Arizona Board of Regents (University of Arizona)
• Inventors: Davulcu, Hasan, Woodward, Mark, Corman, Steven, Ye, Jieping
• Granted Patent: US 9,524,464 B2
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 706/21
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 5/02 Knowledge representation; Symbolic representation

Abstract

Computerized contextual analysis systems and methods suitable for monitoring situations, regions, and groups characterized by volatility and uncertainty are provided. Via use of exemplary systems and methods, decision makers, for example politicians, warfighters, and analysts can gain insight into the cultures, attitudes, events, and relationships that may impact their missions.

Claims

1. A method for contextual analysis, comprising:

obtaining, via a computer system for contextual analysis, representative communications associated with a sociopolitical concept;

assessing, via the computer system for contextual analysis, the representative communications in order to form a contextual assessment; and

providing, to a user of the computer system for contextual analysis, the contextual assessment.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein the assessing comprises at least one of:

multi-scale comparative predictive modeling;

perspective mining;

micro-level analysis of individuals or groups;

generating an alert for a breaking event;

or

neutral-to-extreme perspective selection.

3. The method of claim 2, wherein the perspective mining utilizes a logistic regression of the form:

4. The method of claim 1, wherein the contextual assessment comprises at least one of:

identification of shifts of individuals from unaffiliated to affiliated with a non-state actor (NSA);

growth or shrinkage drivers of the NSA;

identification of an influential follower of the NSA;

information regarding the presence of a faction within the NSA;

identification of wedge-driving rumors or perspectives that undermine or strengthen group loyalties in the NSA;

or

identification of a previously unknown NSA.

5. The method of claim 1, wherein the assessing comprises generating a Gutmann pattern arising from the representative communications.

6. The method of claim 1, wherein the assessing utilizes at least one of path analysis or structural equation modeling.

7. The method of claim 1, further comprising utilizing, by the user, the contextual assessment to determine a military response to a non-state actor (NSA).

8. The method of claim 1, further comprising utilizing, by the user, the contextual assessment to determine a political response to a non-state actor (NSA).

9. The method of claim 1, further comprising classifying, via the computer system for contextual analysis, at least a subset of the representative communications as being associated with a specific non-state actor (NSA).

10. The method of claim 1, wherein the assessing comprises:

generating a traversal sequence for the representative communications;

forming a graph model associated with messengers of the representative communications; and

determining, via evaluation of the traversal sequence, a likelihood of opinion shift for at least one messenger, wherein the determining utilizes a scaled opinion of the messenger regarding at least one of the representative communications.