SOLAR FARM AND METHOD FOR FORECASTING SOLAR FARM PERFORMANCE
First Claim
1. A method for forecasting solar farm performance, the method comprising:
- analyzing in a computing device at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter;
determining an estimated failure probability for at least one solar module of the solar farm based on the at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter;
receiving in the computing device at least one real time usage parameter; and
calculating an updated failure probability based on the estimated failure probability and the least one real time usage parameter.
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Accused Products
Abstract
Solar farms and methods for forecasting solar farm performance are provided. A method may include, for example, the steps of analyzing in a computing device at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter, and determining an estimated failure probability for at least one solar module of the solar farm based on the at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter. A method may further include, for example, the steps of receiving in the computing device at least one real time usage parameter, and calculating an updated failure probability based on the estimated failure probability and the least one real time usage parameter.
14 Citations
20 Claims
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1. A method for forecasting solar farm performance, the method comprising:
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analyzing in a computing device at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter; determining an estimated failure probability for at least one solar module of the solar farm based on the at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter; receiving in the computing device at least one real time usage parameter; and calculating an updated failure probability based on the estimated failure probability and the least one real time usage parameter. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11)
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12. A method for forecasting solar farm performance, the method comprising:
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analyzing in a computing device at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter; determining an estimated failure probability for at least one solar module of the solar farm based on the at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter and utilizing one of a univariate Weibull model or a bivariate Weibull model such that the estimated failure probability is estimated per at least one of time or usage of the at least one solar module; receiving in the computing device at least one real time usage parameter; and calculating through utilization of a Bayesian estimation algorithm an updated failure probability based on the estimated failure probability and the least one real time usage parameter. - View Dependent Claims (13, 14)
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15. A solar farm, the solar farm comprising:
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at least one solar module, the at least one solar module comprising a panel and an inverter; and a computing device in communication with the at least one solar module, the computing device operable to analyze at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter, determine an estimated failure probability for the least one solar module based on the at least one historic or estimated usage parameter and at least one design limit parameter, receive at least one real time usage parameter, and calculate an updated failure probability based on the estimated failure probability and the least one real time usage parameter. - View Dependent Claims (16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
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Specification