PREDICTING ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
First Claim
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1. An apparatus comprising:
- a processor; and
memory storing computer readable instructions that, when executed by the processor, cause the apparatus to;
receive an input of economic data including a plurality of economic indicators;
apply a band pass filter to the economic data;
extract a cycle signal from the band pass filter;
determine a synchronization event of the plurality of economic indicators; and
output an economic prediction based on the synchronization event.
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Abstract
Computer-implemented methods for identifying or assessing any type of risk and/or opportunity that may arise can include either, alone or in combination, band pass filtering, principal component analysis, random matrix theory analysis, synchronization analysis, and early-warning detection. Each technique can also be viewed as a process that takes a set of inputs and converts it to a set of outputs. These outputs can be used as inputs for a subsequent process or the outputs may be directly actionable for formulating certain economic predictions to make certain decisions.
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Citations
20 Claims
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1. An apparatus comprising:
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a processor; and memory storing computer readable instructions that, when executed by the processor, cause the apparatus to; receive an input of economic data including a plurality of economic indicators; apply a band pass filter to the economic data; extract a cycle signal from the band pass filter; determine a synchronization event of the plurality of economic indicators; and output an economic prediction based on the synchronization event. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
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8. A computer-implemented method comprising:
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receiving an input of economic data including a plurality of macroeconomic and microeconomic indicators; applying a band pass filter to the economic data; extracting a cycle signal from the band pass filter; determining a synchronization event of the plurality of macroeconomic and microeconomic indicators; and outputting an economic prediction based on the synchronization event. - View Dependent Claims (9, 10, 11, 12)
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13. One or more non-transitory computer-readable media having instructions stored thereon that, when executed, cause at least one computing device to:
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receiving an input of economic data including a plurality of economic indicators; applying a band pass filter to the economic data; extracting a cycle signal from the band pass filter; determining a synchronization event of the economic data; and outputting an economic prediction based on the synchronization event. - View Dependent Claims (14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
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Specification