SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR RECOMMENDING PRICES FOR PARKING USING BLOCKING RATES AND TRAFFIC FLUX

• US 20150287058A1
• Filed: 04/08/2014
• Published: 10/08/2015
• Est. Priority Date: 04/08/2014
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: Conduent Business Services, LLC (Conduent, Inc.)
• Original Assignee: Xerox Corporation (Xerox Holdings Corp.)
• Inventors: Dance, Christopher R., Zoeter, Onno R.
• Application Number:
  US14/247,443
• Publication Number:
  US 20150287058A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 1/1
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0202 Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities

Abstract

A system and method for recommending pricing using blocking rates and traffic flux. For a given block face, occupancy and traffic flow information are collected and analyzed to determine a blocking rate. The traffic flux for the block face is determined using the collected traffic flow information. External costs, including cost to drivers slowed and cost to drivers blocked from parking are estimated and a cost rate is determined as a function of the blocking rate, the traffic flux, and the external costs. A utility rate is calculated and a price change is recommended based upon a maximization of the utility rate.

Claims

1. A method for recommending prices for parking, comprising:

receiving data representative of parking occupancy for an associated block face during an analysis period;

receiving data representative of traffic flow for the associated block face during the analysis period;

estimating a blocking rate for the analysis period in accordance with the received parking occupancy data and the traffic flow data; and

determining a recommended price for parking on the associated block face during the analysis period in accordance with the estimated blocking rate and traffic flow data,

wherein at least one of the receiving, receiving, estimating, or determining is performed by a processor in communication with associated memory.

2. The method for recommending prices of claim 1, further comprising:

determining a blocking probability that a driver will be blocked from parking on the associated block face during the analysis period in accordance with the received occupancy data; and

estimating the blocking rate in accordance with the determined blocking probability.

3. The method for recommending prices of claim 1, further comprising determining a traffic flux for the associated block face in accordance with the received traffic flow data.

4. The method for recommending prices of claim 3, further comprising estimating a cost rate as a function of the estimated blocking rate and the determined traffic flux, wherein the recommended price is determined in accordance with the estimated cost rate.

5. The method for recommending prices of claim 4, further comprising determining at least one externality cost corresponding to parking on the associated block face, wherein estimating the cost rate further includes the at least one externality cost.

6. The method for recommending prices of claim 5, wherein the at least one externality cost corresponds to at least one of an estimated cost to a blocked driver or an estimated cost to a slowed driver.

7. The method for recommending prices of claim 6, wherein the estimated cost to a blocked driver includes a cost associated with a distance from a nearest vacancy to an occupied space on the associated block face.

8. The method for recommending prices of claim 6, wherein the function of the blocking rate and the traffic flux includes an intercept corresponding to the estimated cost to a blocked driver and a slope corresponding to the estimated cost to a slowed driver.

9. The method for recommending prices of claim 5, further comprising:

determining a valuation rate for each occupied space on the associated block face during a portion of a time interval of the analysis period; and

calculating an average valuation rate for parking during the portion of the time interval on the associated block face via the determined valuation rates.

10. The method for recommending prices of claim 9, further comprising:

calculating a utility rate for each portion of the time interval of the analysis period, the utility rate corresponding to a difference between the average valuation rate and the cost rate for the portion of the time interval,

wherein determining a recommended price further comprises maximizing the utility rate for the portion of the time interval.

11. The method for recommending prices of claim 10, further comprising:

for each of a plurality of price changes during each portion of the time interval, calculating a respective utility rate associated therewith;

averaging utility rates for a price change across each portion of the time interval; and

recommending the price change corresponding to a highest average utility rate.

12. A computer program product comprising a non-transitory recording medium storing instructions, which when executed on a computer causes the computer to perform the method of claim 1.

13. A system comprising memory storing instructions for performing the method of claim 1, and a processor in communication with the memory which implements the instructions.

14. A system for recommending prices for parking, comprising:

a processor;

a blocking rate estimation unit configured for computing a blocking rate in accordance with occupancy data and traffic flow information corresponding to an associated block face during an analysis period;

a traffic flux determination unit configured for computing a traffic flux for the block face during the analysis period;

an externality cost determination unit configured for computing at least one externality cost associated with parking on the associated block face;

a cost rate estimation unit configured for computing a cost rate for the block face during the analysis period in accordance with the blocking rate, the traffic flux, and the at least one externality cost;

memory in communication with the processor, which stores instructions which are executed by the processor for;

determining a valuation rate for each occupied space on the associated block face during a portion of a time interval of the analysis period,

calculating an average valuation rate for parking during the portion of the time interval on the associated block face via the determined valuation rates,

calculating a utility rate for each portion of the time interval of the analysis period, the utility rate corresponding to a difference between the average valuation rate and the cost rate for the portion of the time interval, and

maximizing the utility rate for the portion of the time interval to determine a recommended price corresponding thereto.

15. The system for recommending prices of claim 14, further comprising instructions for:

calculating a respective utility rate for each of a plurality of price changes during each portion of the time interval; and

averaging utility rates for a price change across each portion of the time interval,

wherein the recommended price corresponds to a highest average utility rate.

16. The system for recommending prices of claim 15, wherein the at least one externality cost associated with parking on the associated block face corresponds to at least one of an estimated cost to a blocked driver or an estimated cost to a slowed driver.

17. The system for recommending prices of claim 16, wherein the estimated cost to a blocked driver includes a cost associated with a distance from a nearest vacancy to an occupied space on the associated block face.

18. The system for recommending prices of claim 14, further comprising a blocking probability estimation unit configure for computing a blocking probability that a driver will be blocked from parking on the associated block face during the analysis period in accordance with the received occupancy data, wherein the blocking rate is estimated in accordance with the blocking probability.

19. A computer-implemented method for recommending prices for parking, comprising:

receiving occupancy data corresponding to a block face of interest;

receiving traffic flow information associated with the block face of interest;

estimating a blocking rate for the block face of interest in accordance with the occupancy data and the traffic flow information during an analysis period;

determining a traffic flux for the block face of interest during the analysis period;

estimating a cost rate for the block face of interest during the analysis period as a function of the estimated blocking rate and the determined traffic flux; and

recommending at least one price change to a price for parking on the block face of interest in accordance with the blocking rate and the cost rate.

20. The computer-implemented method for recommending prices for parking of claim 19, further comprising:

determining a valuation rate for each occupied space on the block face of interest during a portion of a time interval of the analysis period;

calculating an average valuation rate for parking during the portion of the time interval on the associated block face via the determined valuation rates;

calculating a utility rate for each portion of the time interval, the utility rate corresponding to a difference between the average valuation rate and the cost rate for the portion of the time interval; and

recommending the price change in accordance with a maximization of the utility rate for the portion of the time interval.