INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT PLANNING FOR BOTH SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM CAPACITY DEMANDS

• US 20160171410A1
• Filed: 12/11/2014
• Published: 06/16/2016
• Est. Priority Date: 12/11/2014
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: SAP SE
• Original Assignee: Cheng, Yu, Gufei Sun, Heng Wang, Wen-Syan Li
• Inventors: SUN, Gufei, WANG, Heng, CHENG, Yu, LI, Wen-Syan
• Application Number:
  US14/566,730
• Publication Number:
  US 20160171410A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 1/1
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06315 Needs-based resource requirements planning or analysis
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/087 Inventory or stock management, e.g. order filling, procurement or balancing against orders
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0202 Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0206 Price or cost determination based on market factors

Abstract

Disclosed herein are technologies related to infrastructure investment planning for short-term and long-term capacity demands. One or more of the described technologies involve solving rent-or-buy optimization for real world infrastructure investment planning. Such technologies utilize forecasting, predictive analysis and dynamic programming. This Abstract is submitted with the understanding that it will not be used to interpret or limit the scope or meaning of the claims.

Claims

1. A method comprising:

forecasting capacity demands over a defined time period, wherein the capacity demands are for services provided by equipment, the equipment having a defined service capacity;

forecasting pricing data over the defined time period, the forecasted pricing data includes future equipment price dataset and future rental price dataset, the future equipment price dataset includes estimated future prices for purchase of additional equipment over the defined time period and the future rental prices dataset includes estimated future prices for rental orders of additional equipment over the defined time period;

generating an optimized equipment purchase plan that includes indicators to purchase equipment having sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period;

determining the remainder capacity demands that are not fulfilled by the equipment purchase in accordance with the optimized equipment purchase plan;

generating an optimized rental order plan that includes indicators to order equipment rentals having sufficient capacity to at least fulfill the remainder capacity demands over the defined time period;

producing an equipment-acquisition plan by combining the optimized equipment purchase plan and the optimized rental order plan; and

reporting the produced equipment-acquisition plan.

2. The method according to claim 1, wherein the forecasting of the capacity demands utilizes predictive analytics to determine future capacity demands over the time period.

3. The method according to claim 1, wherein the defined capacity of purchased and rented equipment varies over the time period.

4. The method according to claim 1, further comprising forecasting an approximate rental cost over the time period based on an average price for renting equipment.

5. The method according to claim 1, wherein the generating of the optimized equipment purchase plan comprises performing a two-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the forecasted capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data.

6. The method according to claim 1, wherein the generating of the optimized rental order plan comprises performing a one-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the remainder capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data.

7. The method according to claim 1, wherein the optimized equipment purchase plan lists when to purchase equipment with sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period.

10. The method according to claim 1, wherein the reporting comprises generating of a user-interface to communicate to a user the produced equipment-acquisition plan.

8. The method according to clan 1, wherein the optimized rental order plan lists when to order rental equipment with sufficient capacity to at least fulfill the remainder capacity demands over the defined time period.

9. The method according to claim 8, wherein the optimized rental order plan specifies duration of rental orders.

11. One or more non-transitory computer-readable media storing processor-executable instructions that when executed cause one or more processors to perform operations comprising:

forecasting capacity demands over a defined time period, wherein the capacity demands are for services provided by equipment, the equipment having a defined service capacity, wherein the forecasting of the capacity demands utilizes predictive analytics to determine future capacity demands over the time period;

forecasting pricing data over the defined time period, the forecasted pricing data includes future equipment price dataset and future rental price dataset, the future equipment price dataset includes estimated future prices for purchase of additional equipment over the defined time period and the future rental prices dataset includes estimated future prices for rental orders of additional equipment over the defined time period;

generating an optimized equipment purchase plan that includes indicators to purchase equipment having sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period, wherein the generating of the optimized equipment purchase plan includes performing a two-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the forecasted capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data;

determining the remainder capacity demands that is not fulfilled by the equipment purchase in accordance with the optimized equipment purchase plan;

generating an optimized rental order plan that includes indicators to order equipment rentals having sufficient capacity to at least fulfill the remainder capacity demands over the defined time period, wherein the generating of the optimized rental order plan includes performing a one-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the remainder capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data;

producing an equipment-acquisition plan by combining the optimized equipment purchase plan and the optimized rental order plan; and

reporting the produced equipment-acquisition plan.

12. The one or more computer-readable media according to claim 11, wherein the optimized equipment purchase plan lists when to purchase equipment with sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period.

13. The one or more computer-readable media according to claim 11, wherein the optimized rental order plan lists when to order rental equipment with sufficient capacity to at least fulfill the remainder capacity demands over the defined time period.

14. A system for facilitating production of an optimized equipment-acquisition plan, comprising:

a non-transitory memory device for storing computer readable program code; and

a processor device in communication with the memory device, the processor device being operative with the computer readable program code to perform steps including

forecasting capacity demands over a defined time period, wherein the capacity demands are for services provided by equipment, the equipment having a defined service capacity,

forecasting pricing data over the defined time period, the forecasted pricing data includes future equipment price dataset and future rental price dataset, the future equipment price dataset includes estimated future prices for purchase of additional equipment over the defined time period and the future rental prices dataset includes estimated future prices for rental orders of additional equipment over the defined time period,

generating an optimized equipment purchase plan that includes indicators to purchase equipment having sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period, the generating of the optimized equipment purchase plan is based, at least in part, on the forecasted capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data,

determining the remainder capacity demands that is not fulfilled by the equipment purchase in accordance with the optimized equipment purchase plan,

generating an optimized rental order plan that includes indicators to order equipment rentals having sufficient capacity to at least fulfill the remainder capacity demands over the defined time period, the generating of the optimized rental order plan is based, at least in part, on the remainder capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data,

producing an equipment-acquisition plan by combining the optimized equipment purchase plan and the optimized rental order plan, and

executing the produced equipment-acquisition plan, wherein the executing of the produced equipment-acquisition plan includes automated submission of orders to purchase and/or rent equipment in accordance with the produced equipment-acquisition plan.

15. The system according to claim 14, wherein the forecasting of the capacity demands utilizes predictive analytics to determine future capacity demands over the time period.

16. The system according to claim 14, wherein the defined capacity of purchased and rented equipment varies over the time period.

17. The system according to claim 14, wherein the processor device is further operative with the computer readable program code to forecast an approximate rental cost over the time period based upon an average price for renting equipment.

18. The system according to claim 14, wherein the generating of the optimized equipment purchase plan comprises performing a two-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the forecasted capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data.

19. The system according to claim 14, wherein the generating of the optimized rental order plan comprises performing a one-dimensional dynamic programming function based, at least in part, on the remainder capacity demands and the forecasted pricing data.

20. The system according to claim 14, wherein the optimized equipment purchase plan lists when to purchase equipment with sufficient capacity to fulfill but not exceed the forecasted capacity demands over the defined time period.