Systems and Methods for Real-Time Forecasting and Predicting of Electrical Peaks and Managing the Energy, Health, Reliability, and Performance of Electrical Power Systems Based on an Artificial Adaptive Neural Network
First Claim
1. A system for making real-time predictions about the health, reliability, and performance of a monitored system, comprising:
- a data acquisition component communicatively connected to a sensor configured to acquire real-time data output from the monitored system;
a power analytics server communicatively connected to the data acquisition component, comprising,a virtual system modeling engine configured to generate predicted data output for the monitored system utilizing a virtual system model of the monitored system,an analytics engine configured to monitor the real-time data output and the predicted data output of the monitored system, the analytics engine further configured to initiate a calibration and synchronization operation to update the virtual system model when a difference between the real-time data output and the predicted data output exceeds a threshold, andan adaptive prediction engine configured to forecast an aspect of the monitored system based on an adaptive neural network algorithm, the adaptive prediction engine further configured to automatically minimize a measure of error between the real-time data output and a corresponding forecasted data output by the adaptive prediction engine.
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Abstract
Systems and methods for making real-time predictions about the health, reliability, and performance of a monitored system are disclosed. A data acquisition component acquires real-time data output from the monitored system. A power analytics server comprises a virtual system modeling engine, an analytics engine, and an adaptive prediction engine. The virtual system modeling engine is operable to generate predicted data output for the monitored system utilizing a virtual system model of the monitored system. An analytics engine is operable to update the virtual system model when a difference between the real-time data output and the predicted data output exceeds a threshold. The adaptive prediction engine is operable to forecast an aspect of the monitored system based on an adaptive neural network algorithm and automatically minimize a measure of error between the real-time data output and a corresponding forecasted data output by the adaptive prediction engine.
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Citations
20 Claims
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1. A system for making real-time predictions about the health, reliability, and performance of a monitored system, comprising:
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a data acquisition component communicatively connected to a sensor configured to acquire real-time data output from the monitored system; a power analytics server communicatively connected to the data acquisition component, comprising, a virtual system modeling engine configured to generate predicted data output for the monitored system utilizing a virtual system model of the monitored system, an analytics engine configured to monitor the real-time data output and the predicted data output of the monitored system, the analytics engine further configured to initiate a calibration and synchronization operation to update the virtual system model when a difference between the real-time data output and the predicted data output exceeds a threshold, and an adaptive prediction engine configured to forecast an aspect of the monitored system based on an adaptive neural network algorithm, the adaptive prediction engine further configured to automatically minimize a measure of error between the real-time data output and a corresponding forecasted data output by the adaptive prediction engine. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. A method for making real-time predictions about the health, reliability, and performance of a monitored system, comprising:
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receiving real-time data output from the monitored system; generating predicted data output for the monitored system utilizing a virtual system model of the monitored system; calibrating the virtual system model of the monitored system when a difference between the real-time data output and the predicted data output exceeds a threshold; forecasting an aspect of the monitored system based on an adaptive neural network algorithm; and minimizing a measure of error between the real-time data output and a corresponding forecasted data output. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
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Specification