SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR IMPROVED AGRICULTURAL YIELD AND EFFICIENCY USING STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

• US 20160260021A1
• Filed: 02/11/2016
• Published: 09/08/2016
• Est. Priority Date: 03/06/2015
• Status: Abandoned Application

• Current Assignee: William Marek
• Original Assignee: William Marek
• Inventors: Marek, William
• Application Number:
  US15/041,301
• Publication Number:
  US 20160260021A1
• Time in Patent Office: Days
• US Class Current: 1/1
• CPC Class Codes: A01B 79/02 combined with other agricultural processing, e.g. fertilising, planting
• CPC Class Codes: E02B 13/00 Irrigation ditches, i.e. gravity flow, open channel water distribution systems retaining waterborne material in irrigation canals E02B5/085; other distribution systems for watering or spraying gardens, fields, sports grounds, or the like, A01G25/00; built-in irrigation means for sports grounds E01C13/083
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/04 Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem" market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities G06Q30/0202
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/02 Agriculture; Fishing; Forestry; Mining
• CPC Class Codes: Y02A 40/22 Improving land use; Improving water use or availability; Controlling erosion

Abstract

A method and system for adjusting inputs to an agriculture field to improve crop performance. Data are gathered for a field divided into zones, which may be sector-shaped or otherwise. These data include field characteristics, grower inputs, and yield. Statistical techniques are applied to (1) identify grower inputs that correlate with crop performance; (2) identify zones that may benefit from adjustments to one or more grower inputs; (3) predict improvements in crop performance that may result from adjusting one or more grower inputs for a particular zone; (4) suggest an adjustment to one or more grower inputs for a particular zone; (5) analyze actual effects of applying adjustments to grower inputs for a particular zone; (6) determine whether a zone may benefit from further tuning one or more grower inputs; and (7) suggesting tuning adjustments to one or more grower inputs for a zone. A method and system for computing “Sure Pressure”, i.e., for computing pump motor speed and consequently water pressure that ensures sufficient pressure for each dropdown in a span in a center-pivot irrigated field, is also disclosed.

Claims

1. A method for applying a grower input to a field, comprising:

obtaining field characteristic, grower input, and crop performance data for one or more zones of a field;

applying statistical means to the obtained data to identify one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance;

identifying a zone of the field that may benefit from adjustment;

prescribing an adjustment to at least one grower input for the identified zone.

2. The method of claim 1, wherein field characteristic data comprises one or more of, or is based on one or more of, soil chemistry, pedal samples, topography, elevation, landscape change, slope, aspect, and soil compaction.

3. The method of claim 1, wherein crop performance data comprises one or more of, or is based on one or more of, yield and NDVI.

4. The method of claim 1, wherein a grower input is one of irrigation, tillage, fertility treatment, chemical treatment, and seeding.

5. The method of claim 1, wherein applying statistical means to identify one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance comprises employing linear regression, stepwise regression, or a combination of linear regression and stepwise regression.

6. The method of claim 1, further comprising providing a percent confidence for the identified one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance.

7. The method of claim 1, further comprising generating a predictive estimate of improvements to crop yield that may result from adjusting one or more of the identified one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance.

8. The method of claim 7, wherein generating a predictive estimate of improvements to crop yield comprises:

calculating the mean residual value for yields of zones yield beneath a regression slope;

computing a product of the r² and the mean residual value beneath the slope; and

dividing the product by the mean volume per acre over all zones in the field.

9. The method of claim 7, further comprising applying a modifier to the generated predictive estimate.

10. The method of claim 1, wherein identifying a zone that may benefit from an adjustment comprises employing linear regression with a scatter plot to identify underperforming zones.

11. The method of claim 1, wherein prescribing an adjustment to at least one grower input for the identified zone comprises:

identifying a grower input for adjustment and

calculating an adjustment based on a measure of central tendency for the identified grower input.

12. The method of claim 11, wherein prescribing an adjustment to at least one grower input for the identified zone further comprises:

determining that the calculated adjustment is outside of a variance; and

modifying the calculated adjustment so that it is within the variance.

13. The method of claim 11, wherein prescribing an adjustment to at least one grower input for the identified zone further comprises applying a modifier to the calculated adjustment

14. The method of claim 1, further comprising:

analyzing the actual effectiveness of the prescribed adjustment to the at least one grower input for the identified zone; and

further adjusting the at least one grower input for the identified zone.

16. The method of claim 1, wherein field characteristic data comprises one or more of, or is based on one or more of, soil chemistry, pedal samples, topography, elevation, landscape change, slope, aspect, and soil compaction.

17. The method of claim 1, wherein crop performance data comprises one or more of, or is based on one or more of, yield and NDVI.

18. The method of claim 1, wherein a grower input is one of irrigation, tillage, fertility treatment, chemical treatment, and seeding.

19. The method of claim 1, wherein applying statistical means to identify one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance comprises employing linear regression, stepwise regression, or a combination of linear regression and stepwise regression.

15. A system for applying a grower input to a field, comprising:

a field data analytics (“

FDA”

) module configured to;

obtain field characteristic, grower input, and crop performance data for one or more zones of a field;

apply statistical means to the obtained data to identify one or more grower inputs that correlate with crop performance;

identify a zone of the field that may benefit from adjustment; and

a prescription calculator module configured to prescribe an adjustment to at least one grower input for the identified zone.

20. A method for regulating irrigation pressure in a pivot irrigation system comprising:

computing water pressure to a span based on

elevation-change pressure loss; and

friction loss; and

regulating the water pressure to the span, based on the computed water pressure, such that the span delivers sufficient water pressure to each dropdown in the span.