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TEMPORAL BIAS CORRECTION IN WIND FORECASTING

  • US 20190317244A1
  • Filed: 05/30/2019
  • Published: 10/17/2019
  • Est. Priority Date: 08/01/2016
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A method comprising:

  • extracting, from a forecast that is applicable to a period and a geographical area, a set of characteristics of the period;

    selecting, from a repository, a set of historical data corresponding to a historical period, the set of historical data comprising a historical forecast related to the geographical area, and an actual measurement of wind at a location in the geographical area, the set of historical data having a subset of the set of characteristics;

    computing, using a processor and a memory, from the set of historical data, a function to represent a time discrepancy between the historical forecast reaching a value of wind speed and the actual measurement reaching the value of wind speed;

    computing a bias value from the function;

    adjusting the forecast, using the processor and the memory, by applying the bias to a value in the forecast, to produce an adjusted forecast of winds at a wind turbine located at a location in the geographical area.

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