System and method for weather adapted, business performance forecasting

• US 5,832,456 A
• Filed: 01/18/1996
• Issued: 11/03/1998
• Est. Priority Date: 01/18/1996
• Status: Expired due to Term

• Current Assignee: Planalytics, Inc.
• Original Assignee: Strategic Weather Services
• Inventors: Mann, Steven, Light, Harve C., Caine, Diane, Shapiro, Ron M., Rodriguez, Suzanne M., Fox, Frederic D., Pearson, Douglas R.
• Primary Examiner(s): Hayes, Gail O.
• Assistant Examiner(s): Hughet, William N.
• Application Number:
  US08/588,248
• Time in Patent Office: 1,020 Days
• Field of Search: 395/210, 705/10
• US Class Current: 705/7.31
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06 Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/0635 Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0202 Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0205 Location or geographical consideration

Abstract

A system and method for forecasting future retail performance are described herein. The system includes a storage device that stores a sales history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database. An analyzer determines the extent to which past retail performance of a plurality of products at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using the sales history database and the weather history database. A configurator, coupled to the analyzer, estimates expected future retail performance of the products at the stores for a plurality of future time periods using the weather forecast database and results produced by the analyzer. A graphical user interface, coupled to the analyzer and the configurator, enables users to view and manipulate results produced by the analyzer and the configurator to thereby forecast future retail performance of the products at the locations.

Claims

1. A system for forecasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyzer to determine the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations,

wherein said graphical user interface comprises weather query means for locating and displaying any sequence of periods that match user-specified sequences of weather patterns.

2. The system of claim 1, wherein said analyzer comprises:

means for selecting a first prior year and a second prior year, said second prior year being before said first prior year;

means for selecting a location and a business unit;

means for selecting a weather pattern; and

business performance determining means for determining the extent to which said selected weather pattern affected business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said first prior year and said second prior year.

3. The system of claim 2, wherein said business performance determining means comprises:

means for selecting a period in said first prior year and said second prior year for evaluation;

means for determining whether said selected weather pattern occurs in said selected period of only one of said first prior year and said second prior year; and

impact determining means for determining, if it is determined that said selected weather pattern occurs in said selected period of only one of said first prior year and said second prior year, whether said selected weather pattern had a positive impact, a negative impact, or no impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year.

4. The system of claim 3, wherein said impact determining means comprises:

means for determining that said selected weather pattern had a positive impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance improved from said second prior year to said first prior year;

means for determining that said selected weather pattern had a negative impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance worsened from said second prior year to said first prior year; and

means for determining that said selected weather pattern had no impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance did not change from said second prior year to said first prior year.

5. The system of claim 2, wherein said analyzer further comprises:

means for storing results of said business performance determining means in an analyzer output database.

6. The system of claim 1, wherein said configurator comprises:

means for selecting a business unit;

means for selecting a location;

means for selecting a future period in a future time span; and

business performance estimating means for estimating business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said selected future period in accordance with weather predicted to occur in said location during said future period.

7. The system of claim 6, wherein said business performance estimating means comprises:

means for identifying all weather patterns predicted to occur in said location during said future period;

past business performance determining means for determining the manner in which said identified weather patterns have previously affected business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location;

score calculating means for calculating a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period in accordance with said determination of said past business performance determining means; and

means for storing said score in a configurator output database.

8. The system of claim 7, wherein said past business performance determining mean comprises:

count retrieving means for retrieving from an analyzer output database a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location for each of said identified weather patterns;

means for summing all positive counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total positive count; and

means for summing all negative counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total negative count; and

means for summing all no change counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total no change count.

9. The system of claim 8, wherein said score calculating means comprises:

means for summing said total positive count, said total negative count, and said total no change count to generate a total count, called totalcount;

count selecting means for selecting either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count, said selected count called selectedcount;

means for calculating a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future time period according to an equation;

##EQU2##

10. The system of claim 9, wherein said score calculating means further comprises:

means for setting a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period equal to zero if said total count is equal to zero.

11. The system of claim 9, wherein said score calculating means further comprises:

means for limiting said score to values between a predetermined minimum value and a predetermined maximum value.

12. The system of claim 9, wherein said count selecting means comprises:

means for selecting the greater of either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count.

13. The system of claim 1, wherein said graphical user interface comprises:

administrator setup means for enabling an operator to specify parameters for a customized view; and

means for filtering said business history database, said weather history database, and said weather forecast database in accordance with said specified parameters for as to create said customized view.

14. The system of claim 13, wherein said administrator setup means comprises:

means for enabling said operator to specify a time frame for evaluation, a first prior year and a second prior year for evaluation, business units for evaluation, locations for evaluation, weather patterns for evaluation, or business performance metrics for evaluation.

15. The system of claim 1, wherein said graphical user interface comprises:

weather impact means for displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations.

16. The system of claim 15, wherein said weather impact means comprises:

means for enabling a user to select one or more business units;

means for enabling the user to select a location;

record retrieval means for retrieving all records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said location as affected by weather;

score calculating means for using said retrieved records to calculate a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location; and

means for displaying said score to the user.

17. The system of claim 16, wherein each of said retrieved records includes a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count, said weather impact means further comprising:

means for summing all positive counts in said retrieved records to generate a total positive count;

means for summing all negative counts in said retrieved records to generate a total negative count; and

means for summing all no change counts in said retrieved records to generate a total no change count.

18. The system of claim 17, wherein said score calculating means comprises:

means for summing said total positive count, said total negative count, and said total no change count to generate a total count, called a totalcount;

count selecting means for selecting either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count, said selected count called a selectedcount;

means for calculating a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period according to an equation;

##EQU3##

19. The system of claim 18, wherein said score calculating means further comprises:

means for setting a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period equal to zero if said total count is equal to zero.

20. The system of claim 18, wherein said score calculating means further comprises:

means for limiting said score to values between a predetermined minimum value and a predetermined maximum value.

21. The system of claim 18, wherein said count selecting means comprises:

means for selecting the greater of either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count.

22. The system of claim 15, wherein said weather impact means comprises:

details means for displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in a user-selected location.

23. The system of claim 22, wherein said details means comprises:

means for retrieving all records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said user-selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said user-selected location as affected by weather;

score calculating means for using said retrieved records to calculate for each weather pattern represented by said retrieved records a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location in view of said each weather pattern; and

score displaying means for displaying to users a subset of scores calculated by said score calculating means.

24. The system of claim 23, wherein said score displaying means comprises:

means for displaying the two highest scores and the two lowest scores.

25. The system of claim 1, wherein said graphical user interface comprises:

weather optimization means for displaying to users predicted future business performance of selected business units at selected locations in view of predicted weather at said selected locations.

26. The system of claim 25, wherein said weather optimization means comprises:

means for enabling a user to select a business unit for evaluation;

means for enabling the user to select a location for evaluation;

means for retrieving from a configurator output database all records corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location, said retrieved records representing predicted future business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location; and

displaying means for displaying to users information contained in said retrieved records.

27. The system of claim 26, wherein said displaying means comprises:

table displaying means for displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a business unit or location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

score displaying means for displaying in a row corresponding to said selected business unit or location scores contained in said retrieved records, each score corresponding to a future time period and displayed in a column of said table associated with said future time period.

28. The system of claim 1, wherein said graphical user interface comprises:

weather pattern search means for identifying and displaying any future periods where user-specified weather patterns are predicted to occur.

29. The system of claim 28, wherein said weather pattern search means comprises:

means for enabling a user to select a weather pattern;

means for enabling the user to select one or more locations;

weather search means for searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said selected weather pattern occurs at said selected locations; and

weather pattern displaying means for displaying results of said weather search means to the user.

30. The system of claim 29, wherein said weather pattern displaying means comprises:

table displaying means for displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

means for displaying in rows respectively corresponding to said selected locations said results of said weather search means.

31. The system of claim 1, wherein said weather query means comprises:

means for enabling a user to enter weather search criteria;

means for enabling the user to enter one or more locations;

weather search means for searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said weather search criteria are satisfied; and

weather query displaying means for displaying results of said weather search means to the user.

32. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods, and further comprising the step of locating and displaying any sequence of time periods that match user-specified sequences of weather patterns.

33. The method of claim 32, wherein step (2) comprises the steps of:

(a) selecting a first prior year and a second prior year, said second prior year being before said first prior year;

(b) selecting a location and a business unit;

(c) selecting a weather pattern; and

(d) determining the extent to which said selected weather pattern affected business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said first prior year and said second prior year.

34. The method of claim 33, wherein step (d) comprises the steps of:

(I) selecting a period in said first prior year and said second prior year for evaluation;

(II) determining whether said selected weather pattern occurs in said selected period of only one of said first prior year and said second prior year; and

(III) determining, if it is determined that said selected weather pattern occurs in said selected period of only one of said first prior year and said second prior year, whether said selected weather pattern had a positive impact, a negative impact, or no impact or business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year.

35. The method of claim 34, wherein step (III) comprises the steps of:

determining that said selected weather pattern had a positive impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance improved from said second prior year to said first prior year relative to user-specified criteria;

determining that said selected weather pattern had a negative impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance worsened from said second prior year to said first prior year relative to user-specified criteria; and

determining that said selected weather pattern had no impact on business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location from said second prior year to said first prior year if business performance did not change from said second prior year to said first prior year relative to user-specified criteria.

36. The method of claim 33, wherein step (2) further comprises the step of:

(e) storing results of said business performance determining means in an analyzer output database.

37. The method of claim 32, wherein step (3) comprises the steps of:

(a) selecting a business unit;

(b) selecting a location;

(c) selecting a future period in a future time span; and

(d) estimating business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said selected future period in accordance with weather predicted to occur in said location during said future period.

38. The method of claim 37, wherein step (d) comprises the steps of:

(I) identifying all weather patterns predicted to occur in said location during said future period;

(II) determining the manner in which said identified weather patterns have previously affected business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location;

(III) calculating a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period in accordance with said determination of said past business performance determining means; and

(IV) storing said score in a configurator output database.

39. The method of claim 38, wherein step (II) comprises the steps of:

(A) retrieving from an analyzer output database a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location for each of said identified weather patterns;

(B) summing all positive counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total positive count;

(C) summing all negative counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total negative count; and

(D) summing all no change counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total no change count.

40. The method of claim 39, wherein step (III) comprises the steps of:

(I) summing said total positive count, said total negative count, and said total no change count to generate a total count, called totalcount;

(II) selecting either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count, said selected count called selectedcount;

(III) calculating a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period according to an equation;

##EQU4##

41. The method of claim 40, wherein step (III) further comprises the step of:

setting a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period equal to zero if said total count is equal to zero.

42. The method of claim 40, wherein step (III) further comprises the step of:

limiting said score to values between a predetermined minimum value and a predetermined maximum value.

43. The method of claim 40, wherein step (II) comprises the step of:

selecting the greater of either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count.

44. The method of claim 32, wherein step (4) comprises the steps of:

(a) enabling an operator to specify parameters for a customized view; and

(b) filtering said business history database, said weather history database, and said weather forecast database in accordance with said specified parameters to create said customized view.

45. The method of claim 44, wherein step (a) comprises the step of:

enabling said operator to specify any combination of a time frame for evaluation, a first prior year and a second prior year for evaluation, business units for evaluation, locations for evaluation, weather patterns for evaluation, or business performance metrics for evaluation.

46. The method of claim 32, wherein step (4) comprises the step of:

(a) displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations.

47. The method of claim 46, wherein step (a) comprises the steps of:

(I) enabling a user to select one or more business units;

(II) enabling the user to select a location;

(III) retrieving all records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said

selected business units and said selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said location as affected by weather;

(IV) using said retrieved records to calculate a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location; and

(V) displaying said score to the user.

48. The method of claim 47, wherein each of said retrieved records includes a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count, step (a) further comprising the steps of:

(VI) summing all positive counts in said retrieved records to generate a total positive count;

(VII) summing all negative counts in said retrieved records to generate a total negative count; and

(VIII) summing all no change counts in said retrieved records to generate a total no change count.

49. The method of claim 48, wherein step (IV) comprises the steps of:

(A) summing said total positive count, said total negative count, and said total no change count to generate a total count, called a totalcount;

(B) selecting either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count, said selected count called a selectedcount;

(C) calculating a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period according to an equation;

##EQU5##

50. The method of claim 49, wherein step (IV) further comprises the step of:

setting a score for said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period equal to zero if said total count is equal to zero.

51. The method of claim 49, wherein step (IV) further comprises the step of:

limiting said score to values between a predetermined minimum value and a predetermined maximum value.

52. The method of claim 49, wherein step (B) comprises the step of:

selecting the greater of either said total positive count, said total negative count, or said total no change count.

53. The method of claim 46, wherein step (a) comprises the step of:

(I) displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in a user-selected location.

54. The method of claim 53, wherein step (I) comprises the step of:

(A) retrieving all records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said user-selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said user-selected location as affected by weather;

(B) using said retrieved records to calculate for each weather pattern represented by said retrieved records a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location in view of said each weather pattern; and

(C) displaying to users a subset of scores calculated by said score calculating means.

55. The method of claim 54, wherein step (C) comprises the step of:

displaying the two highest scores and the two lowest scores.

56. The method of claim 32, wherein step (4) comprises the step of:

(a) displaying to users predicted future business performance of selected business units at selected locations in view of predicted weather at said selected locations.

57. The method of claim 56, wherein step (a) comprises the steps of:

(I) enabling a user to select a business unit for evaluation;

(II) enabling the user to select a location and time period for evaluation;

(III) retrieving from a configurator output database all records corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location, said retrieved records representing predicted future business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected time period; and

(IV) displaying to users information contained in said retrieved records.

58. The method of claim 57 wherein step (IV) comprises the steps of:

displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

displaying in a row corresponding to said selected location scores contained in said retrieved records, each score corresponding to a future time period and displayed in a column of said table associated with said future time period.

59. The method of claim 32, wherein step (4) comprises the step of:

(a) identifying and displaying any future periods where user-specified weather patterns are predicted to occur.

60. The method of claim 59, wherein step (a) comprises the steps of:

(I) enabling a user to select a weather pattern;

(II) enabling the user to select one or more locations;

(III) searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said selected weather pattern occurs; and

(IV) displaying results of said weather search means to the user.

61. The method of claim 60 wherein step (IV) comprises the steps of:

displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

displaying in rows respectively corresponding to said selected locations said results of said weather search means.

62. The method of claim 32, wherein said locating and displaying step comprises the steps of:

enabling a user to enter weather search criteria;

enabling the user to enter one or more locations;

searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said weather search criteria are satisfied; and

displaying results of said weather search means to the user.

63. A system for forecasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyzer to determine the to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations;

wherein said configurator comprises;

means for selecting a business unit;

means for selecting a location;

means for selecting a future period in a future time span; and

business perforce estimating means for estimating business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said selected future period in accordance with weather predicted to occur in said location during said future period;

wherein said business performance estimating means comprises;

means for identifying weather patterns predicted to occur in said location during said future period;

past business performance determining means for determining the manner in which said identified weather patterns have previously affected business performance if said selected business unit in said selected location;

score calculating means for calculating a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected further period in accordance with said determination of said past business performance determining means; and

means for storing said in a configurator output database;

wherein said past business performance determining means comprises;

count retrieving means for retrieving from an analyzer output database a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count corresponding to said selected business unit and sad selected location for each of said identified weather patterns;

means for summing positive counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total positive count;

means for summing negative counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total negative count; and

means for summing no change counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total no change count.

64. A system for forecasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyzer to determine the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations;

wherein said graphical user interface comprises;

weather impact means for displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations;

wherein said weather impact means comprises;

means for enabling a user to select one or more business units;

means for enabling the user to select a location;

record retrieval means for retrieving records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said location as affected by weather;

score calculating means for using said retrieved records to calculate a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location; and

means for displaying said score to the user;

wherein each of said retrieved records includes a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count, said weather impact means further comprising;

means for summing positive counts in said retrieved records to generate a total positive count;

means for summing negative counts in said retrieved records to generate a total negative count; and

means for summing no change counts in said retrieved records to generate a total no change count.

65. A system for forecasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyzer to determine the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations;

wherein said graphical user interface comprises;

weather impact means for displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations;

wherein said weather impact means comprises;

details means for displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in a user-selected location;

wherein said detail s means comprises;

means for retrieving records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and sad user-selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said user-selected location as affected by weather;

score calculating means for using sad retrieved records to calculate for each weather pattern represented by said retrieved records a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location in view of said each weather pattern; and

score displaying means for displaying to users a subset of scores calculated by said score calculating means;

wherein said score displaying means comprises;

means for displaying the two highest scores and the two lowest scores.

66. A system for forecasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyzer to determine the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations;

wherein said graphical user interface comprises;

weather optimization means for displaying to users predicted future business performance of selected business its at selected locations in view of predicted weather at said selected locations;

wherein said weather optimization means comprises;

means for enabling a user to select a business unit for evaluation;

means for enabling the user to select a location for evaluation,

means for retrieving from a configurator output database records corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected locations said retrieved records representing predicted future business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location; and

displaying means for displaying to users information contained in said retrieved records,

wherein said displaying means comprises;

table displaying means for displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a business unit or location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

score displaying means for displaying in a row corresponding to said selected business unit or location scores contained in said retrieved records, each score corresponding to a future time period and displayed in a column of said table associated with said future time period.

67. A system for foretasting business performance, comprising:

a storage device storing a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

an analyze to determine the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

a configurator, coupled to said analyzer, to estimate expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

a graphical user interface, coupled to said analyzer and said configurator, to enable users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations;

wherein said graphical user interface comprises;

weather pattern search means for identifying and displaying any future periods where user-specified weather patterns are predicted to occur;

wherein said weather pattern search means comprises;

means for enabling a user to select a weather pattern,

means for enabling the user to select one or more locations;

weather search means for searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said selected weather pattern occurs at said selected locations; and

weather pattern displaying means for displaying results of said weather search means to the user;

wherein said weather pattern displaying means comprises;

table displaying means for displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

means for displaying in rows respectively corresponding to said selected locations said results of said weather search means.

68. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of fixture time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (3) comprises the steps of;

(a) selecting a business unit;

(b) selecting a location;

(c) selecting a future period in a future time span; and

(d) estimating business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location during said selected future period in accordance with weather predicted to occur;

wherein step (d) comprises the steps of;

(I) identifying weather patterns predicted to occur in said location during said future period,

(II) determining the manner in which said identified weather patterns have previously affected business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location;

(III) calculating a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected future period in accordance with said determination of said past business performance determining means; and

(IV) storing said score in a configurator output database;

wherein step (II) comprises the steps of;

(A) retrieving from an analyzer output database a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location for each of said identified weather patterns;

(B) summing positive counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total positive count;

(C) summing negative counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total negative count; and

(D) summing no change counts retrieved by said count retrieving means to generate a total no change count.

69. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (4) comprises the step of;

(a) displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations;

wherein step (a) comprises the steps of;

(I) enabling a user to select one or more business units;

(II) enabling the user to select a location;

(III) retrieving records for an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said location as affected by weather, wherein each of said retrieved records includes a positive count, a negative count, and a no change count;

(IV) using said retrieved records to calculate a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location;

(V) displaying said score to the user;

(VI) summing positive counts in said retrieved records to generate a total positive count;

(VII) summing negative counts in said retrieved records to generate a total negative count; and

(VIII) so change counts in said retrieved records to generate a total no change count.

70. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast fixture business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (4) comprises the step of;

(a) displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in selected locations;

wherein step (a) comprises the step of;

(I) displaying to users the manner in which past weather impacted business performance of selected business units in a user-selected location;

wherein step (I) comprises the steps of;

(A) retrieving records from an analyzer output database corresponding to said selected business units and said user-selected location, said retrieved records representing past business performance of said business units in said user-selected location as affected by weather;

(B) using said retrieved records to calculate for each weather pattern represented by said retrieved records a score indicative of predicted business strength of said selected business units in said selected location in view of said each weather pattern; and

(C) displaying to users a subset of scores calculated by said score calculating means;

wherein step (C) comprises the step of;

displaying the two highest scores and the two lowest scores.

71. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (4) comprises the step of;

(a) displaying to users predicted future business performance of selected business units at selected locations in view of predicted weather at said selected locations

wherein step (a) comprises the steps of;

(I) enabling a user to select a business unit for evaluation;

(II) enabling the user to select a location and time period for evaluation;

(III) retrieving from a configurator output database records corresponding to said selected business unit and said selected location, said retrieved records representing predicted future business performance of said selected business unit in said selected location for said selected time period; and

(IV) displaying to users information contained in said retrieved records;

step (IV) comprises the steps of;

displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

displaying in a row corresponding to said selected location scores contained in said retrieved records, each score corresponding to a future time period and displayed in a column of said table associated with said future time period.

72. A method of forecasting business performance, comprising the steps of:

(1) storing in a storage device a business history database, a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (4) comprises the step of;

(a) identifying and displaying any future periods where user-specified weather patterns are predicted to occur;

wherein step (a) comprises the steps of;

(I) enabling a user to select a weather pattern;

(II) enabling the user to select one or more locations;

(III) searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said selected weather pattern occurs; and

(IV) displaying results of said weather search means to the user

wherein step (IV) comprises the steps of;

displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

(1) storing in a storage device a business history databases a weather history database, and a weather forecast database;

(2) determining by an analyzer the extent to which past business performance of a plurality of business units at a plurality of locations was affected by weather using said business history database and said weather history database;

(3) estimating by a configurator expected future business performance of said business units at said locations for a plurality of future time periods using said weather forecast database and results produced by said analyzer; and

(4) enabling users to view and manipulate results produced by said analyzer and said configurator to thereby forecast future business performance of said business units at said locations for said time periods;

wherein step (4) comprises the step of;

(a) identifying and displaying any future periods where user-specified weather patterns are predicted to occur;

wherein step (a) comprises the steps of;

(I) enabling a user to select a weather pattern;

(II) enabling the user to select one or more locations;

(III) searching through said weather history database or said weather forecast database to locate time periods where said selected weather patter occurs; and

(IV) displaying results of said weather search means to the user

wherein step (IV) comprises the steps of;

displaying a table having a plurality of rows and a plurality of columns, each row corresponding to a location, and each column corresponding to a future time period; and

displaying in rows respectively corresponding to said selected locations said results of said weather search means.