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Methods, systems and computer program products for generating weather forecasts from a multi-model superensemble

  • US 6,535,817 B1
  • Filed: 11/13/2000
  • Issued: 03/18/2003
  • Est. Priority Date: 11/10/1999
  • Status: Expired due to Term
First Claim
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1. A method for generating an accurate weather forecast model, comprising:

  • collecting historical forecast information from a plurality of weather models, wherein the historical forecast information includes at least one predicted weather component, and wherein the historical forecast information corresponds to a past period of time;

    accumulating observed weather data, wherein the observed weather data corresponds to a plurality of known weather values, wherein at least one known weather value of the plurality of known weather values corresponds to the at least one predicted weather component, and wherein the observed weather data corresponds to the past period of time;

    comparing the historical forecast information to the observed weather data to determine the historical performance of each weather model of the plurality of weather models, and generating a multi-model superensemble of the weather models, wherein the multi-model superensemble is based upon the historical performance of each weather model of the plurality of weather models.

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