Market determination system

• US 7,043,445 B2
• Filed: 04/10/2003
• Issued: 05/09/2006
• Est. Priority Date: 06/12/1997
• Status: Expired due to Term

• Current Assignee: Bailey G. William
• Original Assignee: Bailey G. William
• Inventors: Bailey, G. William
• Primary Examiner(s): Weiss, John G.
• Assistant Examiner(s): ROBINSON BOYCE, AKIBA K
• Application Number:
  US10/410,554
• Publication Number:
  US 20030191683A1
• Time in Patent Office: 1,125 Days
• Field of Search: 705/10, 705/7, 705/1, 705/35, 705/36
• US Class Current: 705/7.31
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/06315 Needs-based resource requirements planning or analysis
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/02 Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0202 Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 30/0205 Location or geographical consideration
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/00 Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
• CPC Class Codes: G06T 17/05 Geographic models

Abstract

A market analysis system uses travel time to define a relevant market area. A map is generated using stored geographical map information around a selected geographical point or area, and a travel time around the geographical point or area is selected. A trace is formed on the map around the geographical point within the travel time using travel time data, and market information is gathered from a database for the defined geographical area.

Claims

1. A data processor implemented method for determining a demand for a product or service offered by at least one business located in a market area, the method comprising:

receiving a location input for the at least one business;

determining a plurality of potential customer locations using at least one demographic information system database comprising census data related to the market area;

calculating travel times from the business location to each of the plurality of potential customer locations;

determining a demand for the business based on the travel times from the business location to each of the plurality of potential customer locations in the market area;

deriving an empirical demand correction factor by sampling demand data from at least within the market area;

determining a modified demand for the business using the empirical demand correction factor;

determining a supply of the product or service in the market area;

deriving an empirical supply correction factor by sampling supply data from at least within the market area;

determining a modified supply of the product or service based on the empirical supply correction factor; and

determining a net demand for the product or service offered by at least one business in the market area based at least on the modified demand and the modified supply using the data processor.

2. A system for determining a demand for a product or service offered by at least one business located in a market area, the system comprising:

means for receiving a location input for the at least one business;

means for determining a plurality of potential customer locations using at least one demographic information system database comprising census data related to the market area;

means for calculating travel times from the business location to each of the plurality of potential customer locations;

means for determining a demand for product or service offered by the at least one business based on the travel times from the business location to each of the plurality of potential customer locations in the market area;

means for deriving an empirical demand correction factor by sampling demand data from at least within the market area;

means for determining a modified demand for the product or service offered by the at least one business using the empirical demand correction factor;

means for determining a supply of the product or service in the market area;

means for deriving an empirical supply correction factor by sampling supply data from at least within the market area;

means for determining a modified supply of the product or service based on the empirical supply correction factor; and

means for determining a net demand for the product or service offered by the at least one business in the market area based at least on the modified demand and the modified supply.

3. A data processor implemented method for determining a net demand for at least one business in a market area, the method comprising:

receiving a location input for the at least one business;

defining, a plurality of bands in the market area using a geographical information database, the plurality of bands reflecting increasing travel time from at least one business location;

determining a number of potential customers within each of the plurality of bands using at least one demographic information system database;

weighting the number of potential customers in each of the plurality of bands;

determining a demand correction factor by sampling data from at least within the market area;

determining a demand within the market area for the business by modifying the weighted number of potential customers using the demand correction factor;

determining a supply correction factor by sampling data from at least within the market area;

determining a supply within the market area for the business by modifying the supply using the supply correction factor; and

determining the net demand in the market area for the business using the modified demand and supply using the data processor.

4. The method of claim 3, wherein determining the demand correction factor further comprises determining a ratio of the number of potential customers within each of the plurality of bands to a total number of potential customers within the market area.

5. The method of claim 4, wherein determining the demand correction factor further comprises refining the demand correction factor using a statistics modeling technique.

6. The method of claim 5, wherein using the statistics modeling technique comprises using a regression modeling technique.

7. A system for determining a demand for at least one business location in a market area, the system comprising:

means for receiving a location input for the at least one business;

means for defining, within the market area, a plurality of bands reflecting increasing travel time from at least one business using at least one geographical information system database;

means for determining a number of potential customers within the plurality of bands by accessing at least one demographic information database;

means for weighting the number of potential customers with at least one travel time related factor to generate a weighted number of potential customers within the market area;

means for determining a demand correction factor by sampling data from at least within the market area; and

means for determining the demand within the market area for the business by modifying the weighted number of potential customers using the demand correction factor.

8. The system of claim 7, wherein the means for determining the demand correction factor further comprises means for determining a ratio of the number of potential customers within each of the plurality of bands to a total number of potential customers within the market area.

9. The system of claim 8, wherein the means for determining the demand correction factor further comprises means for refining the demand correction factor by using at least one statistics modeling technique.

10. The system of claim 9, wherein the means for using the at least one statistics modeling technique comprises means for using a regression modeling technique.

11. A data processor implemented method for determining a demand for a product or service within a plurality of census units located within a market area, the method comprising:

receiving, a location input for the business;

determining a number of potential customers within each of the plurality of census units using at least one demographic information database;

determining a demand correction factor by sampling demand data from at least within the market area;

determining the demand for the product or service offered by the at least one business using the demand correction factor;

determining a supply of the product or service in the market area; and

determining a net demand for the product or service offered by the business in the market area using the data processor.

12. A system for determining a demand for a product or service within a plurality of census units located within a market area, the system comprising:

means for receiving a location input for at least one business offering the product or service;

means for determining a number of potential customers within each of the plurality of census units using at least one demographic information system database;

means for determining a demand for the product or service offered by the at least one business in the market area;

means for determining a demand correction factor by sampling demand data from at least within the market area;

means for determining the demand for the business using the demand correction factor;

means for determining a supply of the product or service in the market area; and

means for determining a net demand in the market area based on the demand and the supply of the product or service.