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Method and system for forecasting events and threats based on geospatial modeling

  • US 7,120,620 B2
  • Filed: 04/04/2005
  • Issued: 10/10/2006
  • Est. Priority Date: 04/02/2004
  • Status: Active Grant
First Claim
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1. A geospatial event forecasting engine for forecasting the likelihood for occurrence of at least one event type, comprising:

  • a boundary component for establishing a geospatial boundary and a grid containing a plurality of cells within said boundary;

    a layer component for establishing at least one layer imposed upon the grid, the layer being indicative of geospatial characteristics of at least one variable of interest unrelated to past event type data for the at least one event type;

    a proximity component for identifying a first proximity measurement of a cell element for each cell to the variable of interest, and for indexing said first proximity measurement for each cell, thereby establishing a database of first proximity measurements unrelated to the event type;

    a signature derivation component for receiving geospatial information related to one or more past events of at least one event type, including location information for said one or more past events, said signature derivation component further identifying and indexing a second proximity measurement from the location information for each of said one or more events to the at least one variable of interest, and deriving a signature pattern for said event type based upon the second proximity measurement; and

    an event likelihood determinant component for determining a level of signature match between said derived signature pattern and at least one cell of said plurality of cells through comparison with said first proximity measurement of said at least one cell as stored in the database of first proximity measurements.

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