System and method for forecasting information using collective intelligence from diverse sources
First Claim
1. An information processing system comprising:
- a server computer having a processor for executing computer instructions and a memory coupled to said processor for storing instructions and data during processing;
a communications port for coupling with an external communications link or network adapted to support communications between said server computer and devices external to said server computer, said communication link or network enabling receipt of first raw contributed information from a plurality of external first entities and for transmitting second consensus collective information to any of said external first entities or to external second entities;
a data store defining a database for storing said first raw contributed information and said second consensus collective information; and
a computer program having a plurality of executable command instructions and executing in said processor and said memory for generating said second consensus collective information from at least some of said plurality of first raw contributed information;
said first raw contributed information comprising a plurality of individual raw contributed information items each generated by an external human contributor and received by the server over said communications link or network; and
said second consensus collective information generated from said plurality of individual raw contributed information items by weighting each of each said individual raw contributed information items according to an objective accuracy measure and aggregating said weighted raw contributed individual information items, and having an increased value by virtue of the accuracy provided by the objective accuracy-based weighted consensus collective aggregation of the plurality of individual raw contributed information items.
3 Assignments
0 Petitions
Accused Products
Abstract
System, method, computer program product, and business operating model. Information processing system comprising: server computer having processor for executing computer instructions and memory coupled to processor for storing instructions and data; communications link for communicating between server and information appliance client entities external to server, communication link enabling receipt of first information from a plurality of external entities and for transmitting second information to second entities, first and second entities may be same entities or different entities; data store defining database for storing first and second information; computer program having plurality of executable command instructions and executing in processor and memory for generating second information from at least some of plurality of first information; wherein first information comprising plurality of individual information items and second information comprising processed collective information generated from plurality of individual information items and having increased value to second entities by virtue of collective contribution and processing applied thereto.
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Citations
90 Claims
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1. An information processing system comprising:
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a server computer having a processor for executing computer instructions and a memory coupled to said processor for storing instructions and data during processing; a communications port for coupling with an external communications link or network adapted to support communications between said server computer and devices external to said server computer, said communication link or network enabling receipt of first raw contributed information from a plurality of external first entities and for transmitting second consensus collective information to any of said external first entities or to external second entities; a data store defining a database for storing said first raw contributed information and said second consensus collective information; and a computer program having a plurality of executable command instructions and executing in said processor and said memory for generating said second consensus collective information from at least some of said plurality of first raw contributed information; said first raw contributed information comprising a plurality of individual raw contributed information items each generated by an external human contributor and received by the server over said communications link or network; and said second consensus collective information generated from said plurality of individual raw contributed information items by weighting each of each said individual raw contributed information items according to an objective accuracy measure and aggregating said weighted raw contributed individual information items, and having an increased value by virtue of the accuracy provided by the objective accuracy-based weighted consensus collective aggregation of the plurality of individual raw contributed information items. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63)
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64. An information processing system comprising:
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a server computer having a processor for executing computer instructions and a memory coupled to said processor for storing instructions and data during said processing; a communications link for communicating between said server computer and information appliance client entities external to said server computer, said communication link enabling receipt of first information from a plurality of external entities and for transmitting second information to second entities, said first and second entities may be the same entities or different entities; a data store defining a database for storing said first information and said second information; a computer program having a plurality of executable command instructions and executing in said processor and said memory for generating said second information from at least some of said plurality of said first information; said first information comprising a plurality of individual information items and said second information comprising a processed collective information generated from said plurality of individual information items and having an increased value to said second entities by virtue of the collective contribution and processing applied thereto; the computer program generating said second information from at least some of said plurality of said first information and includes computer program instructions computing a weighted average by applying a weighing amount to each of said plurality of first information items to generate said processing second information from said plurality of first information inputs; and said second information is a consensus collective prediction given by an expression of the form;
CPI=K×
((WPIE1×
P1)+(WPIE2×
P2)+ . . . +(WPIEn×
Pn))/Σ
WPIE1 . . . n,where K is a proportionality constant.
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65. A method of generating a consensus collective information for a particular item from a plurality of raw information inputs contributed by a plurality of human contributors for that same item, the method comprising:
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soliciting raw information contribution inputs for a particular item over an interactive electronic network; gathering a plurality of raw information contribution inputs in response to said solicitation from a plurality of first entities for the particular item, each raw information contribution input being generated by an external human contributor and received over said interactive electronic network; storing said plurality of gathered raw information contribution inputs into a database; processing said plurality of raw information contribution inputs for said particular item to generate a processed consensus collective information for said item, said processing including weighting each of each said plurality of raw information inputs by a weighting factor determined according to an objective accuracy measure and aggregating said weighted raw information inputs to generate the processed consensus collective information as an output and having an increased value by virtue of the accuracy provided by the objective accuracy-based weighted consensus collective aggregation of the plurality of individual raw contributed information inputs; storing said processed consensus collective information into said database; and communicating said processed consensus collective information to second entities over said interactive electronic network. - View Dependent Claims (66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83)
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84. A server adapted to receive a plurality of raw prediction information contributions over a communications link or network and to generate a consensus collective weighted forecast information, said server comprising:
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an interface to said communications link or network for receiving said plurality of raw prediction information contributions and for sending said consensus collective weighted forecast information to external entities; a processor for executing computer program instructions and a memory coupled to said processor for storing instructions and data during said execution; a data store adapted to store said received plurality of first raw contributed prediction information and said generated consensus collective weighted forecast information; said first raw contributed prediction information comprising a plurality of individual raw contributed prediction information items each generated by an external human contributor and received by said server over said communications link or network; and a computer program having a plurality of executable command instructions for execution in said processor and said memory for generating a second consensus collective weighted forecast information from at least some of said plurality of first raw contributed prediction information from at least some of said plurality of said first raw contributed prediction information, said computer program including instructions for receiving said plurality of first raw contributed prediction information items and for applying weighting factors determined according to an objective historical contributor accuracy measure for each of said raw prediction information contribution items, and for aggregating said weighted raw prediction information contribution items to generate said consensus collective weighted forecast information. - View Dependent Claims (85, 86)
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87. A business method for providing a consensus collective weighted forecast information, said method comprising:
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soliciting a plurality of raw prediction information contribution inputs for a particular topic over an interactive electronic network; receiving said plurality of raw prediction information contribution inputs in response to said solicitation from a plurality of contributors over said interactive electronic network, each raw prediction information contribution input being generated by an external human contributor and received over said interactive electronic network; storing said plurality of received raw prediction information contribution inputs into a database; processing said plurality of raw prediction information contribution inputs for said particular topic to generate said consensus collective weighted forecast information for said topic by applying weighting factors to each said plurality of raw prediction information contribution inputs determined according to an objective historical contributor accuracy measure and aggregating said weighted raw contributed prediction information inputs to generate said processed consensus collective weighted forecast information as an output and having an increased value by virtue of the accuracy provided by the objective accuracy-based weighted consensus collective aggregation of the plurality of individual raw prediction information contribution inputs; storing said consensus collective weighted forecast information into said database; and communicating said consensus collective weighted forecast information for said particular topic to a recipient in exchange for a payment over said interactive electronic network. - View Dependent Claims (88, 89, 90)
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Specification