System and method for predicting external events from electronic posting activity
First Claim
1. A system for processing messages collected from a plurality of electronic discussion forums, comprising:
- computer implemented means for collecting messages from the plurality of electronic discussion forums;
computer implemented means for processing the messages according to a series of topics, wherein the processing includes determining the relevance of a message to at least one topic;
computer implemented means for tracking posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic based on the processing of the messages;
computer implemented means for collecting objective market data associated with the at least one topic from at least one objective market data source;
computer implemented means for generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic;
computer implemented means for measuring the mood of a community of posters posting electronic messages in the plurality of electronic discussion forums; and
computer implemented means for generating a report displaying, at least in part, information associated with the correlation;
wherein the means for generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic by the computer system further includes the measured mood of the community of posters into the correlation; and
whereby the information displayed in the report is used by a computer implemented means for predicting external market events to predict external market events.
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Accused Products
Abstract
A system and method for collecting and analyzing electronic discussion messages to categorize the message communications and the identify trends and patterns in pre-determined markets. Electronic messages are collected and analyzed according to characteristics and data inherent in the messages. Objective data is collected by the system for use in analyzing the electronic discussion data against real-world events to facilitate trend analysis and event forecasting based on the volume, nature and content of messages posted to electronic discussion forums. The message posting activity of a plurality of posters can be tracked to identify opinion leaders, and patterns in the messages can be identified using at least one of the following techniques: chaos theory; complexity theory; social network theory; and neural network theory.
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Citations
15 Claims
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1. A system for processing messages collected from a plurality of electronic discussion forums, comprising:
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computer implemented means for collecting messages from the plurality of electronic discussion forums; computer implemented means for processing the messages according to a series of topics, wherein the processing includes determining the relevance of a message to at least one topic; computer implemented means for tracking posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic based on the processing of the messages; computer implemented means for collecting objective market data associated with the at least one topic from at least one objective market data source; computer implemented means for generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic; computer implemented means for measuring the mood of a community of posters posting electronic messages in the plurality of electronic discussion forums; and computer implemented means for generating a report displaying, at least in part, information associated with the correlation; wherein the means for generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic by the computer system further includes the measured mood of the community of posters into the correlation; and whereby the information displayed in the report is used by a computer implemented means for predicting external market events to predict external market events. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)
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9. A computer implemented method for processing messages collected from a plurality of electronic discussion forums, comprising the steps of:
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collecting, by a computer system, messages from the plurality of electronic discussion forums; processing the messages, by the computer system, according to a series of topics, wherein the processing includes determining the relevance of a message to at least one topic; tracking posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic, by the computer system, based on the processing of the messages; collecting objective market data associated with the at least one topic by the computer system from at least one objective market data source; generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic by the computer system; measuring, by the computer system, the mood of a community of posters posting electronic messages in the plurality of electronic discussion forums; and generating a report displaying, at least in part, information associated with the correlation by the computer system; wherein the step of generating a correlation between the posting activity of a plurality of posters associated with the at least one topic versus the objective market data associated with the at least one topic by the computer system further includes the measured mood of the community of posters into the correlation; and whereby the information displayed in the report is used by a computer implemented means for predicting external market events to predict external market events. - View Dependent Claims (10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15)
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Specification