System and method of predictive modeling for managing decisions for business enterprises
First Claim
1. A computer-implemented method of predictive modeling decisions for a business enterprise, comprising:
- providing a description of infrastructure components that support one or more business solutions in a business enterprise, each business solution representing a potential decision made for the business enterprise;
from the description, generating a predictive model that mathematically expresses dynamic characteristics and behavior of the infrastructure components;
generating performance metrics from the predictive model for each of the infrastructure components; and
translating the performance metrics into enterprise decision metrics or indicators for validating the infrastructure components, the enterprise decision metrics or indicators corresponding to service, performance and financial states of the business enterprise and resulting in an evaluation of respective effects of the business solutions on the business enterprise displayed in terms understandable by a decision-maker of an enterprise.
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Abstract
A system and method is provided for predictive modeling of technical and non-technical components in a business infrastructure that implementing one or more business solutions. According to a first aspect of the invention, performance metrics generated from a predictive model of a business infrastructure are translated into enterprise decision or indicators that correspond to the service, performance and financial states of a business enterprise. As a result, non-technical executives can utilize the enterprise decision metrics or indicators to evaluate, support, and monitor the effect of business decisions, for example, with respect to profitability, productivity, growth, and risk of the business. According to a second aspect of the invention, the accuracy of the predictive modeling is improved by mathematically expressing the dynamic characteristics and behavior of each infrastructure component as a result of direct and indirect effects of the infrastructure components impacting one another. Perturbation theory can be used to express direct and indirect effects.
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Citations
8 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method of predictive modeling decisions for a business enterprise, comprising:
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providing a description of infrastructure components that support one or more business solutions in a business enterprise, each business solution representing a potential decision made for the business enterprise; from the description, generating a predictive model that mathematically expresses dynamic characteristics and behavior of the infrastructure components; generating performance metrics from the predictive model for each of the infrastructure components; and translating the performance metrics into enterprise decision metrics or indicators for validating the infrastructure components, the enterprise decision metrics or indicators corresponding to service, performance and financial states of the business enterprise and resulting in an evaluation of respective effects of the business solutions on the business enterprise displayed in terms understandable by a decision-maker of an enterprise. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 8)
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6. A computer-implemented method of predictive modeling decisions for a business enterprise, comprising:
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providing a description of infrastructure components that support one or more business solutions representing potential decisions for a business enterprise; from the description, generating a predictive model that mathematically expresses dynamic characteristics and behavior of the infrastructure components, the predictive model being generated by; for each infrastructure component, generating a mathematical expression of the dynamic characteristics and behavior of the infrastructure component based on direct effects of the first set of infrastructure components; and for each infrastructure component, perturbing the mathematical expression of the dynamic characteristics and behavior of the infrastructure component by including indirect effects of the second set of infrastructure components, the predictive model outputting indicators of respective effects of the business solutions on the business enterprise displayed in terms understandable by a decision-maker of an enterprise. - View Dependent Claims (7)
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Specification