Online forecasting system and method
First Claim
1. A method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising:
- identifying a first particular user who has accurately forecast a first element;
determining, using a user forecasting accuracy performance based statistical algorithm, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had accurately forecast on the first element had also accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and
proactively prompting the first user with the at least one second element when the user identifies a desire to forecast the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element, and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis.
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Accused Products
Abstract
System and method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising: receiving a user input for a forecast element; and capturing at least one forecast of an element or event, storing that at least one forecast of an element or event, and sending collective contributed forecast information back to the user who originally sent the input in response to the receipt of the user input for optional display. The method may optionally also include either or both of providing a minimal input forecast interface, and/or pre-queuing a list of elements for fast forecasting; receiving a user input for a forecast element. Computer program product for execution on a single computer or plurality of computers to implement the inventive method and system.
12 Citations
40 Claims
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1. A method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising:
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identifying a first particular user who has accurately forecast a first element; determining, using a user forecasting accuracy performance based statistical algorithm, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had accurately forecast on the first element had also accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and proactively prompting the first user with the at least one second element when the user identifies a desire to forecast the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element, and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26)
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27. A computer implemented method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising:
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receiving a request from a first particular user to forecast an element from a first client computer; identifying on a server computer in response to the received request that the first particular user has previously forecast a first element; determining, using a user forecasting accuracy performance based statistical algorithm executing in software on the second computer, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had historically accurately forecast on the first element had also historically accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and proactively prompting the first user with the at least one second element when the user identifies an intention to forecast on the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element to the particular first user occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element, and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis. - View Dependent Claims (28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34)
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35. A system for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the system comprising:
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a server configured for receiving a request from a first particular user to forecast an element from a first client computer; a database storing historical forecast information for a plurality of users and for particular forecast elements; means for identifying on the server computer in response to the received request and the historical forecast information that the first particular user has previously accurately forecast a first element; means for determining, using a user forecasting accuracy performance based statistical algorithm executing in software on the server computer and accessing the database, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had historically accurately forecast on the first element had also historically accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and means for proactively sending a prompt to the first user on the first client computer with the at least one second element when the server computer receives a user intention to forecast on the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element to the particular first user occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element; and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis. - View Dependent Claims (36, 37)
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38. A method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising:
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receiving a plurality of different user inputs for a forecast of an element; capturing the plurality of different user input contributions for the forecast of the element; generating an updated collective contributed forecast information based on the plurality of different user inputs for the forecast of the element as each different user input contribution is received; and sending the updated collective contributed forecast information back to each user who made an input contribution; identifying a first particular user who has accurately forecast a first element; determining, using a user forecasting performance based statistical algorithm, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user e attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had accurately forecast on the first element had also accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and proactively prompting the first user with the at least one second element when the user identifies a desire to forecast the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis.
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39. A computer program stored on a tangible computer readable storage medium for execution on a computer that when executed in a processor of the computer executes a method for real-time on-line interactive forecasting of an element, the method comprising:
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identifying, in a first server computer, a first particular user who has accurately forecast a first element; determining, in a first server computer or in a second server computer, using a user forecasting accuracy performance based statistical algorithm, at least one second element to present to the first particular user when the first particular user attempts to forecast on the first element, the at least one second element being determined on a basis that other different users/contributors who had accurately forecast on the first element had also accurately forecast on the at least one second element; and proactively prompting the first user on a user computer different from said first and second server computer, with the at least one second element when the user identifies a desire to forecast the first element, the proactively prompting of the at least one second element occurring automatically without the first user identifying the at least one second element, and the proactively prompting is performed using an ordered forecasting queue and the ordering in the forecasting queue is determined at least in part using a collective intelligence analysis. - View Dependent Claims (40)
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Specification