Independent research consensus earnings estimates and methods of determining such

• US 7,702,574 B2
• Filed: 11/14/2003
• Issued: 04/20/2010
• Est. Priority Date: 11/14/2002
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC (Goldman Sachs Group Incorporated)
• Original Assignee: Goldman Sachs & Company (Goldman Sachs Group Incorporated)
• Inventors: Lawrence, David
• Primary Examiner(s): KAZIMI, HANI M
• Application Number:
  US10/713,421
• Publication Number:
  US 20040138998A1
• Time in Patent Office: 2,349 Days
• Field of Search: 705/36, 705/35, 705/38
• US Class Current: 705/38
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/00 Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/02 Banking, e.g. interest calculation or account maintenance credit or loans G06Q40/03
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/03 Credit; Loans; Processing thereof
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/04 Trading; Exchange, e.g. stocks, commodities, derivatives or currency exchange
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/12 Accounting

Abstract

Apparatus and methods are described for correlating business relationships and issuing earnings estimates. According to the present invention, an earnings estimate can be generated for a company as it compares to a consensus estimate, or other rating aggregate, along with an indication of an investment banking relationship or other business relationship that the entity providing the estimate has had with the company. In addition to a consensus estimate that may be based upon current and previous analyst earnings estimates, operating actuals, expected reporting dates, footnotes and company-issued guidelines, indications of investment banking relationships and a consensus estimate is provided that excludes input from banks conducting business with the company. The present invention can also include suggested actions that can be taken based upon data relating to an investment banking relationship, an earnings estimate and/or a consensus earnings estimate that excludes input from banks with substantial business relationships with the company.

Claims

1. A computerized apparatus for managing risk associated with earnings estimates for a company, the apparatus comprising:

a computer server comprising a processor and a digital storage and accessible with a system access device via a communications network; and

executable software stored on the computer server and executable on demand, the executable software operative with the processor to cause the computer server to;

receive into the digital storage data descriptive of multiple earnings estimates, each earnings estimate generated by a respective bank;

receive into the digital storage data indicative of one or more business relationships comprising a bank and the company;

generate a first consensus estimate excluding earnings estimates received from the bank with the data indicative of one or more business relationships with the company;

transmit, to the bank, data comprising a message that the bank'"'"'s earnings estimate is excluded from the first consensus estimate; and

generate a suggested action based upon the first consensus estimate.

2. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the executable software is additionally operative with the processor to cause the computer server to:

generate a second consensus estimate based upon the earnings estimates received, including the earnings estimates received from the bank with the data indicative of one or more business relationships with the company; and

generate the suggested action based upon the first consensus estimate and the second consensus estimate.

3. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the executable software is additionally operative with the processor to cause the computer server to:

generate a marker to correlate with the existence of data indicative of one or more business relationships comprising the bank and the company.

4. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the executable software is additionally operative with the processor to cause the computer server to:

receive a request data relating to a business relationship between the bank and the company.

5. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a security instrument for the company.

6. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a derivative which will be profitable if a price of a stock for the company declines within a predetermined period.

7. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a derivative which will be profitable if a price of a stock for the company increases within a predetermined period.

8. The computerized apparatus of claim 6 or 7 wherein the predetermined period comprises 30 days following an announcement of company earnings.

9. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the executable software is additionally operative with the processor to cause the computer server to:

receive updated information relating to the one or more business relationships and generate a modified suggested action based upon the updated information.

10. The computerized apparatus of claim 1 wherein the executable software is additionally operative with the processor to cause the computer server to transmit data comprising a reason for the exclusion of the earnings estimate from the consensus estimate.

20. The apparatus of claim 1, wherein the earnings estimates received from the bank are excluded based on the bank being involved in a threshold amount of business with the company.

21. The apparatus of claim 1, wherein the earnings estimates received from the bank are excluded based on the bank being involved over a threshold amount of time in a business relationship with the company.

11. A processor-implemented method for managing risk associated with earnings estimates for a company, the method comprising:

receiving digital data descriptive of multiple earnings estimates into a computer storage;

receiving digital data descriptive of one or more indications of a bank conducting business with the company into a computer storage;

generating via a processor a first consensus estimate based upon the digital data descriptive of the multiple earnings estimates received and comprising the data descriptive of an earnings estimate generated by the bank conducting business with the company;

generating a second consensus estimate based upon the digital data descriptive of the multiple earnings estimates received and excluding the data descriptive of earnings estimates generated by the bank conducting business with the company;

transmitting, to the bank, data comprising a message that the bank'"'"'s earnings estimate is excluded from the first consensus estimate; and

generating an indication in human readable form of a suggested action based upon the first consensus estimate and the second consensus estimate.

12. The processor-implemented method of claim 11 additionally comprising the step of:

generating digital data indicative of a business relationship between a bank and the company.

13. The processor-implemented method of claim 12 additionally comprising the step of receiving a request for data descriptive of the business conducted comprising the bank and the company.

14. The processor-implemented method of claim 11 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a security for the company.

15. The processor-implemented method of claim 11 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a derivative which will be profitable if a price of a stock for the company declines within a predetermined period.

16. The processor-implemented method of claim 11 wherein the suggested action comprises acquiring a derivative which will be profitable if a price of a stock for the company increases within a predetermined period.

17. The processor-implemented method of claim 15 or 16 wherein the predetermined period comprises days following an announcement of company earnings.

18. The processor-implemented method of claim 11 additionally comprising generating digital data comprising a message that the earnings estimate generated by the bank will be excluded from the calculation of the second consensus estimate and a reason for the exclusion.

22. The processor-implemented method of claim 11, further comprising processor-execution of the action indicated by the human readable suggested action indication.

23. The processor-implemented method of claim 14, further comprising computer-implemented acquisition of a security for the company according to the suggested action indication.

24. The processor-implemented method of claim 15, further comprising computer-implemented acquisition of a derivative based on the suggested action indication.

25. The processor-implemented method of claim 16, further comprising computer-implemented acquisition of a derivative based on the suggested action indication.

19. Computer executable program code residing on a computer-readable medium, the program code comprising instructions for causing the computer to:

receive multiple earnings estimates related to a company;

receive one or more indications of a bank conducting business with the company;

generate via a processor a first consensus estimate based upon the earnings estimates received;

generate a second consensus estimate based upon the earnings estimates received, but excluding an earnings estimate received from the bank conducting business with the company;

transmit, to the bank, data comprising a message that the bank'"'"'s earnings estimate is excluded from the first consensus estimate; and

generate a suggested action based upon the first consensus estimate and the second consensus estimate.