Weather model predictor
First Claim
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1. A computer-implemented method of predicting by a first computer an output of a target predictive model, the method comprising:
- (a) receiving, by the first computer from a target model data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, a complete set of output data produced as a result of a first run of the target predictive model;
(b) receiving, by the first computer from at least one alternate model data source maintained by a third computer different than the first computer, at least one additional complete set of output data, each additional complete set of output data produced as a result of a run of at least one alternate predictive model, wherein the at least one alternate predictive model identifies parameters related to the complete set of output data of the target predictive model; and
(c) predicting, by the first computer, a future output expected to be produced as a result of a second run of the target predictive model utilizing a statistical analysis of the complete set of output data from the first run of the target predictive model and the at least one additional complete set of output data from the at least one alternate predictive model, wherein the predicting of the future output expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target predictive model and the at least one alternate predictive model, and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in the predicting of the future output.
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Abstract
A computer-implemented method of predicting an output of a model includes receiving output data from a first run of a target predictive model. One or more additional sets of output data is received from runs of one or more alternate predictive model. The alternate predictive models predict parameters that relate to the output data of the first predictive model. A future output of a second run of the target predictive model is predicted based on the output data from the first run of the target predictive model and one or more sets of additional output data from runs of the alternate prediction model.
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Citations
53 Claims
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1. A computer-implemented method of predicting by a first computer an output of a target predictive model, the method comprising:
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(a) receiving, by the first computer from a target model data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, a complete set of output data produced as a result of a first run of the target predictive model; (b) receiving, by the first computer from at least one alternate model data source maintained by a third computer different than the first computer, at least one additional complete set of output data, each additional complete set of output data produced as a result of a run of at least one alternate predictive model, wherein the at least one alternate predictive model identifies parameters related to the complete set of output data of the target predictive model; and (c) predicting, by the first computer, a future output expected to be produced as a result of a second run of the target predictive model utilizing a statistical analysis of the complete set of output data from the first run of the target predictive model and the at least one additional complete set of output data from the at least one alternate predictive model, wherein the predicting of the future output expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target predictive model and the at least one alternate predictive model, and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in the predicting of the future output. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11)
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12. A computer-implemented method of predicting by a first computer an output of a target weather model, the method comprising:
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(a) receiving, by the first computer from a first data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, a set of current output data produced as a result of a first operational run of the target weather model; (b) receiving, by the first computer from a second data source maintained by a third computer different than the first computer, at least one additional set of output data, each produced as a result of a run of at least one alternate weather model, wherein the at least one alternate weather model identifies parameters related to the set of current output data of the target weather model; and (c) predicting, by the first computer an output expected to be produced at a future time as a result of a second operational run of the target weather model based on the set of current output data and the at least one set of additional output data, wherein the output expected to be produced at the future time is obtained by the first computer prior to the start of the second operational run of the target weather model and occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target weather mode and the at least one alternate weather model, and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in predicting the output. - View Dependent Claims (13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23)
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24. A system comprising a first computer for predicting an output of a target weather model, the system comprising:
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a receiver configured to receive, from a first data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, a set of current output data produced as a result of a first operational run of the target weather model and to receive, from a second data source maintained by a third computer different than the first computer, at least one additional set of output data produced as a result of a run of at least one alternate weather model, wherein the at least one alternate weather model identifies parameters related to the set of current output data of the target weather model; a memory configured to store the set of current output data and at least one additional set of output data; and a processor configured to predict an expected direction of change of the set of current output data based on the at least one set of additional output data, wherein the expected direction of change is produced prior to the start of a second operational run of the target weather model, the processor predicting the expected direction of change independently of observable weather data, the target weather model, and the at least one alternate weather model. - View Dependent Claims (25, 26, 27)
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28. An article of manufacture for predicting an output of a target weather model, the article of manufacture comprising a computer-readable medium holding computer-executable instructions for performing a method comprising:
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(a) receiving, by a first computer from a first data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, a set of current output data produced as a result of a first operational run of the target weather model; (b) receiving by the first computer from a second data source maintained by a third computer different than the first computer, at least one additional set of output data, each produced as a result of a run of at least one alternate weather model, wherein the at least one alternate weather model identifies parameters related to the set of current output data of the target weather model; and (c) predicting, by the first computer an output expected to be produced at a future time as a result of a second operational run of the target weather model based on the set or current output data and the at least one set of additional output data, wherein the output expected to be produced at the future time is obtained by the first computer prior to the start of the second operational run of the target weather model and occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target weather model, and the at least one alternate weather model, and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in predicting the output. - View Dependent Claims (29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37)
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38. A computer-implemented method of providing information related to a target predictive model, the method comprising:
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(a) obtaining, by a first computer from a first data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, first output data produced as a result of a first run of the target predictive model; (b) predicting, by the first computer, second output data expected to be produced as a result of a second run of the target predictive model prior to completion of the second run of the target predictive model; and (c) providing, by the first computer prior to the start of the second run of the target predictive model, a comparative indication of the second output data expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model with respect to the first output data produced as a result of the first run of the target predictive model, wherein the predicting of the second output data expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target predictive model and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in the predicting of the future output. - View Dependent Claims (39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47)
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48. A system comprising a first computer for providing information related to a target predictive model, the system comprising:
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means for obtaining, from a first data source maintained by a second computer different than the first computer, first output data produced as a result of a first run of a target predictive model; means for predicting second output data expected to be produced as a result of a second run of the target predictive model prior to completion of the second run of the target predictive model; and means for providing, prior to the start of the second run of the target predictive model, a comparative indication of the second output data expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model with respect to the first output data produced as a result of the first run of the target predictive model, wherein the predicting of the second output data expected to be produced as a result of the second run of the target predictive model occurs without the first computer performing runs of the target predictive model and without observable weather data being used by the first computer in the predicting of the future output. - View Dependent Claims (49, 50, 51, 52, 53)
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Specification