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Method for forecasting risks associated with software packages

  • US 7,793,114 B2
  • Filed: 12/04/2006
  • Issued: 09/07/2010
  • Est. Priority Date: 12/04/2006
  • Status: Expired due to Fees
First Claim
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1. A computer implemented method for forecasting risk, the computer implemented method comprising:

  • selecting a software package to install on a data processing system;

    specifying a past period of time;

    calculating a past number of updates issued for the software package within the past period of time;

    specifying a future period of time; and

    estimating, by a processing unit, a future number of updates expected to be issued within the future period of time, wherein the future number of updates is used for calculating a risk associated with installing the software package to form a package risk, and wherein the package risk is a probabilistic measure of a risk to the data processing system from installing the future number of updates.

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