Method and system for spatial behavior modification based on geospatial modeling
First Claim
1. A computerized method for influencing the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from a specified geospatial area, comprising the steps of:
- establishing a geospatial boundary representative of an area of interest (AOI);
establishing at least one layer imposed upon the boundary, the layer being indicative of geospatial characteristics of at least one modifiable variable of interest;
receiving geospatial information pertaining to one or more past events of the event type, including location information for the one or more past events;
determining a likelihood associating the event type'"'"'s relative proximity to the modifiable variable of interest;
determining whether the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type;
deriving and solving an objective function to determine one or more optimal modifications for the variable of interest so as to minimize or maximize the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from the AOI; and
upon determining that the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type, initiating a real-world modification to the variable of interest.
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Accused Products
Abstract
Behavioral influences are determined and real-world variables modified according to the present invention. A forecasting engine and method assists in forecasting occurrences of identifiable events and/or results based on signature and/or pattern matching. The present invention derives signature for event-types based on a comparison of actual event data with pre-established representational surfaces. The surfaces represent functional measurements and analysis associated with elements of the geospatial boundary being considered. In one embodiment, the present invention assists in the determination of possible real-world factor influence opportunities in order to influence desired behavior.
43 Citations
17 Claims
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1. A computerized method for influencing the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from a specified geospatial area, comprising the steps of:
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establishing a geospatial boundary representative of an area of interest (AOI); establishing at least one layer imposed upon the boundary, the layer being indicative of geospatial characteristics of at least one modifiable variable of interest; receiving geospatial information pertaining to one or more past events of the event type, including location information for the one or more past events; determining a likelihood associating the event type'"'"'s relative proximity to the modifiable variable of interest; determining whether the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type; deriving and solving an objective function to determine one or more optimal modifications for the variable of interest so as to minimize or maximize the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from the AOI; and upon determining that the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type, initiating a real-world modification to the variable of interest. - View Dependent Claims (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10)
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11. A computerized method for selectively increasing or decreasing the likelihood of a future event occurring in a specified geospatial area, comprising the steps of:
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providing programming making at least one probability assessment of a given event-type for a given geospatial area of interest (AOI) based on the geospatial characteristics of at least one variable of interest (VOI) and past geospatial data for the event-type; determining whether the at least one VOI is modifiable and causal of the event-type; and upon determining that the at least one VOI is modifiable and causal of the event-type, deriving and solving an objective function to determine one or more optimal modifications for the VOI so as to minimize or maximize the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from the AOI. - View Dependent Claims (12, 13, 14, 15)
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16. A system incorporating a computer readable medium capable of causing a computer to assist in influencing the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from a specified geospatial area, comprising:
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a boundary component for establishing a geospatial boundary representative of an area of interest (AOI); a layer component for establishing at least one layer imposed upon the boundary, the layer being indicative of geospatial characteristics of at least one modifiable variable of interest; a signature derivation component for receiving geospatial information pertaining to one or more past events of the event type, including location information for the one or more past events, and for determining a likelihood associating the event type'"'"'s relative proximity to the modifiable variable of interest; and an influence component for determining whether the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type, deriving and solving an objective function to determine one or more optimal modifications for the VOI so as to minimize or maximize the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from the AOI, and upon determining that the modifiable variable of interest is capable of influencing the event type, initiating a real-world modification to the variable of interest.
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17. A system incorporating a computer readable medium capable of causing a computer to assist in selectively increasing or decreasing the likelihood of a future event occurring in a specified geospatial area, comprising:
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a signature derivation component having programming for making probability assessments of a given event-type for a given geospatial area of interest (AOI) based on the geospatial characteristics of at least one variable of interest (VOI) and past geospatial data for the event-type; and an influence component for determining whether the at least one VOI is modifiable and causal of the event-type and upon determining that the at least one VOI is modifiable and causal of the event-type, deriving and solving an objective function to determine one or more optimal modifications for the VOI so as to minimize or maximize the likelihood of a future event occurring in or away from the AOI.
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Specification