System and method for forecasting frequencies associated to future loss and for related automated operation of loss resolving units

• US 8,639,617 B2
• Filed: 12/02/2011
• Issued: 01/28/2014
• Est. Priority Date: 12/03/2010
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: Swiss Reinsurance Company
• Original Assignee: Swiss Reinsurance Company
• Inventors: Aebischer, Christophe, Salghetti, Filippo, Billeter, Salomon
• Primary Examiner(s): Kyle, Charles
• Assistant Examiner(s): Chencinski, Siegfried E
• Application Number:
  US13/310,398
• Publication Number:
  US 20120143633A1
• Time in Patent Office: 788 Days
• Field of Search: 705/38, 705/35
• US Class Current: 705/38
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 40/08 Insurance

Abstract

Forecasting frequencies associated with future loss and loss distributions for individual risks associated with operating units, each which have a measurable liability exposure, is accomplished via independently operated liability risk drivers. The frequencies associated with future loss and loss distributions are also forecasted for an automated operation of a loss resolving unit via a control unit controller. When a loss occurs at a loss unit, measure parameters are measured and transmitted to the control unit controller. The control unit controller dynamically assigns the measure parameters to the liability risk drivers and tunes the operation of the loss resolving unit by resolving the loss via the loss resolving unit.

Claims

1. A method for forecasting frequencies associated with future loss and loss distributions for individual risks associated with a plurality of operating units, each of the plurality of operating units having at least one measurable liability exposure, comprising:

dynamically selecting, by a hardware control unit controller, a subset of measure parameters and measurable parameters transmitted by measuring devices assigned to loss units, the measuring devices dynamically scanning for the measure parameters and the measurable measure parameters, which capture at least one of a dynamic process and a static characteristic of at least one of a plurality of liability risk drivers, when a loss is incurred by at least one of the loss units;

dynamically assigning, by the hardware control unit controller, the subset of the measure parameters and the measurable parameters to the at least one of a plurality of liability risk drivers;

selecting a set of the plurality of liability risk drivers, by a driver selector of the hardware control unit controller, that parameterizes the at least one measurable liability exposure for at least one of the plurality of operating units and generating a liability exposure signal for the at least one of the plurality of operating units, by the hardware control unit controller, based on the selected subset of measure parameters and measurable parameters;

dynamically adapting, by the driver selector, the set of liability risk drivers by varying the liability risk drivers based on periodic changes in the generated liability exposure signal; and

automatically tuning, by the hardware control unit controller, liability risk driven interaction between a loss resolving unit and the at least one of the plurality of operating units based on the adapted set of liability risk drivers.

2. The method according to claim 1, wherein the measure parameters are generated based on saved historic data from a data storage, when one or more of the measure parameters are not scannable, by the hardware control unit controller, for the at least one of the plurality of liability risk drivers, which is associated with the at least one of the plurality of operating units.

3. The method according to one of claims 1 and 2, wherein historic exposure and loss data assigned to a geographic region are selected from a dedicated data storage including region-specific data, and historic measure parameters are generated corresponding to the selected measure parameters, and

the generated liability exposure signal is weighted by the historic measure parameters.

4. The method according to one of claims 1 and 2, wherein the measuring devices each comprise a trigger module that triggers a variation of the measure parameters and transmits detected variations of one or more of the measure parameters to the hardware control unit controller.

5. The method according to one of claims 1 and 2, wherein the hardware control unit controller periodically transmits a request for measure parameter update to the measuring devices to dynamically detect variations of the measure parameters.

6. The method according to one of claims 1 and 2, wherein, when the loss resolving unit is activated by the hardware control unit controller, the loss resolving unit unlocks an automated repair node assigned to the loss resolving unit by generating a specified signal and transmitting the specified signal to resolve the loss incurred by at least one of the loss units.

7. A system for forecasting frequencies associated with future loss and loss distributions for individual risks of a plurality of operating units, each of the plurality of operating units having at least one measurable liability exposure, comprising:

measuring devices that dynamically scan for, measure, and transmit measure parameters to a hardware control unit controller, the hardware control unit controller dynamically assigning the measured measure parameters to at least one of a plurality of liability risk drivers, wherein

the hardware control unit controller includes;

a trigger module that scans the measuring devices, which are assigned to the loss units, for the measure parameters and that selects a subset of the measure parameters, the measure parameters capturing at least one of a dynamic process and a static characteristic of at least one of a plurality of liability risk drivers, and

a driver selector that selects a set of the plurality of liability risk drivers that parameterize the at least one measurable liability exposure at least one of the plurality of operating units, and that generates a liability exposure signal of the operating unit based upon the selected subset of measure parameters, the

driver selector further including means to dynamically adapt the set of liability risk driver by varying the liability risk drivers based on periodic changes in the generated liability exposure signal, and to automatically tune the liability risk driven interaction between a loss resolving unit and the at least one of the plurality of operating units based on the adapted set of liability risk drivers.

8. The system according to claim 7, wherein the hardware control unit controller further comprises a switch unit to generate the measure parameters of at least one of liability risk drivers in the set based on saved historic data from a data storage, when one or more of the measure parameters are not scannable for the at least one of the liability risk drivers in the set, which is associated with at least one of the plurality of operating units.

9. The system according to one of claims 7 and 8, wherein the hardware control unit controller includes a dedicated data storage that comprises region-specific historic exposure and loss data assigned to a geographic region, and

the hardware control unit controller comprises additional means to generate historic measure parameters corresponding to the selected measure parameters and to weight the generated liability exposure signal by the historic measure parameters.

10. The system according to one of claims 7 and 8, wherein the measuring devices each comprise a trigger module that triggers a variation of the measure parameters and transmits detected variations of one or more of the measure parameters to the hardware control unit controller.

11. The system according to one of claims 7 and 8, wherein the hardware control unit controller includes an interface module that periodically transmits a request for measure parameter update to the measuring devices in order to dynamically detect variations of the measure parameters.

12. The system according to one of claims 7 and 8, wherein when the loss resolving unit is activated by the hardware control unit controller, the loss resolving unit comprises a switch unit to unlock an automated repair node assigned to the loss resolving unit by a generating a specified signal and transmitting the signal to resolve the loss incurred by at least one of the loss units.