Travel process prediction system, travel process prediction apparatus and non-transitory recording medium

• US 8,706,671 B2
• Filed: 12/13/2011
• Issued: 04/22/2014
• Est. Priority Date: 01/06/2011
• Status: Active Grant

• Current Assignee: The Aqua Enterprise Company
• Original Assignee: The Aqua Enterprise Company
• Inventors: Yano, Koichi
• Primary Examiner(s): Chaki, Kakali
• Assistant Examiner(s): Seck, Ababacar
• Application Number:
  US13/978,124
• Publication Number:
  US 20130297549A1
• Time in Patent Office: 861 Days
• Field of Search: 706/46
• US Class Current: 706/46
• CPC Class Codes: G06N 5/02 Knowledge representation; Symbolic representation
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 10/04 Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem" market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities G06Q30/0202
• CPC Class Codes: G06Q 50/40 Business processes related to the transportation industry shipping G06Q10/083
• CPC Class Codes: G08B 19/00 Alarms responsive to two or more different undesired or abnormal conditions, e.g. burglary and fire, abnormal temperature and abnormal rate of flow

Abstract

An information acquiring apparatus acquires, when a travel object such as a traveler travels with transportation, passage time at which the travel object passes through each passage point at a departure/arrival facility, transportation specifying information indicating transportation, situation information indicating a situation and so forth. The travel process prediction apparatus stores the acquired information in an associated manner, and obtains a regression equation representing the relationship between items included in the transportation specifying information or situation information and passage time at a specific passage point, elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points or a result of comparison between the passage time and boarding completion time. The travel process prediction apparatus calculates a predicted value of future passage time, elapsed time or a result of comparison by substituting the content of the expected transportation specifying information or situation information for the regression equation.

Claims

1. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a storage unit for storing passage time at each passage point, transportation specifying information and situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of passage time at which a travel object passes through a specific passage point under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

2. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time calculated from passage time at each passage point while the travel object passes through two passage points, transportation specifying information and situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of elapsed time while a travel object passes through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

3. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a boarding completion time specifying unit for specifying boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation;

a storage unit for storing transportation specifying information, situation information and a result of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at each passage point, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time concerning specific transportation and other information associated with the result of comparison; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of a result of comparison between boarding completion time under a specific condition and passage time concerning a specific passage point by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the results of comparison and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the results of comparison.

4. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a storage unit for storing passage time at one passage point or a plurality of passage points, transportation specifying information and situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the passage time at which travel objects pass through a specific passage point under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

5. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time calculated from passage time at a plurality of passage points while the travel object passes through two passage points, transportation specifying information and situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the elapsed time while travel objects pass through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

6. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation;

a boarding completion time specifying unit for specifying boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation;

a storage unit for storing transportation specifying information, situation information and a result of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at one passage point or a plurality of passage points, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time concerning specific transportation and other information associated with the result of comparison; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the results of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the result of comparison and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the result of comparison.

7. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition,

wherein the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing passage time specified at each passage point and the acquired transportation specifying information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing passage time at which the travel object passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, a plurality of pieces of passage time concerning the specific passage point, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

8. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when the travel object uses transportation; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition, wherein

the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing the passage time specified at each passage point and the acquired situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing passage time at which the travel object passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses transportation in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of pieces of passage time concerning the specific passage point, associated with the situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

9. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition,

wherein the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time calculated from the passage time specified at each passage point while the travel object passes through two passage points and the acquired transportation specifying information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time concerning the two specific passage points, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

10. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when the travel object uses the transportation; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition,

wherein the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time calculated from the passage time specified at each passage point while the travel object passes through two passage points and the acquired situation information, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses transportation in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time concerning the two specific passage points, associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

11. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a transportation specifying information acquiring unit for acquiring transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object;

a boarding completion time specifying unit for specifying boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition,

wherein the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing the acquired transportation specifying information and a result of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at each passage point, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing the results of comparison between passage time at a specific passage point and boarding completion time for the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of results of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at the specific passage point, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

12. A travel process prediction system for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a passage time specifying unit for specifying passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation;

a situation information acquiring unit for acquiring situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when the travel object uses transportation;

a boarding completion time specifying unit for specifying boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation used by the travel object; and

a travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object under a specific condition,

wherein the travel process prediction apparatus includes;

a storage unit for storing the acquired situation information and a result of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at each passage point, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing the results of comparison between passage time at a specific passage point and boarding completion time for the transportation used by the travel object in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of results of comparison between boarding completion time and the passage time at the specific passage point, associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

13. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of passage time at which a travel object passes through a specific passage point under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

14. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of elapsed time while a travel object passes through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

15. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing transportation specifying information which specifies transportation, situation information indicating a situation in which a travel object uses the transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between boarding completion time concerning specific transportation and passage time concerning a specific passage point, and other information associated with the result of comparison; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of a result of comparison between boarding completion time under a specific condition and passage time concerning a specific passage point by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the results of comparison and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the results of comparison.

16. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing passage time at which a travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time; and

a calculation unit for calculating a statistic of the passage time at which travel objects pass through a specific passage point under a specific condition, based on the extracted plurality of combinations by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

17. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the elapsed time while travel objects pass through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

18. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing transportation specifying information which specifies transportation, situation information indicating a situation in which a travel object uses the transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which a travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between boarding completion time concerning specific transportation and passage time concerning a specific passage point, and other information associated with the result of comparison; and

a calculation unit for calculating, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the results of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the result of comparison and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the result of comparison.

19. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing passage time at which the travel object passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, a plurality of pieces of passage time concerning the specific passage point, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

20. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, and situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when the travel object uses transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing passage time at which the travel object passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses transportation in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information, a plurality of pieces of passage time concerning the specific passage point, associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

21. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, and transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time concerning the two specific passage points, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

22. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when the travel object uses transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses transportation in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time concerning the two specific passage points associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

23. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing transportation specifying information which specifies transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects;

a transportation specifying information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing results of comparison between passage time at a specific passage point and boarding completion time for the plurality of pieces of transportation;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, a plurality of results of comparison between boarding completion time and passage time at the specific passage point, associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

24. A travel process prediction apparatus for predicting a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time, comprising:

a processor;

a memory;

a storage unit for storing situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items when a travel object uses transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which the travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation used by the travel object, in an associated manner for a plurality of travel objects;

a situation information accepting unit for accepting a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation;

a request accepting unit for accepting a request for comparing results of comparison between passage time at a specific passage point and boarding completion time for the transportation used by the travel object in the plurality of situations;

an extraction unit for extracting, from the storage unit, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information, a plurality of results of comparison between passage time at the specific passage point and boarding completion time, associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information;

a calculation unit for calculating at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

a test unit for statistically testing a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

an output unit for outputting a test result obtained by the test unit.

25. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation operated repeatedly at a specific time, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time from data including passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of a plurality of travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of passage time at which a travel object passes through a specific passage point under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

26. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation operated repeatedly at a specific time, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time from data including elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of elapsed time while a travel object passes through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

27. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with transportation operated repeatedly at a specific time, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time concerning specific transportation, and other information associated with the result of comparison, from data including transportation specifying information which specifies transportation, situation information indicating a situation in which a travel object uses the transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which the travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, an estimate value of a result of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the results of comparison and said other information, and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the results of comparison.

28. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of passage time concerning a specific passage point and other information associated with the passage time from data including passage time at which a travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of the travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the passage time at which travel objects pass through a specific passage point under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the passage time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the passage time.

29. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of elapsed time concerning two specific passage points and other information associated with the elapsed time from data including elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation, transportation specifying information which specifies transportation used by the travel object and situation information indicating a situation in which the travel object uses the transportation, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of elapsed time while the travel object passes through two specific passage points under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the elapsed time and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the elapsed time.

30. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer predict a travel process of a travel object traveling with repeatedly operated transportation, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract a plurality of combinations of a result of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time concerning specific transportation, and other information associated with the result of comparison, from data including transportation specifying information which specifies transportation, situation information indicating a situation in which a travel object uses the transportation, and a result of comparison between passage time at which the travel object actually passes through one passage point or a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects; and

making a computer calculate, based on the extracted plurality of combinations, a statistic of the results of comparison between passage time concerning a specific passage point and boarding completion time under a specific condition by conducting at least one of a regression analysis for obtaining a relationship between the result of comparison and said other information and a calculation of at least one of a mean and variance of the result of comparison.

31. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in passage time at which a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points provided at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and including transportation specifying information that specifies transportation which is used by the travel object and which is specified by a plurality of items, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object is accepted, a plurality of pieces of passage time which concerns the specific passage point and which is associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

making a computer calculate, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information.

32. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in passage time at which a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses the transportation in a plurality of situations, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points provided at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and including situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items at a time when the travel object uses transportation, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation is accepted, a plurality of pieces of passage time which concerns the specific passage point and which is associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

making a computer calculate, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted passage time; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the passage time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information.

33. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in elapsed time while a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses each of the plurality of pieces of transportation, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points provided at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and including transportation specifying information that specifies transportation which is used by the travel object and which is specified by a plurality of items, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel object is accepted, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time which concerns the two specific passage points and which is associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

making a computer calculate at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information.

34. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in elapsed time while a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through two specific passage points when the travel object uses the transportation in a plurality of situations, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including elapsed time while a travel object passes through two passage points of a plurality of passage points provided at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and including situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items at a time when the travel object uses transportation, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation is accepted, a plurality of pieces of elapsed time which concerns the two specific passage points and which is associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

making a computer calculate at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted elapsed time for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the elapsed time calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information.

35. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in results of comparison between passage time at which a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses the plurality of pieces of transportation, and boarding completion time at which boarding the transportation is completed, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including transportation specifying information which specifies transportation by a plurality of items and including results of comparison between passage time at which a travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of the transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information which specifies a plurality of pieces of transportation which is candidates to be used by an arbitrary travel objet is accepted, a plurality of results of comparison between passage time at the specific passage point and boarding completion time which are associated with transportation specifying information having a same content as the accepted transportation specifying information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information;

making a computer calculate, for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of transportation specifying information.

36. A non-transitory recording medium in which a computer program is recorded for making a computer conduct a comparison in results of comparison between passage time at which a travel object traveling with transportation repeatedly operated at a specific time passes through a specific passage point when the travel object uses the transportation in a plurality of situations, and boarding completion time at which boarding the transportation is completed, said computer program comprising the steps of:

making a computer extract, when data, including situation information indicating a situation specified by a plurality of items at a time when a travel object uses transportation and including results of comparison between passage time at which the travel object actually passes through each of a plurality of passage points at a departure/arrival facility of transportation and boarding completion time at which boarding of travel objects is actually completed for the transportation used by the travel object, are stored in an associated manner for each of the plurality of travel objects and when a plurality of pieces of situation information indicating a plurality of situations in which an arbitrary travel object uses transportation is accepted, a plurality of results of comparison between passage time at the specific passage point and boarding completion time which are associated with situation information having a same content as the accepted situation information, from the data, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information;

making a computer calculate, for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information, at least one of a mean and variance of the extracted results of comparison; and

making a computer statistically test a difference in at least one of the mean and variance of the results of comparison calculated for each of the plurality of pieces of situation information.